Post-Xi Jinping China will turn into a warlord landscape, and the fragmentation of China is a certainty.

In the program, Hu Liren analyzed the purges and political crisis within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) following the Fifth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee, pointing out that Xi Jinping currently has no advantages left and the legitimacy of his regime is being challenged. He predicts that post-Xi Jinping China will no longer be a unified state, but will instead move toward fragmentation and transform into a warlord-dominated landscape, eventually leading to regional autonomy and a federal system.

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The Fifth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee has concluded. In fact, the CCP has now entered a true period of purging. This entire purging process may be completed within a few months. Because the current political situation is still controlled by Xi Jinping, this is beyond doubt. Everyone, if you see me talking about these events, talking about some events within the Communist Party, I am not denying, I am not denying that Xi Jinping has no power! Even if Xi Jinping, suppose Xi Jinping had no power, he would have stepped down long ago; if he had no influence, he would have stepped down long ago! It's just that I think, what I have been saying has always been my point of view, it has always been like this. Xi Jinping's anti-Xi forces are becoming stronger and stronger, and then, they are gathering more and more, they have gathered together. It used to be covert, there might have been some small anti-Xi forces, but as Xi Jinping's methods become more and more vicious, the entire political atmosphere is becoming more and more severe, and these officials, these people inside the Communist Party, really cannot tolerate it anymore, they cannot tolerate it anymore! Even the common people cannot tolerate it anymore. In other words, public opinion is constantly developing in the direction of being anti-Xi. It is not just public opinion, it is in every aspect, every aspect. Actually, for a person to do evil, there is always a process. Look at when he came to power in 2013, in fact, many people were optimistic about Xi Jinping, except for people like me. I was scolded, everyone remember! I am a person who has been scolded for many years. Hmm, from 2013 when Xi Jinping came to power, when I was participating in various activities in Shanghai, China, I raised it, I raised my point of view, I felt that after Xi Jinping came to power, the situation in China might change, politics would become more and more tightened, and the economy would slide more and more. This is my consistent, consistent, consistent, that is, my consistent point of view, consistent point of view, it has not changed for more than ten years, it has not changed. And at that time during the Hu Jintao era, I said at the time that Hu Jintao was actually a leftist, and had started to develop in a leftist direction. Developing in a leftist direction, look at why Hu Jintao was developing in a leftist direction? Look at many of the videos of Hu Jintao before, when he attended those party meetings, he often wore military uniforms, this military uniform of course had no shoulder straps. He was always indicating, indicating, I am the Chairman of the Central Military Commission. Did everyone notice, at that time I already felt that this person had, look at whether Deng Xiaoping had it? Deng Xiaoping did not, Deng Xiaoping did not, he took off his military uniform, right? Deng Xiaoping at that time. I remember at that time, when he was interviewed by American reporters, he once said: "At that time, there was a very famous reporter in the United States, I forgot who, a very famous reporter interviewed him, when he interviewed him alone, he said, he said that you, Deng Xiaoping, why did you not see these portraits of you, Deng Xiaoping, in China?"

Right across the streets and alleys of China, things used to be like this, and the Chinese Communist Party was like this. When Mao was in power, there were portraits of Mao everywhere. Even more than portraits, there were statues—statues of Mao waving his hand could be found in universities all across China. Many of these statues, many of them were later quietly removed, and many young people... they were quietly taken down. Some were even located on the major roads of many cities, where there were statues of Mao waving, wearing a big coat, the statue of the great leader. At that time, it was about creating a god, and creating a god was actually the same as in North Korea. Deng Xiaoping was very, very disgusted by this routine, extremely disgusted by it. Therefore, when urban reforms were taking place at the time, after many statues of Mao were toppled, the Chinese government—the higher-level central government—turned a blind eye. That is, they did not engage in personality cults, they did not engage in personality cults. By the time of the Hu Jintao era, there began to be a slight leaning toward the left. Therefore, the emergence of Xi Jinping... actually, Hu Jintao is the chief culprit, the chief culprit.

