Xi Jinping Is Stripping Cai Qi of Real Power! Preparing the Ground to Purge Cai Qi
This video analyzes changes in the top power structure of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), pointing out that Cai Qi's power is being weakened by Xi Jinping, and he faces the danger of being thoroughly purged. Host Hu Liren discusses the potential fate Cai Qi might face, the similarities to the Lin Biao Incident, and Li Qiang's role as a transitional figure. He argues that intense power struggles exist within the Communist Party, and that Cai Qi, holding military power, has become Xi Jinping's primary target for defense and purging.
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In today's episode, I'd like to talk to you all about Cai Qi again. It should be said that Cai Qi is currently in extreme danger. Well, as for Cai Qi, by next year, the possibility of him going up—that is, remaining in his current position—is almost non-existent; that's one point. Furthermore, Cai Qi's power is currently being weakened by Xi Jinping, because his power has grown too large. Once his power became too large, Xi Jinping likely perceived it as a very huge threat to himself, especially a huge threat to his next successor. Cai Qi cannot—uh, previously many media outlets speculated that Cai Qi might become Xi's successor, but it's completely impossible. If, hypothetically, Cai Qi were to become Xi's successor, then the future regime would belong to the Cai family, not the Xi family. All of Xi's assets, his family's assets, would all be purged. That's because Cai Qi is a ruthless and cold-blooded person; he is different from others. Now, you see, there's another theory that Li Qiang—yes, Premier Li Qiang—might become his successor. I think that possibility is also very slim. Li Qiang is merely a transitional figure. A transitional figure—his ability within the party, his capacity to control things, is completely lacking, completely impossible! Because his positioning has been clearly defined: he is positioned to handle administrative management. Party management and military management have nothing to do with him, and he couldn't possibly handle such things. That is to say...
Ah, so there is a theory that Xi Jinping still holds military power and party power. As for the post of state president, it is assumed by Cai Qi, and it is absolutely impossible for the anti-Xi faction to take it. Letting him serve as state president wouldn't make much difference from Xi Jinping serving as state president. The Xi family still firmly controls and holds the resources of the entire country, and this point is something that Xi Jinping's opponents would never agree to. Therefore, at present, the main question is how to deal with Cai Qi. As for Cai Qi, Xi Jinping, uh, should it be in the first half of this year or last year? Uh, probably the first half of this year, suddenly gave him a title, which is, uh, the President of the Central Party School. Actually, this title is just nominal. But, I think, this is a way out given to Cai Qi, a graceful exit so to speak. He cannot immediately—because Cai Qi's influence is very large. If he were to move against Cai Qi right now, many of Cai Qi's subordinates might rebel. He also has his own faction, and Cai Qi has his own faction as well. So one possibility is to make him—meaning he is getting older—let him take the post of Party School President, right? Under such circumstances, your other duties are gradually handed over. Actually, this exit is meant to oust him from the highest power circle of Zhongnanhai, to let him handle some specific administrative work. This is the route designed by Xi Jinping, a route designed in this way. So, let us analyze, let us analyze this. Even if Xi Jinping squeezes Cai Qi out of this power circle and sends him to the Party School as president, right? Under such circumstances, Cai Qi's appeal and his network of connections—because Cai Qi has been assisting Xi Jinping for so many years, meaning that many people under Xi Jinping actually rely on Cai Qi; Cai Qi is like a grand eunuch. He has his resources within the Communist Party, right? So even if he leaves this post and goes to the Party School, his influence remains. Especially given the positions of the officials arranged by Cai Qi after taking office previously, his influence within this circle is still quite significant.
