Hu Chunhua was captured and then released by Xi Jinping! A massive force is controlling the situation within the CCP.
This episode is hosted by Huli, discussing the inside story of Hu Chunhua's sudden disappearance for several days during the 90th anniversary of the victory of the Long March and his subsequent reappearance at the Fifth Plenary Session. Citing leaks from senior CPPCC sources, the program claims that Hu Chunhua was once detained by Xi Jinping and the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI), and was subsequently released under pressure and intervention from powerful factions within the military and the Party. The host analyzes that this event indicates Xi Jinping is facing checks and balances from powerful political forces within the Party; although he still holds power, he has grown fearful and cautious. Combined with the recent downfall of senior military generals, the survival crisis of the grassroots population under economic distress, and abnormalities in the communique of the Fifth Plenary Session, the host points out that undercurrents are surging in Chinese politics, the Communist Youth League (CYL) faction is currently relatively safe, and the situation is like dry firewood waiting for a spark that could trigger widespread linkage.
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Full transcript:
Hello, viewers and friends! Today I am bringing you a major piece of insider news! We have been investigating why Hu Chunhua suddenly disappeared during the 90th anniversary of the victory of the Long March, and today we have the answer. Insiders within the CPPCC have leaked information, and it can now be confirmed that Hu Chunhua was indeed detained at the time by Xi Jinping and the CCDI, led by Li Xi. CCDI personnel had already taken Hu Chunhua away.
After he was taken away, someone within the military—a faction within the Communist Party—immediately confronted Xi Jinping upon receiving the news, demanding that he must be released, that he must be released. Then, after a few days, Hu Chunhua reappeared at the venue of the Fifth Plenary Session. But did everyone notice his seat? His seat was in the fourth row, beside two aisles—not the outermost two aisles, but right there by the aisles. This is the current situation. In other words, I suspect that Xi Jinping is currently being checked and balanced by a powerful force, and he has already felt fear, he has already felt afraid. Assuming this event is true, then I think he is now being constrained by others, and he does not dare to act recklessly or arbitrarily arrest people, especially sensitive individuals. In other words, if this news is true—that is, the leak is authentic—then the CYL faction is still relatively safe for now. This is one point.
Second, regarding Xi Jinping's current push for what he calls comprehensive and strict governance of the Party, it is very difficult for him to advance this among officials in state-owned enterprises (SOEs). It is extremely difficult because Xi Jinping has already arrested far too many people and offended countless individuals. People inside the Communist Party actually form a massive network. Just think, ordinary people, you see, these people are all part of the network. When it comes to SOE officials, or central-level officials—let's talk about the Politburo level or the Central Committee level, or even the alternate member level—behind each and every one of them is a tremendous force. Think about it, according to the norms within the Communist Party, who can rise up so rapidly? If you look at the promotion speed of these people, it is often like this: jumping two or three levels at once, rather than moving up step by step. I am speaking of people I know and people I have met. Take Zhou Jiangyong, the former Party secretary of Hangzhou. At the time, Shen Yueyue directly from Xiangshan—everyone can check these data online—was Xiangshan's county magistrate, or seemed to be the county magistrate of Xiangshan back then, which was a very small local official, and suddenly she was promoted to the director of the administrative committee of the Hangzhou Bay New Area Development Zone. I don't understand what kind of rank that is within the Communist Party, I don't know what level it is. At that time, a friend of mine who was on very good terms with Zhou Jiangyong, like a sworn brother, told me that she was promoted by two and a half levels. Just think, Shen Yueyue was already in Beijing at that time, serving as the executive deputy head of the Organization Department of the CCP Central Committee, the nation's personnel director—Hu Jintao's personnel director. Apart from the very top leaders managed by Hu Jintao himself, everyone else below was managed by her, including these Central Committee members who were all decided by her. Just think, she was the personnel director, the executive deputy head of the Organization Department. At that time, Li Yuanchao was not handling affairs; Li Yuanchao was just like an empty shell. The person who truly managed the internal personnel affairs of the CCP at that time, who managed the entire personnel of the CCP, was her.