Well, let me continue. I will talk about why, after I started doing self-media, given my work experience and my understanding of Chinese society as a whole and the Chinese government—because the people I might come into contact with are different from ordinary ordinary folks, right? My background, including my family, my lineage is also different from ordinary Chinese families. Ah, so when I am judging certain things, I have a certain foresight. There might be many people who still don't understand me, don't understand me. When I talk about certain events, some people cannot understand. Chinese people are often like this: when you are talking about something, if they don't understand, they oppose you. They don't... many people don't know how to listen. Perhaps I talked about many things, just like I told you, I think back in 2015 or 2016, when I attended a classmate reunion, at that time I vehemently belittled Xi Jinping; I never looked favorably upon Xi Jinping at all. Many of my classmates attacked me. Many classmates, childhood friends from back then, attacked me, thinking that Hu Liren, you are talking nonsense there. Now, later on after the pandemic ended, look at it again now, look at the overall situation in China now, look at it again—these people have nothing left to say, they have nothing left to say, right? There are many things, it's like this: other people might have a different perspective from yours, stand in a different position, and what they see is different, right? It's like me—when I look at all people, look at all Chinese people, as long as someone is buttering up the Chinese Communist Party, I... I think this person is brain-dead, and has been extremely poisoned. This has always been my consistent mindset, which many people cannot understand, thinking, "Hey, sometimes this country, the country you see, for example, the reform and opening up, it was very good, it was you are doing pretty well." Of course, for ordinary people, as long as there is food to eat, of course it is good. But politically speaking, the entire process of reform and opening up was actually true: the overall political situation in China fundamentally did not change, and at any moment it could perhaps be a bit relaxed, but at any moment it could also return to this ultra-leftist route. Now Xi Jinping has proven this once again. Therefore, when all of us watch shows, when we look at the judgments of these self-media, we truly need to have foresight, we need to have some foresight.

When I am talking about Xi Jinping, I have already seen the post-Xi Jinping era; I know that Xi Jinping is reaching his end soon. Perhaps many people cannot agree, many people cannot agree. Look at Xi Jinping, look at Xi Jinping, what advantages does he still have? Apart from his current three positions, he still has some military forces. Tell me, what other advantages does he have? Who supports him? Who supports him? Right? People are compared with people. When we analyze an event or a person, we always list the person's strengths, weaknesses, current position, and surrounding resources to analyze them, and then judge and score that person. Judging this is just like hiring someone. Back then, if I needed to hire for a vice president position or a CTO position, I certainly... I might look at ten people or twenty people, and then score them, right? List all their advantages—how many projects have you done? What kind of situation are you in, right? Your management ability, your technical ability, right? All your aspects, even your family, right? Your resume, right? Background checks are often required for such senior positions. Ah, after pulling that out, we then make a judgment on whether to employ a certain person, right? Make a comparison, right? Is it necessary to have various resources? Take the resources around him and his personal situation and compare them. Xi Jinping, if you take him out now for comparison and analysis, this person has almost no advantages left; he has no advantages anymore. In other words, this person is already terminally ill, already sick, save for repression. In fact, the current situation of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)—the current situation of the CCP has reached what point? It has reached a point where the military completely controls the country, right? There is no democracy at all, no freedom, nothing of what the Communist Party claims about internal democracy—wanting to carry out internal democracy within the Communist Party. Just think, isn't this bragging? You say these people, these people, look at those sitting on the stage at the 20th Central Committee fifth plenary session. Who do you think has the right to speak? Who do you think has the right to speak? Only one person, Xi Jinping. Everyone is watching his facial expressions. Inside the entire Communist Party system, every single day is spent studying, just like studying Mao's quotations in the past, right? Now these people can't wait to—how should I put it? If you want to arrest me, I can't wait to dance a loyalty dance for you. Sailing the seas depends on the helmsman—China used to be like this, China was all about showing loyalty. I used to tell everyone, I said when I was a child, encountering these people, by the time of the Cultural Revolution, the late Cultural Revolution—I saw it in the late Cultural Revolution. Look at whether I love Chairman Mao or not! Look at whether I love Chairman Mao? Take that... Take that Chairman Mao badge, the Chairman Mao badge back then had a pin, pinned right into the flesh, bleeding; some people pinned one, right? Well, you'd do that, I'd take from home—I'd take one, pin five or six, covered in blood. People had already reached a state of frenzy and mental illness; this country has now turned into a psychiatric hospital, a country of mental illness.

