The Hu Chunhua Incident Signals That Xi Jinping Is Pushing CCP Infighting to Its Climax! A Showdown Between the Two Sides Could Erupt at Any Moment.
This video analyzes the political implications behind the rumors of Hu Chunhua's disappearance. Anchor Hu Liren believes that Hu Chunhua, as a key figure of the Youth League faction and a potential successor, disappearing marks the intensification of Xi Jinping's thorough purge of intra-party dissidents and the Youth League faction into a white-hot stage. The video reviews the historical ties between Hu Chunhua and Hu Jintao, analyzes the power struggle between the princelings and the Xi faction, and predicts that internal power struggles within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) could trigger even more intense conflicts at any time.
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Hello, viewers and friends! Let's talk once again about that Hu Chunhua incident. Hu Chunhua's disappearance, Hu Chunhua has disappeared, much like Zhang Youxia last year. But Hu Chunhua's rank is much higher than Zhang Youxia's, completely different, they are people at different levels.
What about Hu Chunhua? I was thinking, I made a video today, talking about Hu Chunhua this morning. The possibility of Hu Chunhua himself fleeing abroad is almost zero, because he has no power; actually, he holds a nominal post. You see, the CPPCC is just a nominal post, right? His power has all been... Hu Chunhua. Supposing Hu Chunhua finished up and fled Beijing, or was controlled by anti-regime forces, there must have been a military force protecting him and taking him away from Beijing! He is definitely not safe in Beijing, right? At present, Xi Jinping's internal struggle within the party has already reached a fever pitch, meaning it has already become public. Ever since last year's Zhang Youxia incident, it has actually been public. However, the CCP has not yet had any major events, except for one firefight—at Beidaihe this year, right? Apart from this firefight, no major events have occurred. But this doesn't guarantee anything. Right now, Xi Jinping is arresting people in massive numbers. Has everyone seen these past couple of days? Over two days, five or six top officials, and massive arrests are happening not just in Beijing, but everywhere across the country. I once said that arrests are happening all over the country; actually, if the Communist Party wants to make arrests now! You might say it relies on the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) to make arrests, but the CCDI needs enforcers, it needs people to go out and make those arrests. All these enforcers used by the CCDI to make arrests are personnel from the Central Guard Bureau. To what extent has the Central Guard Bureau reached now? All over the country, in every provincial party committee and provincial government, it is entirely Central Guard Bureau personnel standing guard. The rank of these people is extremely high, ah, they can take away anyone at will, anyone, including provincial party secretaries, governors, vice governors, ah, deputy provincial party secretaries, and these people, ah, including discipline inspection commission secretaries and directors, ah, including CCDI people right there. Local discipline inspection officials beneath the local CCDI, these officials can be taken away by them at any time. This is something the Communist Party has never had until now, ah. So last year I once made a video, ah, about the establishment of the Central Guard Bureau expanding from 10,000 to 70,000 personnel—that is extraordinary. Actually, when this news came out back then, I was quite shocked too. When this news came out, I knew that Xi Jinping was going to make his move. By next year, ah, by this year, ever since he came to power, he has constantly been making these deployments. These deployments he made, he did them for today, ah, so that he can make massive arrests in large numbers, and can do so at will. Now all major ministries and commissions have Central Guard Bureau personnel, and every government system has the Central Guard Bureau. The compounds of ministries and commissions are entirely controlled by Central Guard Bureau personnel. Therefore, Hu Chunhua's disappearance this time is an absolutely major event. Hu Chunhua is a very important figure. Do you know what kind of situation Hu Chunhua is in? He himself is... if Xi Jinping didn't take the third term, this person would very likely have moved up, very likely have moved up, ah! If he didn't take the third term, then according to the normal succession order of the Communist Party, Hu Chunhua would be the boss, would be the boss. So after Hu Chunhua was taken down this time, actually, it's Xi Jinping cutting weeds and eliminating the roots. Actually, up until now, Hu Chunhua has no longer had any ambitions. According to normal circumstances, Hu Chunhua no longer had any possibility of ascending to that position to subvert him. But Xi Jinping refuses to let go, ah, it's not about my relationship with Hu Chunhua. Actually, on the surface, Hu Chunhua's relationship with him is quite good, quite good. But Hu Chunhua is definitely not Xi Jinping's person. The Communist Party is like this: you are your person, I am my person. If you used to belong to someone else, to another faction, you can absolutely not be part of my faction now. If you were part of my faction, it would be equivalent to me letting another system plant a nail by my side. So I have always been talking about Hu Chunhua, look, ah, this time he is stepping down and being purged by the Communist Party, purged by Xi Jinping—the next one will be Han Zheng, it will be Han Zheng. Han Zheng is a smiling tiger. Let me tell you, I don't know Hu Chunhua very well; I only know that Hu Chunhua is Hu Jintao's... you know, you need to know about Hu Jintao. I once told everyone about this, right?
