Deregistered Pro-CCP Entertainers! Xi Jinping Makes His Move, Beijing Military Media Names Kevin Tsai — Does Supporting Taiwan Independence Mean Death? Puma Shen Breaks Through to Flip Taipei, Yet Chiang Wan-an Can Still Win?

This video discusses the political storm triggered by an article from the CCP military media outlet "Junzhengping Studio" condemning entertainer Kevin Tsai, and analyzes why the military's self-media, rather than the Taiwan Affairs Office, was chosen to make the statement. It also explores the controversy surrounding Nicky Wu after he held a five-star flag during China's National Day and subsequently returned to Taiwan, as well as the latest polling and election analysis for the Taipei mayoral race involving Chiang Wan-an and Puma Shen.

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I want to erase everything related to Kevin Tsai. I really loved watching Kangsi Coming, but he has truly disappointed me. One China, both sides of the strait are one family—these past few days, the CCP has finally spoken out and taken action. It didn't target Puma Shen's "willows" or his "ocean currents," which drew 120,000 people on the day of his campaign launch. Although many were from outside the county, those people will also spill over and return home to vote for local candidates who share similar ideals with Puma Shen, right? But who is the target of this action? Kevin Tsai. And this time, it's not just Little Pinks or Chinese influencers making unreasonable attacks, or companies distancing themselves; it is the Junzhengping Studio, a military media commentary brand under the CCP's Military News Communication Center. It published a condemnation of Kevin Tsai and defined this as a matter of right and wrong between Taiwan independence and the People's Republic of China. At the same time, it dismissed the speculations of some Chinese netizens, saying, "Don't say he was just there to experience the scene, and don't over-interpret things he didn't say," right? In conclusion, Kevin Tsai is a public figure and an entertainer; for such matters, there is no room for ambiguity. The implication is: Kevin Tsai, you've been with us for so long, don't you know what we care about?

This article also states that for anyone who has contact with Taiwan independence elements, if you are an opportunist, we cannot let you earn so-called mainland dividends while flirting with Taiwan independence. You cannot earn so-called "red money" in the CCP's country and then go back to engage in Taiwan independence; sooner or later, you will be nailed to the pillar of shame in history. But isn't the "Gym Master" (Guan Chang) the same? Before he went to Shanghai to lick the CCP's boots, he said several times that he was a staunch supporter of Taiwan independence. "I am Chinese, we are all Chinese," he said, gilding the words "I am Chinese" with gold. And now, one day he says "Happy Birthday to the Motherland" and that reunification is a must, and the next day on YouTube, he says there is absolutely no reunification and it's impossible. Why don't you deal with the "son-in-law" Gym Master of Peng Liyuan first before you talk to me about Kevin Tsai, okay?

Many people have analyzed that this is a military-grade intimidation directly launched by the CCP Central Committee. As for why the CCP did not first have the Taiwan Affairs Office, CCTV, People’s Daily, or Xinhua News Agency report on it, everyone’s speculation is in the right direction, but I want to add some details that have not been discussed much. Yes, why wasn't it the Taiwan Affairs Office, CCTV, or People’s Daily that reported it first, but rather a media commentator brand under the CCP military? First of all, it is very simple: October 1st to October 7th is the National Day holiday in the CCP's country. Basically, most of the CCP's party, government, and military agencies are on holiday or rotating shifts. This explains why there should have been a press conference by the Taiwan Affairs Office this Wednesday to condemn or set the tone regarding Kevin Tsai, but there was no such press conference because of the National Day holiday. Why didn't CCTV report it? Because whether CCTV reports it depends on the Ministry of National Defense, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the CCP, or the Taiwan Affairs Office giving the tone first, and then deciding whether to report it, and how much of the one-hour news broadcast—one minute or five minutes—this report should occupy. Secondly, why not just have the official account of the CCP's Ministry of National Defense or the PLA Daily post it? Why find a commentary media outlet under the banner of a military official? Let's put it this way: this so-called military studio, although it is indeed within the establishment of the CCP military and operates in the form of self-media commentary, is not at the highest level. So what level is this 'Junzhengping' exactly? To put it bluntly, you can think of it as an official political commentator raised by the PLA itself. So when a political commentator and his company issue a statement together, it is a completely different level from a statement issued by their chairman, but they are setting the tone, right? Suppose today, our Ministry of National Defense of the Republic of China (Taiwan) established a 'National Army Commentary' fan page, and suddenly it posted a warning to a Chinese artist. You could say this is from our national army system, which is correct, but you cannot say this is the same level as our Minister of National Defense personally setting the tone and holding a military press conference. Of course, we cannot assume it is a civilian social media manager just because it is called a studio, nor can we say it is just a random internet commentator just because it is a brand under a branch of the PLA. You also cannot interpret this as a formal order issued by Xi Jinping of the Central Military Commission. Because if we look back, on September 12th, I discovered a very interesting phenomenon: Junzhengping released this recruitment information, directly defining itself as a brand within the military specifically responsible for internet commentary. This self-introduction also pointed out that their tasks include actively publishing comments on major events. What is the implication? It is originally a commentary institution with military authority specifically designed to influence public opinion on the internet. So, in plain language, it means they are deciding how to set the tone and how to test the waters. Because, to put it bluntly, for the CCP officials, Taiwan and even Taiwanese artists are not a country, right? But if today it were an American artist or an American official who made what they consider to be 'Taiwan independence' erroneous remarks on American soil, then it would be very simple: the CCP's Ministry of Foreign Affairs or the CCP's Ministry of National Defense's formal establishment units would come out directly, because it is between nations. So, do you all understand what I mean? They don't treat us as a country, so they use a lower-level entity to comment on our so-called 'Taiwan independence' artist. And this matter, as I said, has indeed left the CCP in a dilemma, because they don't know how to handle it. Moreover, it happened during their National Day holiday, and they need to see if Kevin Tsai will really interview Chiang Wan-an later, keeping this space for the interview. If there really is such an exclusive interview in the end, but you have already set the tone too early, wouldn't the Taiwan Affairs Office and the CCP Central Committee be in a dilemma?