Right? Sometimes when I analyze this country, I actually analyze it quite thoroughly. You see, I don't go into very fine details, but when you analyze this society, when you analyze this country, I have always said that this country has rotted to such an extent that no other country in the world can, can... Just look, you look at this country, you look at the current state of this country, look at all these telecom scammers, how many there are. They are all scamming, scamming their own fellow citizens. They are all scamming their own compatriots. Some people say, 'Oh, what has this country come to? People don't even dare to help an elderly person who has fallen.' Let me tell you, the fact that people don't dare to help an elderly person who has fallen isn't just a recent thing; it has been like that for a long time. Do you dare to help an elderly person who has fallen? Look at the Cultural Revolution, did anyone dare to help? Look at the Cultural Revolution, when a perfectly fine old professor next door was dragged out, beaten, and tortured, and the next day he was reported, did anyone say a fair word for him? No. Look at the time of the struggle sessions against landlords, who was it that dragged the landlords out to be struggled? Who was it that used sticks to beat these landlords? It was the common people. It was the older generation. The evil in China, the evil in this society, is not something that just started now; it was never just about the present. I have said before, many people in many parts of China couldn't understand this. During the Cultural Revolution, there were many people in Shanghai, many comprador capitalists, who had big houses, garden villas, three-story or two-story houses. Do you know who went to seize their houses later? It was the very people they had supported, some of whom had been supported by them since they were young, like a master and an apprentice. Some were even bosses; I was the boss, and the people below were all supported by me, right? I gave you a job, I gave you a high salary. There were many, many people, and it is very likely that these people were the managers of the enterprises themselves. Later, when the companies were merged, everyone was in it. Alright, in the end, the boss has money, your house is so big, this money was exploited, so be it, I want that south-facing room in your house, I'm moving in, it's robbery. Therefore, I say that after the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) came to power, what did this country become? It was a reverse selection, an entire process of elimination, an entire process of elimination.

Ah, so many people, wave after wave, are fleeing. The intellectuals in China are now saying that those who have left China from 1949 to the present are the intellectual elites and the wealthy elites. During the Mao era, the intellectual elites and wealthy elites, right at the beginning from 1949 to the 1950s, were still able to flee, flee to Hong Kong, flee elsewhere; they fled abroad. At that time, you could only flee to Hong Kong, flee abroad, right? Look at people like Ni Kuang in the past, these people, they all fled, they all fled to those places, right? Later, those who couldn't flee were killed or thrown into prison. By 1976, after Mao died, this country turned into a place full of rotten people, all rotten people; good people turned into rotten people, it's true. Alright, then in the 1980s, many people might not understand, but I do. By the 1980s, in Shanghai, I was in Shanghai, those capitalists in Shanghai, whose homes were looted and who were struggled against during the Cultural Revolution, their children saw that they could run abroad, and immediately organized their families. When the reform and opening up started, they began to run abroad. They started running abroad in the 1980s. In the 1990s, it was all these elites, some of whom were the best students, they all ran. Look at how many came back? Those who were sent by the government didn't come back; they couldn't come back. The reason they couldn't come back is that these people saw the CCP, saw the corruption of the entire society; this society is completely abnormal. Who would be willing to put their children back in China? No one is willing.