I once had a colleague, a colleague who previously worked under Hu Jintao in Tibet. So, when we were eating together, he would often talk about things regarding Hu Jintao, including the time Hu Jintao carried a machine gun—this was something he saw with his own eyes. This was back in the late 1980s, when Hu Jintao served as the First Secretary in Tibet, roughly from 1987 to 1992. At that time, there were so-called riots in Tibet, where the lamas started clashing with the Han people. After things escalated, the lamas actually stormed the compound of the autonomous region. Do you know how extreme it got? Hu Jintao personally carried a machine gun; he was very young at the time, I estimate he was probably in his forties. Since this was over thirty years ago, he was likely under fifty, and he ran out directly carrying a machine gun. This person told me that the relationship between Hu Chunhua and Hu Jintao was very close. They both shared the surname Hu, which has its own connection. Although they were completely unrelated—one grew up in Taixing, Taizhou, and the other in Hubei—they had no family ties. However, it can be said that the relationship between Hu Jintao and Hu Chunhua was very good. They worked together in that place for a long time, for about five years. At the time, Hu Chunhua was the Deputy Secretary of the Communist Youth League in Tibet. Later, after Hu Jintao left Tibet, Hu Chunhua went to 'gild' his resume. There was a place called Nyingchi. He went to Nyingchi to serve as an official, it seems as a regional administrative official. Then, not long after returning from Nyingchi, he went back to Tibet. After arriving in Lhasa, he was sent directly to Beijing, where he served as a Secretary of the Secretariat of the Central Committee of the Communist Youth League. Just think, to go from that place to being a Secretary of the Secretariat, it was already established by then that his relationship with Hu Jintao was very hot, very tight, and Hu Jintao trusted him deeply. It was only after that, having spent about two or three years in Beijing, that he returned—it was completely different for him to return to Tibet after having served as a Secretary of the Secretariat of the Youth League in Beijing. He arrived in Tibet and later became the top leader of Tibet. Then, in the early 2000s, he left Tibet and first went to Hebei, where he seemed to serve as a leader. Later, he went to Inner Mongolia to serve as a leader. By then, it was established—he had served in several places, right? He served as the Chairman and Secretary of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. That established his credentials for entering Beijing. He had served as the top leader in two different places. Later, everyone believed that Hu Chunhua would definitely be Xi Jinping's successor. Under normal circumstances, Xi Jinping staged a coup to usurp the position that should have been Hu Chunhua's. So, the two of them, while it might seem like there was no major conflict between them, were actually already positioned as rivals. You say Xi Jinping and Hu Chunhua—their abilities are absolutely incomparable. Hu Chunhua was tempered; he was tempered at the grassroots level. He had always been tempered in the most difficult and arduous places; it was completely different. His willpower is super strong, and he comes from a rural farming family background; it is completely different.
