11.06
·Reported
·Importance III
·Sources 1
·China
A report released by Bloomberg Economics on November 6 stated that if the Democratic Party slows down AI investment and data center construction after a major victory in the U.S. midterm elections, China's growth, which relies on AI hardware exports, will be hit. Net exports contributed nearly 40% of China's economic growth in the third quarter, and chips and computer products accounted for 40% of the year-on-year increase in exports in the first nine months.
11.06
·Reported
·Importance II
·Sources 1
·Tokyo, Japan
At the Bu Ming Bai Festival held in Tokyo, the Bu Ming Bai Podcast invited Professor Xu Chenggang to discuss the institutional logic behind China's economic growth and recession, as well as how ordinary people can cope, using his book 'The Institutional Genes' as a starting point.
11.04
·Official claim
·Importance IV
·Sources 1
·China
The People's Bank of China has intervened in the bond market through consecutive days of large-scale overnight reverse repos and the establishment of tools such as the Securities, Funds and Insurance Companies Swap Facility, stabilizing the run on the wealth management market.
10.30
·Verified
·Importance III
·Sources 1
·United States
On October 30, spot gold prices plummeted, while both the 10-year TIPS real yield and the US Dollar Index recorded declines. The divergence between macro factors and gold price trends reflects a sell-off triggered by a drying up of underlying liquidity in the money market.
10.26
·Reported
·Importance III
·Sources 1
·China
On October 26, Bloomberg reported on a Morgan Stanley study saying that the Chinese stock market may not have bottomed out yet, and that offshore Chinese stocks could fall another 10%–15% before approaching historically low valuations, with weak economic consumption, pressure on e-commerce, and fears of tax-triggered selling of trusts intensifying the adjustment.
10.25
·Reported
·Importance III
·Sources 1
·China
Bloomberg reported on October 25 that China's stock market has shrunk by about $3.5 trillion from its high earlier this year in May, with the CSI 300 index falling into a bear market the previous week, as weak consumption and price wars squeeze corporate profits.
10.13
·Reported
·Importance III
·Sources 1
·China
On October 13, the IMF released its latest World Economic Outlook, raising Taiwan's 2026 growth forecast from 5.2% in April to 10.7%, while lowering the mainland's forecast by 0.1 percentage points to 4.5%; Taiwan's growth is mainly driven by demand for AI and advanced chips.
10.12
·Verified
·Importance III
·Sources 1
·Beijing, China
The Chinese Communist Party's People's Bank of China issued the document "Policy Stance on the RMB Exchange Rate," reiterating that China has neither the need nor the intention to gain a trade advantage through exchange rate depreciation, and will never engage in competitive devaluation.
10.11
·Reported
·Importance IV
·Sources 1
·China
According to a report by the Financial Times, China's economic growth in the second quarter fell to 4.3%, below the full-year target range of 4.5% to 5%. Retail sales and fixed-asset investment were weak, and the property market has been in a downturn for more than five years.
10.11
·Reported
·Importance III
·Sources 1
·China
Srinivasan, head of the International Monetary Fund's Asia Department, noted that China's growth model of relying on investment, manufacturing and exports is approaching its limits, and suggested improving the social security system, adjusting local government incentives and the land-finance model, warning that otherwise the country could fall into a prolonged slowdown.
10.11
·Reported
·Importance III
·Sources 1
·China
Research by the Conference Board shows that interest payments on the debt of China's central and local governments are expected to reach 1.4 trillion yuan in 2026, far exceeding the roughly 348 billion yuan in 2014; central government debt service is projected to rise to 19.2% of the general public budget.
10.08
·Reported
·Importance IV
·Sources 1
·China
On October 8, The Wall Street Journal reported that, facing difficulties such as the real estate downturn, insufficient domestic demand, and second-quarter GDP growth slowing to 4.3%, the stimulus measures introduced by the Chinese government — including mortgage subsidies and capital injections into banks — lean toward caution and are unlikely to fundamentally reverse the economic weakness.
10.01
·Verified
·Importance IV
·Sources 1
·China
The Ministry of Finance, the central bank, and the National Financial Regulatory Administration jointly announced that starting October 1, eligible first-home mortgages will receive a fiscal interest subsidy of 1 percentage point per annum.
2026.10
·Reported
·Importance IV
·Sources 1
·Beijing
At the Financial Street Forum, Pan Gongsheng announced the adjustment of the policy rate tenor, the establishment of liquidity support tools for non-bank institutions, the push to link large corporations' loans to the overnight repo rate, and the exit from the deposit and lending benchmark rates, turning intraday firefighting facilities from temporary tools into standing tools.
2026.10
·Reported
·Importance IV
·Sources 1
·China
Based on calculations using multiple economic data points and the financial reports of listed real estate developers, the analysis points out that the current rebound in corporate deposits is mainly driven by credit bill arbitrage, and that the resulting gap in banks is ultimately filled by suppressing interest payments on households’ deposits nationwide.