Right? So under these circumstances, look at the whole country now. Look at who is left. There are only two types of people left: one group is the sycophants, and the other is the slaves. As for the intellectuals and capable people, they have either been silenced or thrown directly into prison by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), right? In China, look, if you have a faith, if you join a Christian group, they will arrest you. Is what I am saying the truth? Look at how many pastors have been arrested. Since Xi Jinping came to power, everything is completely different, completely different. Regarding the situation of Xi Jinping you mentioned, it is absolutely impossible for him to serve another term, absolutely impossible, right? If he were to serve another term, this country would be finished, this country would fall into chaos. Therefore, I think, in the post-Xi Jinping era, whether he dies of illness or steps down normally, what stage has the whole country reached? It is what everyone is saying: the CCP is going to perish. In other words, those who truly understand the CCP and Chinese politics now have already seen the demise of the CCP. The demise of the CCP will occur simultaneously with the demise of Xi Jinping. So what will happen? What will happen is the future fragmentation of the entire country, the entire country will split. China currently has many problems that are under high pressure, and the CCP uses the gun to solve problems. But using the gun to solve problems is only temporary. When your regime is about to collapse, your gun will no longer work. What will it turn into then? It will turn into fragmentation, it will turn into fragmentation, right? Everyone is dissatisfied now. Now there are two military commissions, two armies; one is a nominal military commission, just like Xi Jinping's military commission. You see, the hardest thing for Xi Jinping to control is the military. If he were able to firmly control the military at this moment, I tell you, he would not be conducting purges, conducting major purges; he would just arrest all these people at the top. Why would he need to talk to you about comprehensive party rectification? Strict party governance would not be needed at all. He has the final say; why start a movement? When Xi Jinping himself thinks he needs to start one, when he calls for movements within the CCP, he is actually already unable to hold on. He needs a reason, he needs many people to agree with him, so he comes up with something called comprehensive strict party governance. If you could handle everything, you would just arrest these people; those who threaten you, you would just take them away. No one would care, no one could stop you. Now, is it even hard for him to arrest Hu Chunhua? One day he might... actually, if he had arrested all these people around him, these factional people who should have been arrested, then his power would be truly solid. Now I estimate it is very difficult for him, very difficult. He now wants to mobilize the whole population, just like Mao did during the Cultural Revolution, to launch a nationwide movement for a great cultural revolution. Look at how these young people were incited, incited by him. Now, Xi Jinping completely lacks this ability, lacks this ability. Therefore, I predict that once Xi Jinping falls—I predict it will be in about six months to a year—he will definitely step down, he will definitely step down, right? The pressure on him is too great, and there are too many people around him who oppose him. Also, everyone needs to understand, what to understand? Understand that those who are about to be arrested actually have the ability to fight back, they have the ability to fight back. There are only two ways: one is to run away, and if you can't run away, then what? Struggle. Then we bind together to struggle. Resistance is nothing more than... currently, the resistance against Xi Jinping is nothing more than using violent means, using the military, adopting the military; there is only one way, only one way, there is no other way. Therefore, the CCP will definitely have a huge internal collision. Now it is a political collision; in the next few months, it is very likely that a military collision, a clash, will occur. Otherwise, why would Xi Jinping hold meetings? There is no need to hold meetings at all; he could just take people away directly. Now, however many people there are, he takes them away. What is Xi Jinping now? He is now ruling through terror. Look, there is one thing everyone has seen. To what extent has Xi Jinping reached now? Look at the venue of the 20th Central Committee's Fifth Plenary Session; there are several rows of seats that are empty. I saw about two or three rows of seats that were empty, and it was a very long, very long row of seats that were empty. Do you know what the CCP was like before? This is rare, unprecedented, I can say that. Even if someone was missing before, the CCP would find a way to create an illusion. What is an illusion? It means taking people from below—originally this position was yours—and bringing people from below up. After bringing them up, they sit tightly together, and then there are some people behind, and he finds some staff members to sit in as substitutes, giving people an illusion that we are all very united. Now Xi Jinping is intentionally separating them, separating these people. Actually, this is also a signal, also a signal, that he admits, he admits several signals. One signal is that he has already warned the outside world: I have already arrested so many people, look at these people. Before, if one person was arrested, maybe one person next to them would be missing; the position in the middle was originally yours, and this person was arrested, so a position was missing. Now it is not like that; now it is row by row, whole rows are empty. This is a kind of signal, that is, he is telling the outside world: I have already arrested many people, look at how many seats are empty; you can see it at a glance.

Second, he may have already sent a signal, which means that a huge split, a huge split has emerged within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), and there are already chasms. He might be sending this kind of signal. Someone specifically interpreted the program regarding this empty seat, and everyone can take a look when you have time. I remember that the BBC seemed to have a program specifically interpreting this empty seat. These are all very important signals, very important! Therefore, I have always believed that Xi Jinping does not have much time left.

