The CCP announces another year of nationwide anti-organized crime campaigns, with the deadline perfectly timed to the 21st National Congress. A single 'organized crime' label can be used to arrest people, raid homes, and purge local officials. The police, judicial, and personnel powers seized during the campaign will not be returned after it ends; a quiet venue and local shrinkage are the only outcomes.

The video focuses on the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)'s announcement of a new, approximately one-year-long special campaign to "sweep away black and evil forces" (organized crime), analyzing its timing in relation to the Fifth Plenary Session and the 21st Party Congress. The content argues that the "organized crime" label can be used simultaneously to arrest individuals, seize assets, prosecute local officials, and reclaim local power. It uses relevant cases, historical data, and local People's Congress vote-buying incidents to illustrate how this mechanism operates, further discussing the campaign's impact on private enterprises, tax bases, and the bureaucratic system.

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July 30th was truly a busy day. The CCP had just set the Fifth Plenary Session for October, and by the 31st, the very next day, two things happened simultaneously. The "Order No. 841" regarding exit and entry control, which we discussed last week, was officially published. The protagonist of the other event is the veteran actor Chen Wenqing, formerly of the state security system and now the Secretary of the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission. This fucking idiot held a national video conference on the special campaign to sweep away black and evil forces, announcing that they are starting this old script of "sweeping away black and evil forces" all over again.

Look, within these three days, the CCP has simultaneously implemented three lines of action: internal party purges, social crackdowns, and control over personal mobility. Under what circumstances does the CCP typically use these so-called anti-crime campaigns and "strike hard" operations? Generally, there are two situations. One is when there is political pressure within the party, because everyone knows that the Chinese underworld is essentially a group of lackeys raised by local governments; therefore, this move is essentially an attack on the power of local officials.

The second is when they are broke. When the CCP shouts about "striking hard," "sweeping away black and evil forces," or "special rectifications," what are these terms used for in the CCP's political context? They are used to bypass judicial procedures to grab money. I believe this anti-crime campaign that the fucking idiot Xi Jinping wants to launch combines both situations. Isn't this just starting the old script of "sweeping away black and evil forces" again? Anyway, this isn't Emperor You Xi's original idea; this prick is just copying Bo Xilai. In short, he can't come up with any new scripts.

Now, let's integrate the "sweeping away black and evil forces" campaign into the CCP's political system to see what it's actually for. To put it bluntly, what does the CCP want, or what does Emperor You Xi want? In fact, what they want is a set of tools that can bypass trials, arrest people, strike at the power of local officials, and directly turn private assets into fiscal revenue. Therefore, "sweeping away black and evil forces" is a charge that can bundle local officials and local business owners together at once.

If you want money, you only have the tax system. The tax system cannot touch existing assets. If you want people, you only have the Commission for Discipline Inspection. The Commission can handle one or two private business owners outside the system, but mass operations simply don't work. And if you want a criminal charge, you only have anti-corruption. But anti-corruption cannot penetrate the accounts of private enterprises. If you don't have all three, the matter cannot be accomplished, or the deterrent effect is insufficient.

"Sweeping away black and evil forces" is the only label that can bring all these things together. The people on the ground who take action are called "black and evil forces," the wealthy people in the locality are called "assets involved in the case," and the person who signs off on things locally is called the "protective umbrella." This is particularly embarrassing because wasn't the campaign to sweep away black and evil forces announced as a complete success back in 2021? According to the CCP's rhetoric at the time, there shouldn't be any underworld in China. What, under the fucking idiot Emperor You Xi, is China's underworld so fucking powerful? It was successfully wiped out, and in just a few years, it has thrived again? Those who know think they are talking about the underworld; those who don't might think they are talking about the immunity of these leeks.

Let me first explain how the so-called "sweeping away black-and-evil forces" (crackdown on organized crime) by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) actually works. The order in which they investigate people is completely reversed. First, it is not about gathering clues; it is about creating a list. It is not because a specific criminal suspect has been identified and then investigated; rather, once you are put on the list, your potential crimes are investigated in reverse.

Everyone also knows what kind of companies exist in China. Can a business develop without officials shielding it and without sending bribes? It would have been ruined or killed off long ago, or it would be impossible to operate at all. At this stage, the police (Public Security) of the CCP investigate clues in reverse using the list. Although criminal cases have not yet been officially filed at this point, as long as the CCP police themselves judge that there is a risk of涉案 assets being transferred, they can freeze other people's accounts through the county-level Public Security Bureau.

What is investigated after freezing the accounts? They can comprehensively investigate the assets of the so-called suspected organized crime group and its members. These guys never distinguish between legal property and illicit gains. Anyway, all bank deposits, wealth management products, equity, claims, and even houses within the investigation radius are all lumped in. There are only two words that trigger this set of investigations: suspected.