So now Hu Chunhua has disappeared, and it is very likely that Hu Chunhua—I think, assuming someone wants to take down Xi, to overthrow this princeling, to overthrow Xi Jinping—is the only person who can stabilize the situation. Who is this person? It is Hu Chunhua, whom everyone has in mind. Therefore, Xi Jinping getting rid of Hu Chunhua this time had a purpose; he feels this person is a source of endless future trouble. With this person around, everyone still has a dream. Wouldn't it be great if Hu Chunhua were still around, right? So now, Comrade Hu Chunhua, just imagine, if Xi Jinping were to fall now, for the princelings to send someone back up, there are no princelings left. Hu Chunhua has very senior qualifications, and everyone respects him. Another thing is, look at China, people from the Communist Youth League faction (Tuanpai) who usually rise to power tend to have a relatively good image. Take Li Keqiang for example; his image is extremely good, and everyone respects him. Although Li Keqiang was a bit cowardly as a person, he still did some things. Especially, where was Li Keqiang's brightest spot? He dared to challenge Xi Jinping. If you talk about Li Keqiang, can you name any major political achievements? It's hard. But where was the highlight of his life? It was right then when he mentioned that 600 million people have a monthly income of less than 1,000 yuan. Just on that single point, ordinary people everywhere understood him and could approve of him. Why? Because ordinary people believe that you are speaking the truth, that you are voicing our inner thoughts, that you are telling our true living conditions, whereas Xi Jinping is lying, lying in front of the entire world, lying in front of all of humanity. Therefore, this is why, even after Li Keqiang died, so many people still went to his hometown to offer flowers. Li Keqiang—did he make any contributions to Anhui? No contribution. Did he contribute to the entire Chinese economy? Also not much contribution. If you put Li Keqiang in power, actually it would be the same. China's economy fundamentally does not rely on these people; China's economy grows when the ordinary people are given freedom. What truly drives China's economic development is the vast majority of ordinary people, those private enterprises, and it has nothing to do with so-called economists. What is a market economy? A market economy is about being relaxed; once politics is loosened up, the market economy comes alive. That is a true market economy.
So looking at it now, once Hu Chunhua is pushed out by Xi Jinping, all the dreams of the Chinese people are gone. Look at why so many media outlets have been constantly talking about this Hu Chunhua issue—it means people still hold hope for China. What is the Tuanpai, I say? The Tuanpai is the guarantee under the CCP's ruling framework for ordinary Chinese people to put food on the table, the guarantee for the economy. Once even the Tuanpai are completely wiped out, then it's over! So now the ones slated to go down are Han Zheng, Shen Yueyue, and Zhou Qiang. Zhou Qiang can no longer stir up any trouble, but Zhou Qiang is also a symbolic figure of the Tuanpai. There is also Shen Yueyue from Ningbo. And there is Zhou Qiang. So as of the current situation, Xi Jinping might even get rid of those people too, even getting rid of Han Zheng. He wants to purge all Tuanpai members, everyone who has any connection to the Communist Youth League. This is something I have long predicted: the Tuanpai will eventually be completely wiped out, and not a single person will be allowed to exist. This is a symbolic milestone.
So, what is the situation in Beijing now? Now, the princelings are also nervous. What are they nervous about? That is, once a fight breaks out, who will actually step up? Some of them are getting older, like Liu Yuan and others are getting older. So maybe there needs to be a new person. Supposing these princelings—actually, by nature, they tend to stick together. Now the Xi family has split, so some of them are following the Xi family, while others are still gathering among the princelings, still rallying under the banner of the princelings. These people are currently contending with Xi Jinping. Xi Jinping is very nervous right now, which is why I think that—supposing Hu Chunhua, I myself thought that Xi Jinping wouldn't move against Hu Chunhua right away; I didn't expect him to move so quickly to get rid of Hu Chunhua. If he gets rid of Hu Chunhua, I think it is very likely that these princelings are going to make a move ahead of time, entering a state of armed struggle, armed struggle, where there is no longer anything left to talk about with Xi Jinping. Hu Chunhua, I feel Hu Chunhua should have been gotten rid of by Xi Jinping long ago. Why wasn't he gotten rid of? I think he certainly still considered the face of the princelings, thinking that with Hu Chunhua around, the princelings felt there was still hope. That is, after you, Xi Jinping, step down, Hu Chunhua is very young—he's not much older than me; I was born in 1967, and he was born in 1963, four years older than me. Hu Chunhua can easily serve another two terms, and even after serving another two terms he would only be 73, which is Xi Jinping's age now, right? Therefore, I think it is very likely, my prediction is that something is very likely to happen in Beijing during this period, around the time of the economic guesthouse meetings, around the 20th Central Committee Fifth Plenary Session, because since you made a move, others might also start making a move, and everyone is messing around now, right?