Even the official media of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) tested the waters by pulling weeds to check the wind direction for a while, avoiding excessive intervention in Taiwan's elections that would turn them into our best campaign helpers, right? To put it bluntly, Taiwanese people know what the Taiwan Affairs Office is, right? But if they had taken the lead in using these platforms to attack Kevin Tsai, they would have become campaign helpers. As a result, if you attack him and he brings Chiang Wan-an along, you would find yourself in a dilemma. Therefore, they first let a lower-than-lower-tier media outlet release a statement, and then set the tone based on the reactions of all sectors. After the long holiday, they will see how the Taiwan Affairs Office and the CCP Central Committee will handle it—whether to escalate the situation or just let it end here. But from this, we can discover a major clue. What is it? This is the intention of Xi Jinping's central committee. The central system and the military system are directly subordinate to Xi Jinping's administration; there is no doubt about that. Otherwise, whose orders would they listen to now, Zhang Youxia's? No, he has disappeared. Or would they listen to Zhang Shengmin? He is of no use; he just manages military discipline, the discipline inspection commission, and rules. He is someone who climbed up by constantly reporting others. He is of no use, so this must be Xi Jinping's intention. Xi Jinping is very angry, but he also wants to make a statement, so he was persuaded by his aides to test the waters in this way. Because you cannot directly use such a high-level outlet as the PLA Daily, nor can you use the Ministry of Defense, since you and the Republic of China (Taiwan) are not country-to-country, and they do not have military power. If you directly escalate to this kind of conflict, you are helping the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) in the election. Therefore, I think the CCP has become slightly smarter in the past year or two.

Now, looking back at another even more hateful person, the Taiwanese celebrity Nicky Wu: didn't he previously personally hold the five-star red flag at Tiananmen to wish the motherland of the People's Republic of China a happy birthday? Subsequently, Fubon canceled his scheduled baseball opening pitch ceremony under the pretext of physical discomfort. As a result, in the past few days, sigh, Chinese netizens left messages telling him that if you, Nicky Wu, want to come make money, you must firmly hold onto this position and bottom line—referring to the bottom line of holding the five-star flag, oh. And Nicky Wu actually replied personally! Nicky Wu's account said, "Even if I don't make money, I still hold this position," and it was left in traditional Chinese characters. I think the probability that this wasn't a mainland Chinese social media manager, but rather him personally, or his Taiwanese assistant replying, is quite high.

However, I believe it is definitely very close to his own intention. Still, we can find that according to his location display, he really has returned to Taiwan. It seems he wasn't physically unwell after all. If you were physically unwell, shouldn't you be properly recuperating in the mainland motherland? Why did you return to Taiwan right when the Fubon opening pitch came up? Do you think Taiwan is better for recovering from illness? And have you noticed that Nicky Wu dares not put into practice what his message stated—that he would insist on holding the five-star red flag and taking the position of a mainland Chinese person, right? We have said before, why don't Nicky Wu and his son apply for his wife Liu Shishi's mainland red passport, or get the mainland version of the ID card like his wife has—not the Taiwan Resident Permit? Why didn't you insist on this position and apply for it? You didn't apply for it at all. So Nicky Wu, you are also a phony, you are also a hypocrite, and to put it bluntly, actors are heartless.

