Xi Jinping's Most Dangerous Confidant Cai Qi: His Good Days Are Numbered!

This video, hosted by Hu Liren, analyzes the high-level CCP power dynamics and the dangerous relationship between Xi Jinping and Cai Qi. The program points out that Cai Qi controls the Central Security Bureau, the General Office of the CCP Central Committee, as well as core security and personnel matters in Zhongnanhai, forming a unique life-or-death power struggle with Xi Jinping, and predicts that Xi Jinping may take action against Cai Qi at a critical moment.

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Hello viewers and friends. In tonight's episode, I will continue to talk to you about a person, and that is Cai Qi. I often do the math for Cai Qi, and he should be reaching his end very soon. If you truly understand the internal rules and patterns of the Communist Party, and understand the interpersonal relationships within the Communist Party, you will know how dangerous Cai Qi's situation is. Outside observers generally consider him to currently rank fifth within the CCP. Look at Xi Jinping, right? On the surface, Premier Li Qiang is the number two figure, the number three figure is Zhao Leji, CPPCC Chairman Wang Huning ranks fourth, and Cai Qi ranks fifth.

When you look at their daily work, after Cai Qi stepped down as Secretary of the Beijing Municipal Party Committee all these years ago, he went directly into the General Office of the CCP Central Committee and served as the chief official of the General Office. Actually, his daily work centers entirely around Xi Jinping. How much power does he have? That is to say, anyone who wants to see Xi Jinping, any document or manuscript you give to Xi Jinping, whether you want to convey a message or request a meeting with Xi Jinping, must pass through him; he is the final checkpoint. Second, everyone entering and leaving Zhongnanhai—because he controls the Central Security Bureau, a security agency under the General Office, all 70,000 staff of the General Office are managed by him—everyone entering and exiting Zhongnanhai must be designated by him.

Of course, Zhongnanhai has security checkpoint after checkpoint; it's not like you can just walk around anywhere once you get in. It's not like that. I have a friend who works in Zhongnanhai, and he once told me that across the entire Zhongnanhai area, there are very strict security checkpoints layer by layer. If you work in a specific place, you stay right there; you cannot wander around randomly. What is Cai Qi actually doing? He manages and controls everything about Xi Jinping, including his daily routine, his physical health, and everything else—from getting up in the morning to sleeping at night, including the food he eats, all managed by the General Office. In other words, theoretically, Xi Jinping is firmly under his control, even down to his life and death. The Chinese used to have a saying, "holding the Emperor hostage to command the warlords." Who can achieve this? Cai Qi, the grand majordomo of the inner court, can achieve this.

So why can he achieve this? Because when he and Xi were in Fujian, back when they were very young, more than 20 or 30 years ago, the two of them were partners. Think about it, and then look at Cai Qi's history, including Cai Qi—I made a video last year talking about what kind of family Cai Qi comes from and what kind of person his father was. In fact, these people are all ruthless characters inside the Communist Party. That is to say, he dares to resort to violence and bloodshed, dares to face storms, and knows his position very well. All the dirty work Xi Jinping needed done was carried out by Cai Qi. Right now, Xi Jinping is also very clear about what kind of situation he is in—troubles inside and outside, having offended so many people. The work Cai Qi does... if you talk about controlling Xi Jinping, Cai Qi definitely cannot escape it. In the future, once something happens to Xi Jinping, Cai Qi will definitely be the direct target as the number two figure. People like Zhao Leji, Li Qiang, and Wang Huning might still have a way to step down safely, but Cai Qi definitely has no room to step down safely. In other words, his life and death are tied directly to Xi Jinping.

As for the current situation, Xi Jinping has reached such a point that the Xi Jinping we understand from the outside is completely different from the Xi Jinping he understands. He knows much more about Xi Jinping than we do, including his physical condition, which is something you cannot escape. Who will make a move? I believe Cai Qi definitely has ambition, and he must be thinking: in the event that Xi Jinping falls, who will take charge of this? People on the outside now say Li Jiang is in charge, but let me tell you, Li Jiang is merely a figurehead; he has no power, the premier has no power. Can he mobilize the military? Can he mobilize the Central Guard Bureau? No. What he can mobilize are various ministries and commissions; he is the person who handles concrete operations, meaning he is just like a factory manager. Under such circumstances, while everyone is now saying Li Jiang might be the number two figure, the people Li Jiang comes into contact with are completely different from those Cai Qi contacts. Everyone Xi Jinping wants to meet must first pass through Cai Qi, so the people Cai Qi contacts are completely different from those Li Jiang contacts. The people Li Jiang contacts are operational-level figures, economic figures, financial figures, and management figures, whereas the people Cai Qi contacts are political figures and military figures. Therefore, Cai Qi is fully capable of controlling the situation once Xi Jinping falls. At the very least, he has troops, and assuming he has allied with someone in the military over so many years, it is very likely he can control the Central Guard Bureau and the Central Military Commission. Once these two departments are firmly controlled, this realm will be his.