Inside the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), I have always said that once you enter this system, you have entered a den of thieves, and your life and death are not in your own hands. It doesn't matter who you are close to, or how much you flatter or suck up to others; it is useless. They talk about cliques, and within those cliques, there is constant infighting. Just think about it: what is your risk? Let me give you an analogy: if there are two camps, your risk is already 50%. Within your own camp, there is the possibility of internal fission, which adds another 50% risk. In reality, your chance of survival is less than 25%. Some are small circles; within the big circles, there are smaller ones. For example, within Xi Jinping's faction, it is a big circle, but within that big circle, there are smaller ones. Look at Shen Yueyue's family, whom I am familiar with. Look at the state of her entire family now. Shen Yueyue's whole family has been wiped out. Her entire family has actually been taken down. I once talked about the Zhou Jiangyong incident, and many people didn't understand it. They thought Zhou Jiangyong's case was just about Alibaba, but that is not the case at all. Let me tell you, the Alibaba incident was just a smokescreen; it was all fake, and those on the outside don't understand it. For those who truly know, I tell you, Zhou Jiangyong was one of Shen Yueyue's people. Think about Zhou Jiangyong; when he went from Xiangshan to the Hangzhou Bay Development Zone to serve as the director, I already knew about him—he jumped two and a half ranks. Later, I immediately knew that Zhou Jiangyong was about to be promoted again. Not long after, he was directly promoted to the Zhejiang Provincial Party Committee and the provincial government, and eventually became the Secretary of the Hangzhou Municipal Party Committee. You see, inside the CCP, it is like this: everyone is part of the Xi faction, but the Xi faction is divided into several sub-factions. For example, one is the Li Qiang faction, one is someone else's faction, and another is someone else's. Therefore, in the CCP, once you enter, your chance of survival is perhaps only a few percent—very few can truly survive. Of course, while you are in power, you are very glamorous. Wherever you go to inspect, the grassroots level treats you like a god. The CCP is like this: toward their subordinates, they stand tall and high above, while those below are kneeling. But once they enter a higher level, they have to kneel themselves. So this team, this collective, is not a normal collective at all. In Western society, people respect each other, but within the CCP, there is no such thing as respect; there is no need to respect you. It is just a relationship between superiors and subordinates; I tell you to do something, and you do it. The relationship between superior and subordinate is a relationship of life and death. This is the relationship within the CCP. If you say one wrong word or one wrong sentence, your life or death could be decided today, in the blink of an eye. Therefore, this Hu Chunhua incident is very likely to trigger something—it is very likely to trigger the fact that once the 'red second generation' (princelings) take power in the future, they will have no one left. Hu Chunhua is the best card after Xi Jinping steps down. I still believe it is possible, entirely possible, that Hu Chunhua has been controlled by someone, perhaps by the 'red second generation.' This is entirely possible because this person is too important to the 'red second generation.' He is an invisible successor, and his qualifications meet all the requirements. Now, within the entire CCP, there is almost no one who can replace him. That is to say, after Xi Jinping falls, there is almost no one to take his place. His qualifications are the oldest and the best, and he is a person supported by the vast majority of factions within the CCP. So, we have been watching this every day for the past two days. I estimate that I have been sleeping less these past two nights, every night, because it is night for us, while it is daytime in Beijing.
Alright, I will stop here for this topic. Thank you all for watching, and I will see you in the next topic.