Xi Jinping Makes His Move! Hu Chunhua Suddenly Disappears.
This episode features host Hu Liren analyzing the sudden absence of former CPPCC Vice Chairman and Youth League faction representative Hu Chunfa from the events commemorating the 90th anniversary of the Long March. The host analyzes Hu Chunhua's background, three possible reasons for his absence (illness, being controlled and protected by anti-Xi forces, or being purged by Xi Jinping), and points out that Xi Jinping's purge of the Youth League faction and potential internal opposition forces within the party is intensifying, with the high-level power struggle within the Chinese Communist Party having reached a white-hot stage.
Video link:
Full transcript:
There was a very important thing that happened yesterday. Xi Jinping, you see, has been arresting people in Beijing and not just Beijing, but all over the country during this period. So yesterday, there was a very big event regarding the current Vice Chairman of the CPPCC, who is ranked second in the CPPCC and was once identified by foreign media back then as Hu Chunhua. The former Party Chairman, uh, this State Chairman, who later was suddenly excluded by Xi Jinping. He is a symbolic figure of the Youth League faction, a symbolic figure of the Youth League faction Hu Chunhua, a child of a peasant family, in a rural family. His family had about six siblings, six siblings, and he was the youngest. He studied very well. I have been to his hometown. His hometown is at the border of Hubei and Hunan, it's Tujia ethnic minority. I've been to that area a lot, Hubei and Hunan area, Yichang and those places. He is, the territory is Hubei territory, the territory is Hubei territory, but it's at the border of Hunan, meaning Hubei is above and Hunan is below. So walking north leads to Yichang, walking south leads to Zhangjiajie, and walking south to Zhangjiajie, this tourist area has a place nearby called Sangzhi County. Why did I go to his hometown? Because one of my business partners was from that place, a descendant of He Long named He Xintong, and his hometown is Sangzhi, Sangzhi, so I once went to that area for a field trip, for a field trip. I once talked about this person, he was the one who accompanied me at that time. There were three people accompanying me at that time, one was this descendant of He Long, He Xintong, another was a secretary of Hu Yaobang, a secretary of Hu Yaobang, this person is also from Hunan, also from Hunan, right, a secretary, right? In addition, there was also, at that time, a district party committee secretary of the Wuling Park area in Zhangjiajie, the district mayor, the district mayor. I still remember his name is Jin Youquan. Um, the three of them accompanied us at that time, and we drove around that Hunan and Hubei area to look for some tourism resources, to look for some tourism projects.
Look at Hu Chunhua; he graduated from Peking University's Department of Chinese Language and Literature, having entered university in 1979. He was truly a talented scholar and absolute top scorer in exams. His family was previously illiterate and purely peasants. That region was entirely mountainous with beautiful scenery, populated by the Tujia people. Traveling there in its primitive natural state is fantastic. I like it very much; I enjoy mountain climbing, and even before then I frequently visited such places. As for Hu Chunhua, back at Peking University, he was widely considered a very honest person with quite good character. People in the Youth League faction generally came from the most grassroots families in society, with many households having no prior experience in politics or any political background. He entered in 1979 and graduated in 1983. Back then, someone like Hu Chunhua had no family background. For those with connections, well, their assignments were good, placing them in major cities. Without connections, someone like him was directly assigned to Tibet. You must understand that Tibet in 1983 was extremely primitive, meaning the place lacked modernization. Mao had died just a few years prior, tourism hadn't opened up yet, and Tibet remained a very closed and isolated place. When people arrived there, many couldn't adapt. Hu Chunhua was in extremely good physical condition, and after going to Tibet, how many years did he stay? Over twenty years. He didn't leave Tibet until 2006 or so, having worked there the entire time. One could say this person was extremely diligent and conscientious, without any other ulterior motives. He was also quite honest and down-to-earth. Why did he end up in Beijing later on? Because he met his benefactor back then. He originally belonged to the Tibet faction, working at places like the Tibet Hotel and the Tibet newspaper office, starting from the very grassroots level with zero family backing. Later on, because he was a Peking University graduate in Tibet and Lhasa, he was definitely considered a brilliant scholar. Eventually, he met Hu Jintao. At his rank at the time, he shouldn't have been able to cross paths with Hu Jintao. Later, when Hu Jintao went to Tibet as the First Party Secretary—which was when he suppressed the Tibetans—Hu Chunhua contributed a lot of effort. Through their work, everyone got familiar with Hu Jintao. Hu Jintao took a look and thought, "My, this person is exceptionally good and quite capable." Previously, because the distance between their ranks was too great, someone at Hu Chunhua's level couldn't possibly have had any connection to Hu Jintao. Later, after Hu Jintao spent a few years in Tibet—suppressing Tibetans there—Deng Xiaoping took notice of him, feeling that he had a lot of resolve and capability. Deng Xiaoping was thinking at the time that we couldn't let the princelings continue to rule. Deng Xiaoping had this awareness. Just look at how many princelings he had encountered; even his own children were princelings. Back then, he believed that for this country to truly develop healthily and keep reform and opening-up going, a way had to be found to let capable people rise, allowing ordinary grassroots people to enter the system just like the imperial examinations of the past, testing for the jinshi, juren, or zhuangyuan degrees as in the old feudal society which had practiced the examination system for over a thousand years. Hu Jintao was actually arranged by Deng Xiaoping; Deng arranged two successive terms—the first being Jiang Zemin and the second being Hu Jintao. Deng Xiaoping arranged these two terms, and he still had good vision when he arranged Hu Jintao. Little did he know that Hu Jintao, who started out quite decent, would go somewhat astray later on. Hu Jintao should actually be considered a sinner; he is truly a sinner. Just look at how he actually arranged for the current Xi Jinping to take power; that was the worst possible move. In reality, given Xi Jinping's abilities in all aspects, he is fundamentally unfit for the top position of the state presidency. At best, he could only handle things at the local grassroots level, lacking even the competence to enter Beijing. Yet back then, Hu Jintao went ahead and elevated him to that position.