Look at how they do it; the logic is actually very clear. Step one, lower the threshold for conviction directly to the bare minimum. Everyone knows that criminal convictions must be supported by iron-clad evidence without a single shred of doubt. With this special rectification campaign, this standard has been drastically slashed. As long as they think you have issues, they move your money first.

Step two, shift the blame directly onto you. Logically speaking, investigating a case should be the police and the procuratorate searching the world for evidence to prove that you broke the law, right? Now, instead, the ball is directly kicked to you. What do they force you to do? They force you to prove your own innocence, making you prove yourself that the money is clean. If you cannot produce iron-clad evidence, then I am sorry, it is directly confiscated as illicit gains. And if you can produce iron-clad evidence? It probably has no fucking use; they will just declare it inadmissible.

What concept is it when these two things fall on a single person? This person's name is Xing Yanjun, and he was the general manager of a mobile gaming company in Beijing. In November 2023, he was arrested across provinces by the police in New Barag Left Banner, Hulunbuir, Inner Mongolia, under the charge of opening a casino, and his assets were subsequently sealed. More than a month later, the procuratorate reviewed the case and deemed the evidence insufficient, refusing to approve his arrest. However, he was not released; instead, his status was changed to designated residential surveillance.

He was then detained until April 3, 2024, when Xing Yanjun died in the room where he was subjected to designated residential surveillance. Another 8 months later, the New Barag Left Banner Public Security Bureau finally dismissed the case, with the reason for dismissal written in six words: no criminal facts. The assets were finally unsealed, but the person had already been cremated. By the way, the crime of opening a casino this time was on the list of the new round of special campaigns.

There is also an even more interesting thing. Look at how the CCP labels others according to demand. The Supreme People's Procuratorate of the CCP once published two sets of figures in its summary of the special campaign: one set consisted of 701 cases transferred by the police as suspected of organized crime, where the procuratorate changed the characterization after review. This part refers to cases where the police said it was organized crime, but the procuratorate said it did not count. There were also 8,409 cases where the characterization of "evil forces" was changed.

Conversely, there were more than 5,700 cases where the police transfer did not reach the threshold of black-and-evil forces, but the procuratorate retroactively recognized them upwards. So you see, on one side, more than 9,000 labels were removed, and on the other side, more than 5,000 labels were slapped on. There is completely no standard; they are just fucking messing around. The line between being "black" (organized crime) or not, solely at this single gate of the procuratorate, shifted nearly 15,000 times in 3 years.

Moreover, there is another point here: removing the label only changes the charge, not the disposition of the money. Less than 3% of the money here was returned, and 97% of it was completely pocketed by the fucking CCP itself. Furthermore, every single link follows the exact same rule: freezing begins right at the step of verifying clues, much earlier than the characterization.

What this round of the CCP wants to take is not just money, but also that network of local connections, especially cutting off the apron strings of local forces. In fact, this is still an extension of the infighting within the CCP. What does local power in China actually grow up to look like? It actually consists of three layers nested together.

At the very top is administrative power, responsible for approvals, land allocations, mining approvals, project approvals, and permit approvals—anyway, all kinds of approvals. The middle layer is capital, responsible for receiving these approval documents, sending the benefits back up, or using these benefits to buy official posts and positions. The bottom layer is violence, specially responsible for dealing with obstacles in the process of implementing the approval documents, such as dealing with nail houses (refusers of demolition), disrupting bidders, causing trouble, and suppressing the voices of opposition from the bottom; anyway, this layer handles all of that.

What holds the three layers together? Identity, which means acquiring the status of a deputy to the People's Congress or a member of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) to wrap oneself in a double layer of legal and political protection. The money of the middle layer is placed in the form of white gloves. What does this network look like? The case in Liaoning provided a complete slice.

In January 2013, the First Session of the 12th People's Congress of Liaoning Province elected deputies to the National People's Congress, totaling 102 people. It was later discovered that 45 of them had bought their positions with money. Among the 619 Liaoning provincial people's congress deputies who voted that day, 523 were implicated, and ultimately all of them resigned or were dismissed.

Originally, the Liaoning Provincial People's Congress had 62 members, and 38 of them directly lost their qualifications. After these losses, the remaining number of members in this provincial-level standing committee fell below half, meaning it could not hold meetings or fulfill its duties. This is the nature of local power: the majority of seats for a province's people's representatives can literally be bought with money. Do people think Liaoning is an exceptional case or a widespread phenomenon? I won't elaborate further.

Therefore, in order to secure his reappointment, Emperor You Xi needed a set of tools that could bypass this entire procedure and cut off this entire network from the outside. The

So, P only goes down and never up. On one hand, holding the power of definition to choke the throat of local authorities; on the other, using the execution framework to dismantle their arms. If you do this, the meeting hall will quiet down, right? Won't local power shrink? This is the entire output of this set of tactics.