But here comes the fun part. Hu Xijin, who recently flipped over and crashed, posted that we are now at a crossroads of an era, saying that Kevin Tsai chose to expose himself in the Chinese market while experiencing a rebirth like a phoenix in Taiwan, whereas Nicky Wu waved the five-star flag and shouted slogans during the National Day, only to have his ceremonial first pitch canceled—this is the destiny and path of choices for Taiwanese artists. Finally, let us return to Puma Shen: will Puma Shen win? Today's TVBS poll came out: Chiang Wan-an is at 49%, and Puma Shen is at 41%, a gap of about 8 percentage points. I can only tell you all that this is close to the margin I heard through the grapevine privately a few days ago. However, saying we will definitely win now and whether the actual result will be a win are not necessarily the same thing. An attendance of 120,000 at a rally does not equal 120,000 votes in Taipei, Taiwan, and online buzz does not actually equal votes either, otherwise Guan Chang would have become president long ago, right? Of course, I am not saying this to dampen everyone's morale; rather, I hope everyone will continue to work hard to canvass for votes, pushing that 41% from the TVBS poll even higher. Recently, we've seen other commentators and media figures being interviewed who still don't dare to directly conclude that Puma Shen will definitely win. Even yesterday on a show, Hsiao Ching-yen said he still believes Chiang Wan-an will ultimately win. And Chen Po-wei (3Q) didn't speak with absolute certainty either, saying, "I have a different view from yours; I believe Puma Shen will..."—well, he didn't even say that. You can go back and watch the video of Huang Wei-han interviewing him, because until the very last moment, we truly cannot take the enemy lightly, and of course, we must never underestimate ourselves.

Now there is a very interesting phenomenon, which I think is even more worth watching than the polls: Puma Shen is actively going into the Blue camp's events, and the Blue camp's events actually welcome him to come. Regardless of whether he holds the motive of wanting so-called edits and clips to be posted on Douyin—regardless of whether they hold such a stance—the fact that Puma Shen dares to go, and they dare to have him, already counts as breaking out of the echo chamber. In the past, the tactic of many Green camp figures was to retreat into their own echo chamber and hype up their own people to the maximum, which is exactly the trick Chiang Wan-an is playing right now. Therefore, if Puma Shen keeps appearing on these Blue camp hosts' programs lately, facing unfriendly interviews, and if he even goes on Kuo Cheng-liang's show in a few days, then I think that is truly an even more impressive breakout from the echo chamber. Thus, his purpose is clearly not just to secure the Green camp's base, but to win over people who didn't support him in the first place, allowing them to get to know him better, right? You might have previously watched edited clips and thought I was such-and-such a person, but watch me on CTiTV or TVBS, which you often watch; after you watch my complete arguments, you will know a little more about me. If you still hold those same ideas afterward, then whatever, but if you gain even a slight understanding of me and then make a decision on whether to vote for me, that is also great. Therefore, the brilliant point of his breaking out of the echo chamber lies right here.

As for Chiang Wan-an, of course, Chiang Wan-an chose the safest strategy. He appeared on Guo Zhengliang's show on CTi News and also chose the TVBS debate. Of course, I believe that if his own ability is indeed as everyone thinks—just packaged—then this is certainly a safe strategy for him. So what Chiang Wan-an needs to do now is to turn out his base vote and integrate the Blue and White camps in Taipei. In my view, it is about how to integrate and merge the forces of Cheng Li-wun, Lu Hsiu-yen, and Han Kuo-yu, and even the forces of Hou Yu-ih. It currently seems that only Eric Chu's faction has fully joined the battle. Whether it is the forces of Cheng Li-wun, Lu Hsiu-yen, or even Han Kuo-yu and the like, if they do not want Chiang Wan-an to vie for the presidency in 2028, they will certainly say on the surface, 'I will help you,' but they will only exert 20% or 30% of their effort and will not go all out. They will only exert effort when terms are agreed upon. 'I want to let you, Chiang Wan-an, know that you are in a precarious position, and only then will I exert effort.' At that moment, Chiang Wan-an will realize, 'So I still need to rely on you all, so for 2028, we can talk again; maybe I won't run, whether you want Lu Hsiu-yen or Han Kuo-yu, in short, I can endure it for a while, right?' I don't think he is winning by just lying flat; this is a psychological political offensive. It is actually the same towards one's own people, even letting Chiang Wan-an win ugly. What does it mean to win ugly? If Chiang Wan-an wins by 5% or even 8%, I think that is called winning ugly, right? Of course, a win is still a win, but in the internal infighting of the Blue camp, this will likely make it very difficult for Chiang Wan-an to vie for the 2028 presidential seat. Therefore, in my view, to make Chiang Wan-an fall behind, it is necessary to ensure that the Blue and White camps cannot successfully integrate all factions in Taipei. But we can see that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), whether it is the Normalization faction, the New Tide faction, the Ing faction, or the Ocean faction, has been very—at least from the outside—very successful in integrating support for Puma Shen, right? This is the true turning point of the Taipei election: whether the Blue camp can successfully integrate. Of course, the most important thing for Puma Shen now is to make someone who originally disliked him say, after watching this 30 or 40-minute interview, 'This person seems different from what I saw before; so this is what he actually said in full.' As long as this starts to happen on a large scale, that is the real 'Shen-current' (ocean current).

And the funniest thing is, if Beijing holds press conferences for him every day at this time, naming and scolding Puma Shen, scolding him every few days, and even dragging Kevin Tsai into it, then Puma Shen's biggest campaign team might not be at the DPP headquarters, but at the Taiwan Affairs Office. Then Zhu Fenglian and those people might have to be imprisoned in the same cell as Zhang Youxia. That's it for today's video. If you like it, remember to subscribe; if you don't, be sure to block me. I am Ba Jiong, see you next time, bye.