I think Xi Jinping has only one way, which is to remove Cai Qi completely, to make him disappear entirely. The Communist Party is not about how good our relationship is, that you went through thick and thin with me, right? You built the regime with me, you are assisting me, so you are my benefactor. There are no benefactors within the Communist Party, absolutely no so-called benefactors, you know? What is there inside? Only power, only struggle. They treat everyone as an object of struggle, meaning they will assume—suppose you, Cai Qi, want to rebel against me, how much damage would it cause me, right? How much risk would it pose to me, or to my family, or to my successor? They measure things this way. When someone evaluates someone else—this system of things I'm talking about in the Communist Party has always moved in this direction, it has always been such a convention, such a convention. Unless, in administrative terms, you, Cai Qi, are different; you hold military power, you once wielded military power. These people—so, I am guessing whether Cai Qi might repeat something like the past history between Mao and Lin Biao? Cai Qi currently has resources and can mobilize many things. Let me give you an example: for Li Qiang to mobilize military resources, that is impossible. But Cai Qi has them; to this day, Cai Qi still has this capability, right? Although his power has been weakened, he still has this capability. Under such circumstances, is it possible that he feels, perhaps, I can no longer protect myself, my whole family can no longer be protected? Is it possible that he might directly take his family and flee abroad, just like Lin Biao did back then? I think this possibility is very high. The interior of the Communist Party has now reached this point. I think, if Zhang Youxia had known beforehand about his ending today, if he had known in advance, he definitely would have fled. First, he would fight it out; if he doesn't have the capability to fight it out, or if he cannot mobilize troops from far away to fight, then he only has one way left, which is to escape. Right? This is a human instinct for self-preservation. Just like if you are coming to arrest me, I run—this possibility is entirely there. And this possibility is very high, so I think it is very likely that within the Communist Party, people like Cai Qi who can mobilize military resources—for instance, who can mobilize airplanes, right? Who can escape—such people, some people might no longer have these resources. For example, members of the Central Security Bureau, whose homes are already monitored twenty-four hours a day, right, or whose entire families are already being watched, then they completely lack this possibility, right? But does Cai Qi have the potential for this kind of situation? A situation like Lin Biao's? I think it is possible. Therefore, I have been closely tracking information about Cai Qi recently, tracking information about Cai Qi. As long as there is news from Beijing, I will ask about Cai Qi's situation. Uh, if something like this happens to Cai Qi, I think it would be completely normal. I think it is completely normal; he is in a very, he is already in extreme danger!
And openly, you know, as everyone has already seen clearly, lately there has been a massive amount of coverage about Li Qiang. Take today, for example, look, er, Xi—of course the top headline is definitely Xi Jinping, but the second one is Li Qiang. In fact, for a while, Li Qiang had practically vanished without a trace, and every single news item from Xinhua News Agency every day was about Xi—Xi Jinping. Back then, basically, Xi Jinping was using propaganda to brainwash, to brainwash over a billion people across China. Now, though, Xi Jinping is promoting Li Qiang, pushing Li Qiang. I think, uh, I think Li Qiang might, might possibly become the President of the State. But he would only be a transitional figure, because Li Qiang has no real power; Xi Jinping can control him. Whereas Cai Qi, Xi Jinping has no way to control him, right? He has the ability to confront Xi Jinping, while Li Qiang has no, no ability to confront Xi Jinping, right? Hmm, so inside the Communist Party, it is all an absolute mess. The further along it goes, you see, the narrower the Communist Party's path becomes; this road gets narrower and narrower, so narrow that in the end, with so many people trying to push through a single door, internal strife begins, internal infighting begins. That is what Xi Jinping is currently facing. All right, we'll leave this topic here for now. Regarding Cai Qi, I think Cai Qi might step down within the next few months. And it won't be a normal exit; it will be abnormal. He might well become the very first person purged by Xi Jinping among the highest, highest-ranking figures in the CCP right now, the very first, ah. Because to Xi Jinping, Cai Qi is the most dangerous. Other personnel, those in the National People's Congress or the CPPCC, have no military authority, but Cai Qi holds military authority. Ah, so I think it is very likely Xi Jinping will take Cai Qi down first. Ah, otherwise Cai Qi will either fight him head-on or run away; there are only a few paths. That's pretty much it, all right?