How long is this cycle usually? It depends on the situation. Generally, when the CCP faces economic stagnation or extreme political pressure, this happens once every 3 to 5 years on average. The 'Strike Hard' campaigns occurred in 1983, 1988, 1993, 1996, and then 2001. It was only after joining the WTO in 2001 that the CCP started bragging that China was the safest country.

Then in 2018, that fucking idiot Emperor You Xi, in order to amend the constitution, launched a 'campaign against organized crime and local evil,' and the 'Strike Hard' campaign was resurrected. Another round in 2026, for what? For a fourth term; the cycle has emerged again.

What was the rhythm when that fucking idiot Emperor You Xi amended the constitution? On January 23, 2018, the CCP Central Committee and the State Council issued a notice to launch a three-year national special campaign against organized crime. On March 11, 2018, the National People's Congress passed the constitutional amendment, removing term limits for the President. There were only 47 days in between.

How long is it from the announcement of this anti-organized crime campaign to the Fifth Plenary Session in October? Two months at most. How is this different from the previous operation? Can't you see from this that the election in Xiamen caused him severe psychological trauma? Whenever a major meeting is held, this fucking idiot inevitably has a stress response; this has almost become his behavioral pattern.

I have marked this as time-series related so everyone can see it more clearly. First, look at the target list of that campaign back then; at the top were the so-called 'black and evil forces' that threatened political security, regime security, and infiltrated the political sphere. Does this have anything to do with public order? Not at all. Isn't it just a pure political clause forced into a public order incident?

Secondly, that 3-year campaign wiped out 3,644 so-called 'black and evil forces' in one go. The CCP itself admitted this was more than 3 times the total of the previous 10 years. What the hell are you talking about? Did the total number of criminal gangs in China suddenly double in just a few years? Therefore, what likely grew was not the actual number of criminal gangs, but the speed at which that fucking idiot Xi Jinping labels them.

Let's look at the present. The 21st National Congress will be held in the autumn of 2027. The deadline for this special campaign is written very clearly: starting from July this year, lasting about 1 year, exactly hitting what point in time? The meeting next year? Do you think the probability of this being a coincidence is high? If this is a fucking coincidence, I'll stand on my head and eat the CCP.

Are the side effects of doing this now significant? Extremely, because it will inevitably further erode the tax base. Many people think that looting happens when it is profitable, but that is not entirely the case. I will write the decision-making conditions for Emperor You Xi now as a formula, and let's see how that fucking idiot Xi Jinping calculates this.

Let R be the net income Xi Jinping can extract from this round of the campaign, which is the income from confiscations and disposal of assets involved in cases minus the cost of handling the cases. Let C be the present value of future tax base losses caused by doing this. Delta is the weight Xi Jinping gives to the future, between 0 and 1. The smaller the Delta, the more it shows that Emperor You Xi only looks at the immediate, or rather, he can only look at the immediate.

Let delta t be the extra money that can be collected through normal tax administration in the same period, then Xi Jinping's condition for acting is that R minus Delta multiplied by C is still greater than delta t. Because this campaign is essentially Emperor You Xi robbing local authorities, it's that simple.

Everything depends on Delta. As long as political uncertainty rises, Xi Jinping's time horizon will immediately shorten, and Delta will drop toward 0. Once Delta drops to 0, only R remains on the left side of the inequality, so this condition must be met. Therefore, whether looting happens does not depend on whether it is profitable, but only on how much longer that fucking idiot Xi Jinping intends to stay in this position.

So, that fucking idiot Xi Jinping's goal is to do his best to push Delta down. As for the result, this will definitely cause society to completely lose predictability regarding the CCP. Now looking back at the two new bans issued by the CCP, one is the No. 841 ban, which will cause both those who want to go to China and those who want to leave China to lose all expectations.

And this anti-organized crime action is essentially saying that if you are 'black' (criminal), you are 'black,' and there is no judiciary at all, let alone judicial predictability. Under these circumstances, what will private enterprises do? They will inevitably further lock their balance sheets, de-industrialize, and move both people and money away.

The effective output of the bureaucratic system will also drop significantly because bureaucratic strategies are locked in a range: either lying flat, executing passively, or simply pushing things through using the long, stinking, and tedious Communist bandit procedures. Anyway, before this thing is even implemented, Xi Jinping will likely slap his own face again; this thing will fail whether it's active or passive. You might as well not have done it in the first place.

So, if you look at this old script, every time they make a move, what is it actually? It is the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) taking a knife to its own tax base, scraping layer after layer off the enterprises that still remain in the country to buy assets, hire people, and pay taxes. The first time they scraped, it might have just been the scraps, but after the pandemic, the foundation has become much thinner. If they come a second time, they could scrape the whole bottom out.

Moreover, every time China stirs up trouble, the expenses are never small. Handling cases requires funding, deploying police requires funding, and cross-provincial arrests also require funding, which forces those at the lower levels to be more ruthless each time. This is like a lawnmower that relies entirely on cutting grass to buy fuel. There is only one road left now; I wish this fucking idiot brother would hurry it up.