Look at Hu Chunhua, he was still young at that time. Hu Chunhua was born in 1963, a full ten years younger than Xi Jinping. Look at this victory of the War of Resistance and the 90th anniversary of the Long March. The victory of the Long March was from 1936 to 1996, which is 90 years, and it will be exactly 90 years in 2026. So, for this 90th anniversary, the CCP, or rather what Xi Jinping is pushing now, is exactly this set of things—bringing out the old stuff, Yan'an, northern Shaanxi, the Long March—which is actually the stuff of bandits, because he wants to rob people now. He thinks that, in reality, if you truly want to follow the path of freedom and democracy, you should completely negate these things, because these things are actually harmful to the country and the people. Look at the Communist Party; first of all, its origins—once you dig up the history of the Communist Party, this history cannot be touched. Previous leaders, like Deng Xiaoping, including Jiang Zemin, and later Hu Jintao, often suppressed these things. Things like 're-walking the Long March' were all things created after Xi Jinping came to power. The Communist Party believed, for example, that people like Zhao Ziyang and Hu Yaobang at the time had already realized, fully realized, that the history of the Communist Party was quite dark, and they were reflecting on the evils they had committed in their youth. But Xi Jinping is different now; he has brought all these things out. Why bring them out? He wants to be a bandit, he wants to be a robber, he wants to rob the common people. Robbing the common people means engaging in class struggle, with politics as the guiding principle. So, holding a grand ceremony for the 90th anniversary of the Long March—you would think that if you were to hold a ceremony, a small one within the Communist Party would suffice, but he held a very large one, and all the high-ranking officials of the Communist Party attended. The venue yesterday was very grand. Who was absent yesterday, Xi Jinping? Hu Chunhua was missing. I also contacted Beijing last night, and there was no news. Many media outlets have already noticed that Hu Chunhua is a very sensitive figure; everyone is watching him, everyone is looking. So, Hu Chunhua suddenly disappeared from the entire venue yesterday. There are several reasons for a sudden disappearance; let me analyze them for everyone. One reason is his health condition. Hu Chunhua is a person in very good health; look at him, he is very healthy. I think this possibility is very slim. Even if he had a minor illness, for an occasion like this, he would definitely attend. Even if he had a high fever today, he would attend; he has to attend such an occasion, he would have to come even from a hospital bed, because everyone else is attending. Yesterday was completely full, except for, it seems, Li Qiang, who has been in Russia these past two days. So that is one possibility, but it is very small. The second is that it is possible that Hu Chunhua realized—because I made a video a few days ago saying that everyone should remember, Xi Jinping wants to establish his dictatorship, he must purge all the Tuanpai (Youth League faction). I saw an acquaintance yesterday, Shen Yueyue was there; there are not many women, Tie Ning, Shen Yueyue, these people are all there, it is Shen Yueyue, right? So I saw them, but I did not see Hu Chunhua. Therefore, I think there is another possibility for Hu Chunhua, another possibility is that he disappeared on his own because he knew Xi Jinping was going to target him. So what to do? If, for example, security was not tight, is it possible he fled? Just like Lin Biao in the past. Of course, Lin Biao was a symbolic figure; there were many people who fled during the Cultural Revolution. There is also a possibility that his flight might have been facilitated by another force, a group that controlled him and then helped him flee, protecting him. The current situation in Beijing is like this: you don't know which team is which, you don't know where they come from. For example, a few people come and take you away directly, and you don't even know who took you away. It is very likely that people from the anti-Xi forces took you away. These people are quietly in Beijing; while you are moving in Beijing, they are also moving in Beijing. It is possible he was protected; this is a possibility, it is entirely possible. Another possibility is that he was purged. Yesterday, when Xi Jinping walked into the venue, he had no smile on his face; he looked like someone whose parents had just died, like someone who owes more than he pays back, as they say in Shanghai. His demeanor was completely abnormal. So, if the third possibility occurs—one is illness, one is being controlled, protected, or taken away by others—under these circumstances, it is entirely possible.