So look at these officials inside the Communist Party, look at the current faces of these people. If you look at the current Central Committee members of the CCP, there are very few elderly people; most of them are middle-aged and young people, some even in their forties, while those in their fifties to sixties are already moving towards the back. Now, those in their seventies—look at that front row of people in their seventies—are about to face... what Xi Jinping is facing now is a retirement wave across his entire team. Their ages have all arrived, almost all of them are due. Li Qiang is slightly younger, but Cai Qi, Wang Huning, and many others—the people he currently controls, including Li Xi and others—are getting old and must step down en masse. Human nature is such that once people reach a certain stage, they age. Once they age, a person's biological indicators have aged. Once you have aged and continue to work, your judgment capacity becomes completely different, and your execution capability becomes completely different. Under such circumstances, do you think this country can still be good? Not good at all, it can only lie flat.
Therefore, I can be certain, and everyone must remember, that Hu Chunhao's disappearance this time—disappearing during such an important meeting—is completely and utterly abnormal. That's the first point. Second, the current whistleblower is from the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC). I can tell everyone it is a whistleblower from the CPPCC, and moreover, a very high-ranking official, so I believe their whistleblowing is true. Hu Chunhao was actually released after being detained, having been inside for probably a few days. In fact, before this, Xi Jinping was already preparing to make a move, not expecting someone to speak up. The CCP has already reached the point of a tinderbox. Furthermore, Xi Jinping is currently terrified, which also proves what another whistleblower said: Xi Jinping's family members, all relatives of his two elder sisters, have already left China and fled to Australia, and some may have run to Europe, because Xi Jinping has assets in both Europe and Australia. It is very likely that everyone has entered a state of a standoff. This is also what outsiders are currently talking about. Some people ask whether Xi Jinping still has power? I believe his power is definitely still there; this is beyond doubt. Assuming Xi Jinping had no power, he wouldn't be able to sit on the podium either. Xi Jinping himself has already offended so many people; do you think anyone would be willing to let him sit on the podium and put on airs? No one would be willing. His power is still there, and he still controls the overall situation, but the current situation is that an extremely powerful force is keeping him in check, he has already sensed his own crisis, and this force is something he has no way of stripping away. This is why if you combine these recent events in the military and try to explain them, it all makes sense.
To what extent is this explained? Zhang Youxia, now you see him and Xi Jinping, the two of them are like lonely bachelors. In fact, regarding Zhang Shengmin this time, many in the media are saying that Zhang Youxia has been promoted, promoted to the CCP Central Committee, promoted to the Political Bureau of the CCP Central Committee. I can tell everyone that this is something he conferred upon himself. Zhang Youxia is still Zhang Youxia; his power is still his power. Moreover, the more they push Zhang Youxia to the top, the more he sees and the more afraid and terrified he becomes. What is the current situation of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)? The higher your position, the harder you will fall in the future, and the greater the likelihood that you will be targeted. So, some time ago, people said that Zhang Youxia and Xi Jinping had some rifts, and he also felt afraid. This is very normal; serving a monarch is like serving a tiger! Xi Jinping has offended so many people now, and Zhang Youxia is a person in the military. Many of the military's words might still be relayed through Zhang Youxia as a mouthpiece. There are two mouthpieces, one of which is Zhang Youxia, because everyone believes Zhang Youxia is Xi Jinping's man. Those within the CCP, all these high-level military officials, know that Zhang Youxia is Xi Jinping's cousin; they have a blood relationship. Having a blood relationship is completely different; it is not the same as with others. So, it is very normal for him to promote his cousin this time, giving him a nominal position, member of the Political Bureau of the CCP Central Committee. But what about the current members of the Political Bureau of the CCP Central Committee? Political Bureau members just sit in the front row, sit up there, and everyone is staring at them. Once Xi Jinping falls in the future, they will fall all at once. Moreover, the current Political Bureau of the CCP Central Committee is like this: it wouldn't do not to promote him. Why? Originally, the Political Bureau member was Zhang Youxia, and Zhang Youxia is from the military. There must always be someone among the twenty or so people on the list of Political Bureau members. So, after Zhang Youxia was removed, he was promoted; this is very normal. Furthermore, the quota for Political Bureau members is flexible; it is flexible within the CCP. Originally, there were more than ten, then twenty, then twenty-five, then twenty-four. It has always been flexible; it is not immutable. This includes the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau, which also changes; sometimes it becomes seven, sometimes nine. This is something the CCP decides for itself. Actually, if you think about it, under the current reality controlled by Xi Jinping, these so-called members of the Political Bureau of the CCP Central Committee and these so-called members of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau are actually all taking orders from Xi Jinping. Not a single person would oppose him; some people don't even dare to offer an opinion, because they are afraid that their thoughts might be perceived by Xi Jinping as, 'Why is your view inconsistent with mine?' Then you are labeled, which is equivalent to saying that your stain already exists. For these people at the high level, you cannot say a single word wrong. If you say the wrong thing, you lose your head. He always treats you as an opponent.