If he waits for Xi Jinping to fall and gets passively arrested and purged, or if he takes the initiative to strike first, both are entirely possible. Under these circumstances, Xi Jinping is also very clear that in the future he will never allow someone with a different surname to control the realm to come. This is a realm conquered by his own Xi family; how could he possibly allow someone with a different surname to control his realm? Once someone else controls his realm, his entire family will be thoroughly purged, exactly like Mao did back in the day. Therefore, under these circumstances, he must find one of his own people—meaning someone from the Xi family—to replace Cai Qi. How to replace him? The moment you replace Cai Qi, Cai Qi is also thinking: the moment you, Xi Jinping, fall, won't I be purged along with you? At that time, I won't even have power, and I will have no way to mobilize these people and resources. The resources in Cai Qi's hands are the most abundant. So what do the two of them invisibly become? They become adversaries, opponents, life-and-death rivals. A life-and-death rival is actually the person closest to Xi Jinping who is in the most danger. Look at many emperors of the past: when they were nearing the end, fearing that their future descendants inheriting the realm would have to look to veteran officials for deference, they would kill those veteran officials because the veteran officials held too many resources, especially those with real power. Cai Qi absolutely holds real power; it can be said that once Xi Jinping falls, Cai Qi can control the entire country. All these people in Zhongnanhai, the entire central hub of the Communist Party, and the entire city of Beijing are controlled by him. He can purge whoever he wants; he can snatch Wang Huning away overnight, and similarly snatch Zhao Leji and all others, including anyone he wants from the General Office—he currently has this capability. Therefore, under these circumstances, if Xi Jinping wants to act, including against members of the Xi family, Cai Qi has the ability to control them. Thus, Xi Jinping plays politics so well, and you see how he is now pulling up all these so-called hidden rivals like pulling out nails one by one. But there is a huge nail in front of him, and this person is a ticking time bomb—that is Cai Qi. So the closer Xi Jinping gets to his critical moment, which is his life-or-death critical moment, the closer the time point for Cai Qi to fall from power and meet his downfall is approaching.

I believe it is very likely that Xi Jinping will first move against these members of the Standing Committee. When you move against people like Wang Huning, once he falls, he has social relations throughout society and networks within the interior of the Communist Party, but he has no real power and no operational level. He has cohesion, but no operational capability, and people like Zhao Leji also lack operational capability. Look at Cai Qi now; he has operational capability. With a single phone call, a group of people can rush directly into your office and haul you away. He controls all the important joints and key points throughout Beijing. Therefore, under these circumstances, Cai Qi's time is running short—most likely around the Fifth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee or sometime next year. When was the last time Zhang Youxia met his downfall? It happened in December and was made public in January. That incident involving Zhang Youxia was something I calculated through fortune-telling. I made a video around early September saying that Zhang Youxia was going to fall, and moreover, before the incident happened, Xi Jinping sent someone into the Central Military Commission. Fourteen or fifteen days later, at the end of August or September 1, Zhang Shengmin was suddenly appointed as Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission. Three months later, from September to December, Zhang Youxia was secretly controlled and arrested, and it was immediately announced in January. This was just me joking with some friends at the time; I said I was making calculations with my fingers, and I reckon Cai Qi has now reached this critical point as well, having reached this critical point.

Inside the Communist Party, there is no such thing as having good relations between you and me; there is only shutting your mouth, locking you down, and making you disappear. Because only when you disappear does my risk become smaller. Once Xi Jinping falls, regarding Cai Qi's moves, not even Peng Liyuan will be able to control him, nor will Xi Yuanping be able to control him. If you wanted to control him, the Central Military Commission no longer possesses the command and dispatch capability right now. The Central Military Commission has now been reduced to just an agency; there are many troops it simply cannot deploy, and right now everyone is against Xi. Another point: if Cai Qi were to take action against Xi, Cai Qi would become a universal hero. Because people usually regard Xi Jinping as the primary target. Up until today, this country has been all about Xi Jinping. Everyone is opposing Xi, denouncing Xi, opposing Xi—wrecking the entire Chinese economy to this point and wrecking the internal state of the Communist Party to this point—no one would ever think of Cai Qi. But first of all, what we are talking about, what is mentioned is Xi, it's just Xi. So if Cai Qi gets rid of Xi, neutralizes him, turns against him, then Cai Qi would genuinely become a hero to the whole world, the number one figure among the anti-Xi faction.