I once mentioned that there was a shootout in Beidaihe, albeit a relatively minor one. I believe something similar could very well happen to Hu Chunhua, involving another faction of the military that you are currently unaware of. There are quite a few anti-Xi military personnel active in Beijing right now, which is why security around Zhongnanhai has been significantly tightened. The security forces are extremely strong; friends in Beijing told me that Zhongnanhai has reinforced its guards for fear of incidents or problems. They are worried about attacks from the anti-Xi faction, and Xi Jinping is also very afraid. If the second scenario happens to Hu Chunhua, then the drama that follows will be massive. The third scenario is that he is controlled by Xi Jinping. Once controlled, he would become the first-level representative of the top leadership. After that, I believe Shen Yueyue will certainly be purged, as well as Han Zheng. Han Zheng is actually a centrist of the Communist Youth League (CYT) faction; he has ties to the CYT faction, and his rise was partly due to this background, which is why he was pulled up higher and higher. Additionally, there was the then-President of the Supreme People's Court, Zhou Qiang, who is a standard CYT faction member. Just think, as the President of the Court, it is not about whether he is corrupt or not; in that position, even if he didn't want to be corrupt, he would have to be. If Xi Jinping wants to arrest him, he can do so with absolute certainty. Zhou Qiang and these people are all targets for Xi Jinping. Once Xi Jinping eliminates these people, he will simultaneously wipe out the red princelings and the second-generation military elites. The more capable you are and the wider your network, the more he wants to get rid of you. Afterward, he will also target the people within his own team—his core personnel, the Standing Committee members, and many in the General Office of the CCP Central Committee. They know Xi Jinping very well, as they work with him every day. These people will eventually disappear; some may vanish without a trace, and there won't even be any public announcement—they will simply disappear.
So the Chinese Communist Party, if you look at Xi Jinping's face nowadays, he has no laughter, people have no laughter, there is not a single normal person's smiling face. His face is a standard devil's face. If you went to look at the way he walks yesterday, just looking at this face you would know. The situation within the party is extremely fierce right now, and these people are now regretting it too late. You know that once you enter the inside of the Chinese Communist Party, you can never turn things around, except for Xi Jinping. If something happens to Xi Jinping, then these people in Qincheng Prison might, they might gradually be released, but after being released, the chances of anyone truly recovering and coming back to power are almost zero, almost nonexistent, because these people are all getting older, and it is impossible for you to come back up. Some even end up behind the scenes getting a post in the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) or some advisor role, an advisor to the CCP Central Committee—meaning all of a person's political career is completely over, and their life has already been messed up completely. So for the Chinese Communist Party, look at Hu Chunhua, who served the Chinese Communist Party for a full forty-plus years, from his twenties to his sixties now. Hu Chunhua is about 63 years old this year, having started working right from 1983 in his twenties. You see that in the end, he is still like this. Even if he doesn't run into trouble this time, he is still a turtle in a jar, and he will definitely be purged. Xi Jinping will never let these members of the Youth League faction go; he will absolutely not let them go. Within every faction inside the Chinese Communist Party, there are resources belonging to that faction, and you cannot flip the tables. Once you flip the tables, just like back then when Deng Ping was not killed by Mao, in the end after Deng Ping came to power, he thoroughly purged everyone in Mao's family: his nephew went straight to prison, Jiang Qing went straight to prison, and his family was thoroughly ruined. Later, the family members who lived outside wished they were dead. The Chinese Communist Party has always been like this.
So Xi Jinping is taking action, and in these couple of days the 21st National Congress is about to be held. I estimate that at the 21st National Congress, at the very least—yesterday a journalist called me and said, "Director Hu, make a prediction, about how many members of the Central Committee will be absent?" He asked whether outsiders are now saying that about 20% of the people will be absent? I think this is entirely possible, because after many people are arrested, their cases are not reported at all, and they are directly disposed of. Just like Hu Chunhua, after disappearing these couple of days, the person is completely gone. After some time passes, it might be reported. The Chinese Communist Party is often like this: after arresting someone, they usually start reporting it a week or a month later. Then, for Hu Chunhua this time, suppose at the 21st National Congress—I think he might be reported before the Fifth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee as facing inspection by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection; that is entirely possible. Suppose it is not reported, then it is very likely that he has already been controlled by other forces. Then, looking at the current situation regarding whether he appears at the Fifth Plenary Session, if he does not appear and there is no report either, that would prove he has been controlled and protected by another anti-Xi factional force. Right now it is just like a war, right now Zhongnanhai and the interior of the Chinese Communist Party are just like a war, just like an internal war. Right now everyone is wrestling for leverage, and although it hasn't entered a hot war state yet, it is very likely that it will enter a hot war state immediately. All right, I will chat with everyone about this topic up to here. Everyone, keep an eye on the current situation of the Chinese Communist Party; it is currently in an era of dramatic changes. Thank you for watching, and see you next time.