In other words, it is quite difficult for these people. You don't even need to talk about officials at the central level; if you are in the Shanghai municipal government or the Beijing municipal government, you have to be very careful when you attend a meeting and speak. It is not that you can say whatever you want. It was different in the Deng Xiaoping era. At that time, it was different. Deng Xiaoping was still able to grasp the general direction, but in terms of national governance, you could speak your mind; you could talk, and you would not be guilty. You could talk. The Standing Committee members at that time were completely different from the current ones. The current Standing Committee members are all window dressing, and the current Political Bureau members are all window dressing, including those on the Central Committee. Now, these people are desperate to leave the Central Committee; it would be best if I were not on the Central Committee immediately. You see, during this period, several alternate members were promoted to fill the vacancies. The Central Committee is always these people; he has to fill in a portion. These people are scared to death. The current situation of the CCP is such that once a political incident occurs, it is definitely a total sweep, rather than, for example, arresting one person at a time as before. It might be that the few people around you who have good relationships with you are also arrested. It is different now. Once the CCP carries out major arrests, it arrests some people, a large batch of people. Xi Jinping is like this now. Why arrest so many people? It is because they are arrested in strings.
So, to summarize Xi Jinping's current position: First, he still holds absolute power; he can mobilize any of the nation's resources, except for the military—that is one point. Second, there is currently a massive force keeping him in check. People overseas are all speculating and spreading rumors, and I believe this force exists. Look at the fact that up until now, Xi Jinping hasn't even mentioned people like Liu Yuan or Deng Pufang; they haven't appeared in the media at all. Normally, when these veteran comrades come out—for instance, attending the Spring Festival gathering—these people would appear. You see people like Zeng Qinghong appearing, so there is no reason for Liu Yuan not to appear. Why haven't these people appeared? It means these people have distanced themselves from Xi Jinping, and Xi knows that these people are his opponents. If he were to move against them, they would certainly revolt, and he doesn't have the ability to move against them because they have military backgrounds. How could he touch them? How many lieutenant generals has Xi Jinping arrested now? It seems he has arrested dozens of generals this time. I calculated it once; I calculated it last year, and he has arrested nearly 200 generals in total—major generals, lieutenant generals, and generals combined. He is arresting them from all sorts of places, from every theater command and every branch of the military. He is even arresting academicians from the Academy of Sciences. Just think, he is even arresting academicians from the two academies. It seems one academician from the two academies was arrested this time, though this wasn't arrested just now, but a few months ago. Just think, the Communist Party's military is already full of arrested people; they have all been arrested. As for the people he hasn't arrested yet, we can assume he has already arrested everyone he could; the people he hasn't touched are the ones he doesn't dare to touch, and these people have extremely powerful backgrounds, meaning he doesn't dare to move against them. If he were to move against them, the entire barracks might rise up. He feels that a massive conflict could erupt. Xi Jinping is now afraid, very afraid of conflict. It is like dry firewood now! As long as you take a match and light it, once lit, a raging fire will immediately break out. The common people are waiting to take to the streets every day now; there is just no one to lead them. If there were people from the military to lead, let me give you an analogy: for example, if a protest breaks out in Qinghai, or if Chengdu rises up, once it starts, Chengdu will immediately follow suit. Once the troops rise up, you wouldn't dare to use the police or military to suppress them. Once one city rises up, all cities will rise up, just like back then, just like the June 4th incident. This time, as long as one city moves, it is possible that all cities will act in unison; there would be no need for organization at all.