Now, Xi Jinping is also thinking: Cai Qi, what if I suddenly collapse? As for his condition, you really never know. Maybe one day, out of nowhere, a blood vessel bursts, and he lies down, falling into a coma—what do you do? Under such circumstances, who gets to decide the fate of the nation? Who has the power to decide the fate of the nation? There is only one person, and that is this man, Cai Qi. He is the Director of the General Office of the CCP Central Committee and the First Secretary. Control over all of Zhongnanhai and control over the entire city of Beijing belong to him, including the security personnel guarding each of the ministries and commissions, who are now all from the Central Security Bureau. If it weren't for the Central Security Bureau carrying out the operations, even if Xi Jinping wanted to arrest people, he wouldn't be able to catch anyone. They have their own bodyguards, and a person could just suddenly vanish. Disappearing is very simple nowadays; you can't possibly conduct an exhaustive manhunt everywhere, you won't find them—get rid of the cell phone, turn off all electronic devices, find a place or a room to hide in, and you will never find them.

So the current situation of the Communist Party is just like this: the Central Security Bureau controls all high-ranking CCP officials; they took control long ago. When did they take control? They took control more than ten years ago. After Xi Jinping came to power—I made a video last year talking about this with everyone—the news coming out of Beijing was that the personnel expanded from 10,000 to 70,000, which means increasing to 70,000. All the critical departments, ministries, and commissions, including every institution of the State Council, are all controlled by people from the Central Security Bureau. Including where? Including those people, those generals inside the Central Military Commission compound. You see, back when those veteran generals of the Central Military Commission were arrested, no major conflicts occurred, no shootouts broke out, because originally they had their own bodyguards, but later those bodyguards were all replaced, completely replaced by people from the Central Security Bureau. It is equivalent to putting every single one of you, theoretically everyone, under house arrest. Every single action of yours has to be reported; there are daily logs submitted directly to the Central Security Bureau's information center. All of this is controlled by Cai Qi, and he can reassign anyone at will. What are you doing today? What is your location? How many people are accompanying you? Who is on duty with you? It is all completely systematized now, integrating all this technology into those places.

You see, when ordinary people post a complaint on the internet, they are caught immediately. The phone calls of the entire families, of all the important members of these people's families, are wiretapped. The Central Security Bureau specifically has a surveillance center; it has a base in Langfang, north of Beijing. Therefore, looking at Cai Qi approaching the year-end hurdles this year, whether Cai Qi can truly survive the year-end hurdle is hard to say. Xi Jinping has reached such a stage now where the vast majority of people are just waiting and watching. Nowadays, if any media still believe that Xi Jinping will be able to continue ruling next year, such media are already extremely rare. That is to say, everyone is watching and waiting; Xi Jinping may step down by next year. Before stepping down, he needs to make a major deployment, a sweeping, major personnel deployment. He must guarantee the safety of his own family, guarantee the safety of his inner circle. When I say the safety of his inner circle, I don't mean people like Cai Qi and Li Qiang, nor people like Zhao Leji and Wang Huning—it's nothing like that; it is the safety of his entire family, his real core.

People like Cai Qi, Li Qiang, and Wang Huning are all merely his underlings. He believes these people are not his family at all, and he cannot possibly transfer power to them, because these people all bear other family names and could subvert him or betray him at any time and anywhere. That is just how it is inside the Communist Party, just like Mao back in the day. Think about how all the comrades and comrades-in-arms around him were purged one by one, and many of these people used to support him. This is CCP politics; CCP politics is precisely like this—each is an adversary to the other. Power is just like this, filled with struggle, and it is always a life-and-death struggle. Previously, the CCP itself stated that our struggles are a matter of life and death: today we are comrades on the same battlefront; tomorrow we turn into adversaries, into political enemies. You don't even know how many people inexplicably became enemies and went straight to meet Marx. Xi Jinping is in the exact same situation right now.

Therefore, this thing about the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) simply does not happen in democratic countries. Under the CCP, once you get mixed into their ranks, you never know when your life will come to an abrupt end. It has nothing to do with corruption or lifestyle depravity—everyone is corrupt there. Alright, let us wait patiently. Let us wait for a major event: the life-or-death struggle between Cai Qi and Xi Jinping, to see who will emerge victorious. Well, that's all for this topic. Thank you all for watching, and see you in the next topic.