Another point is that in the post-Xi Jinping era, if another leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) emerges, the situation might become uncontrollable, potentially leading to the disintegration of the entire country in the future. The disintegration of a country is not a bad thing; it is a good thing, as it resolves many conflicts. Take Xinjiang, for example—Xinjiang would belong to the people of Xinjiang, and Tibet would belong to the people of Tibet, so ethnic issues would no longer arise in the future. You have your framework, I have my territory, and everyone governs themselves. Moreover, given the current situation, it is inevitable that the military will also split. China is too vast; the cultures of the North, South, East, and West are different, and the beliefs are different as well. In such a case, even if people split, the split is certainly only temporary. In the future, some regions and places might reunite after separating, much like the federal system of the United States. In the future, China might also adopt a kind of federal system, where each place—just like in the U.S.—has its own states, and each state has its own laws. I think this is relatively good. Look at the U.S. now; people can move around freely, which is a model for modern society. In the very near future, a large country like China will likely experience such a situation. I believe that if China moves in this direction in the future, conflicts will disappear. Look, the U.S. has many conflicts now—for example, the left and the right. If you don't like the right, you can go live with the left; if you don't like the left, you run to the right. When the leftist society experiences major turmoil, you can go to red states or blue states; in every state, you can move freely, and the population can flow freely. This is the freedom of modern society. Look, no matter how chaotic the U.S. gets, it will never lead to a major war between states; there is no such thing. At most, there is a leftist or right-wing faction causing trouble in a small city—just localized chaos, which will not trigger massive turmoil. Now, China is different. The major ethnic conflicts in China are severe. China's condition is one of enslavement and suppression, much like how the Han people suppress the Tibetans and the Uyghurs in Xinjiang. This is forcing and imposing one's own will onto others. What have I said about the Xinjiang issue before? I asked, just how bad is the Communist Party? They dug up people's minerals, pumped people's oil, and still went on to enslave others in Xinjiang, right? And then they look for history, saying, "Oh, the Han people used to be the territory and land of this place; Xinjiang's land used to belong to the Han people." These are all CCP talking points. Just look at the folkways of Xinjiang; look at what Xinjiang was like before the Communist Party even went there, and you will know. Look at how the CCP authorities suppress Xinjiang—Southern Xinjiang, Northern Xinjiang, Eastern Xinjiang, and Western Xinjiang all have production and construction corps, with massive numbers of Han people sent there to suppress the locals. As long as you understand this history, you know that Xinjiang itself never belonged to China. Talking about these things is useless; you went there simply to enslave others, which is why there are so many so-called ethnic conflicts now, including Tibet as well. In the future, these places will only face one outcome: separation. Not just Han areas, but other regions will split in the future too. The Northeast might have its own Cantonese-speaking region—for example, a Cantonese region like Guangdong; in the future, the culture of the Cantonese region might differ far too much from the North and South! Therefore, to solve these problems, to truly solve China's problems, there is only one way, and that is separation. Hence, I believe that the future CCP, China in the post-Xi Jinping era, will definitely be divided; it is impossible to go back to pursuing a monolithic unified state. Therefore, if there are people around you instilling the ideology of a monolithic unified state into you, those people are just like the Kuomintang; actually, these people are pro-Communist and affected by the mindset of the Communist Party. Why would you be pro-Communist? Why do you want a monolithic unified state? I often joke, saying that if you divorce your wife, and even your parents are divorcing—if you cannot live together and must divorce, why must you insist on a monolithic unified state? Every place has different traits. Take Taiwan, for example—Taiwan has its own culture. If you look at Taiwan's history, you will know that the Kuomintang went there essentially to enslave others because they had nowhere else to run and ended up there. Look at the February 28 Incident; it was just like that back then. Therefore, a local party later emerged—the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)—and eventually the DPP won the victory. What was the victory won by the DPP? Look, now it is firmly controlled by the DPP; the victory won is public opinion, public opinion! Therefore, in the future, public opinion of the entire country will dominate everything and guide China's future. This is an unstoppable trend.

Alright, that's all for today's discussion. Everyone, remember: if you believe in yourself and have foresight, you will understand. Xi Jinping currently has no advantages; he has nothing. Even the legitimacy of his regime is being challenged—it is being challenged. The world will not recognize the CCP regime in the future because you are too barbaric. Once you bring out the dark history of the CCP, you will see that all these histories will be unearthed in the future. Look at the last couple of days, look at this Mbappe incident; it caused such a huge stir, something that has never happened before. Mbappe is just a soccer player, and it was like a joke—someone made Mbappe's face look like that of the dictator Mao Zedong, because Mbappe himself is a bit of a dictator on the team, so people were just joking around, giving him the look of a dictator. The image of a Chinese dictator caused an immediate uproar, an immediate uproar. What is Xi Jinping most afraid of? Everyone must remember, the West now recognizes Xi Jinping as a dictator; he has nowhere left to go. In a nutshell, in the last couple of days, Congress, the U.S. Congress, specifically posted a tweet identifying Mao as a dictator, identifying Mao as a dictator. A few months ago this year, Congress also held a special meeting to identify Xi Jinping as a dictator. As long as the leader of your country, as long as your country is identified by the United States as a dictatorship, and specifically identified by the U.S. government as a dictatorship, then the legitimacy of your regime is challenged, and you are doomed to perish, you are dead, you have no way out. What you are facing is military strikes; what you are ultimately facing is military strikes. Therefore, Xi Jinping is doomed; he has no way out. Alright, thank you all for watching.