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Bloomberg Economics Warns U.S. AI Investment Slowdown Could Severely Impact China's Economic Growth

11.06 ·Reported ·Importance III ·Sources 1 ·China

A report released by Bloomberg Economics on November 6 stated that if the Democratic Party slows down AI investment and data center construction after a major victory in the U.S. midterm elections, China's growth, which relies on AI hardware exports, will be hit. Net exports contributed nearly 40% of China's economic growth in the third quarter, and chips and computer products accounted for 40% of the year-on-year increase in exports in the first nine months.

Pop Mart's Q3 sales fell 45% to 50% year-on-year

10.28 ·Reported ·Importance II ·Sources 1 ·Hong Kong

On October 28, Pop Mart submitted a performance update to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, showing a 45% to 50% year-on-year decline in Q3 sales. Specifically, the Americas market dropped by 70% to 75%, and mainland China saw a decline of 25% to 30%. Since its peak in August 2025, the stock price has fallen by more than half, with a market capitalization of approximately $22 billion.

Morgan Stanley Warns Offshore Chinese Stocks Could Fall Another 10%–15%

10.26 ·Reported ·Importance III ·Sources 1 ·China

On October 26, Bloomberg reported on a Morgan Stanley study saying that the Chinese stock market may not have bottomed out yet, and that offshore Chinese stocks could fall another 10%–15% before approaching historically low valuations, with weak economic consumption, pressure on e-commerce, and fears of tax-triggered selling of trusts intensifying the adjustment.

IMF Raises Taiwan's 2026 Growth Forecast to 10.7%, Lowers Mainland's to 4.5%

10.13 ·Reported ·Importance III ·Sources 1 ·China

On October 13, the IMF released its latest World Economic Outlook, raising Taiwan's 2026 growth forecast from 5.2% in April to 10.7%, while lowering the mainland's forecast by 0.1 percentage points to 4.5%; Taiwan's growth is mainly driven by demand for AI and advanced chips.

China's Q2 economic growth slows to 4.3%, below the full-year growth target range

10.11 ·Reported ·Importance IV ·Sources 1 ·China

According to a report by the Financial Times, China's economic growth in the second quarter fell to 4.3%, below the full-year target range of 4.5% to 5%. Retail sales and fixed-asset investment were weak, and the property market has been in a downturn for more than five years.

IMF Asia Department Head Says China's Growth Model Is Nearing Its Limit and Calls for Reform

10.11 ·Reported ·Importance III ·Sources 1 ·China

Srinivasan, head of the International Monetary Fund's Asia Department, noted that China's growth model of relying on investment, manufacturing and exports is approaching its limits, and suggested improving the social security system, adjusting local government incentives and the land-finance model, warning that otherwise the country could fall into a prolonged slowdown.

Study projects China's government debt interest payments to reach 1.4 trillion yuan in 2026

10.11 ·Reported ·Importance III ·Sources 1 ·China

Research by the Conference Board shows that interest payments on the debt of China's central and local governments are expected to reach 1.4 trillion yuan in 2026, far exceeding the roughly 348 billion yuan in 2014; central government debt service is projected to rise to 19.2% of the general public budget.

Wall Street Journal Says China’s Recent Economic Stimulus Measures Are Limited in Strength

10.08 ·Reported ·Importance IV ·Sources 1 ·China

On October 8, The Wall Street Journal reported that, facing difficulties such as the real estate downturn, insufficient domestic demand, and second-quarter GDP growth slowing to 4.3%, the stimulus measures introduced by the Chinese government — including mortgage subsidies and capital injections into banks — lean toward caution and are unlikely to fundamentally reverse the economic weakness.

Topic “The Whole Nation Enters an Era of Purely Getting By” Trends on Hot Search

10.07 ·Reported ·Importance II ·Sources 1 ·China

The topic “The whole nation enters an era of purely getting by” trended on hot search in August, with netizens discussing reduced desire to consume, cutting back on social spending and spending driven by keeping up with others; during the National Day holiday, netizens observed that people generally only browsed without buying.

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