And this time those who are moving are all young people, mainly students, which is exactly the same as the situation during June Fourth. Now ordinary people, Chinese ordinary people, have already lived a good life, a relatively good life with hope, and suddenly they are beaten back to their original state. Who would be willing to accept that? Surely many people are now fighting for their lives, ready to fight for their lives against the CCP. Why fight for their lives? Because they can no longer survive. In the past, as long as ordinary people had a job and made thirty yuan a month, they could still survive. They still had their rations, they had no debts, they had not taken out bank loans, they had no debts. Even if my house was a bit dilapidated, if there was no running water I used well water, and if it was cold in winter without a down jacket, I could get by with a heavy quilt or a military cotton-padded coat. Even if the food was poor, they could still eat steamed buns and drink rice porridge, and even without meat, they could eat Chinese cabbage as a vegetarian dish, which was enough to get by. Look at people nowadays. Do you know that many families in China have now completely lost hope, and entire families have perished together? You can search the internet for this; things like this are happening all over the country. Why can't people take the train? Now it's because you are bankrupt, and once you go bankrupt, it affects your descendants; children's schooling becomes a problem, and upward mobility becomes a problem. The Communist Party now uses all these things to deal with ordinary people. Did ordinary people have debts in the past? No debts. But now there are debts; you now still owe the bank eight hundred thousand or over a million yuan because you gave your house to the bank and to the government. So now the Chinese ordinary people are waiting for this time, waiting for this moment. Therefore, this incident involving Hu Chunhua is extremely abnormal. The whistleblower this time has already explained it. Now Xi Jinping still—in the communiqué of this Fifth Plenary Session, there was no major praise for Xi Jinping's ideology and his power; this is also a situation, also an abnormality. Many people—I haven't carefully studied the communiqué of this Fifth Plenary Session, but this communiqué is different from past ones, different from those communiqués that used to praise Xi Jinping, those press releases are different. Under these circumstances, I estimate that there is now a powerful force against Xi Jinping, and Xi Jinping has already seen fear—meaning, telling you to release someone, you must release someone, you have no choice but to release someone. Just think about how big this force is! At the very least, it can be determined that Xi Jinping can no longer do whatever he wants and has reservations. Under these circumstances, if you explain the Communist Party again, it is very likely that you explain why he is afraid, why he is scared, and why he let Hu Chunhua go? The person he most wants to arrest is Hu Chunhua. Why did he let Hu Chunhua go? Because he is afraid of fierce struggles and major conflicts breaking out within the Communist Party, which is why he let him go. That is how we explain it.
Look at whether Hu Chunhua appeared during the 90th anniversary back then? Afterwards, the overwhelming majority of the media were guessing and predicting that Hu Chunhua would definitely not appear at this venue, and then he suddenly appeared. At first, I thought it was fake, I even thought his image was spliced together to deceive the ordinary people. Later, after you and I carefully compared it, well, we found that this was real, that this was indeed the situation inside the venue. So this matter was beyond everyone's expectations. Now, a leader of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) has leaked this matter, and I think this matter must be extremely close to the truth. That is to say, Xi Jinping has encountered a strong opponent. This opponent is not just one person; I believe it must be a large faction, a major force checking and balancing him. Well, let's watch the development of the situation. Over the past couple of days, these members of the Communist Youth League faction (Tuanpai) are relatively safe. Hu Chunhua held a meeting yesterday, and the CPPCC held a meeting today. These people have all come out, including Zhou Qiang, Shen Yueyue, and Hu Chunhua—these three representatives of the Tuanpai in the CPPCC. As long as these three people are safe, the Tuanpai is safe. Well, I will chat with you up to here for this topic. Let's watch the development of the situation, and if there are new developments, I will interpret them for you again. Thank you for watching, and see you in our next program.