Hu Liren: Internal Turmoil in the CCP May Lead to a Split Crisis

The video analyzes major events that may occur within the CCP Central Committee under the circumstances of internal and external difficulties, especially their connection to the situation in Iran. Hu Liren points out that Xi Jinping is currently suffering from the dissatisfaction of the princelings (red heirs and military heirs) as he attempts to strip them of their interests. Regarding the upcoming U.S.-Iran agreement, Xi Jinping is panicked because it may lead the United States to shift its strategic focus toward China. At the same time, the video explores Xi Jinping's influence within the party, his methods of self-propaganda, and potential major changes within the next three months, particularly the reaction of the princelings to Xi Jinping's regime. Overall, this video reveals the complex internal power struggles and unstable factors within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).

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Hello everyone. Let's talk about another topic: the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) might experience a major event within three months, facing both internal and external troubles.

Have you all noticed? Iran and the United States are about to sign an agreement, and internal divisions within Iran are currently very severe. As soon as you strike these dictatorial countries, new forces will immediately emerge internally. What actually are these forces? They actually existed in the first place, and under external promotion and external strikes, these forces suddenly erupted.

So now the situation in Iran is very clear and distinct. Trump also clearly understands the various factions within Iran's internal team, as his entire governmental team contains several factions. Therefore, what we are currently seeing is fighting on one side while negotiating on the other, fighting on one side while about to sign on the other; this proves there is internal discord among them. But once signed, as long as Iran and the United States sign a treaty, it proves that the moderate faction has taken the upper hand. Then the next step is to suppress these hardliners. The hardliners now have no market left, no market at all, and are on their last legs with no market left.

Once the United States settles the matter with Iran, it will immediately shift the focus of its entire military strategy to East Asia, which is precisely what Xi Jinping fears most right now. Xi Jinping would prefer things to be this way: you, Iran, keep fighting and keep making trouble. Meanwhile, internally, he wants to purge those who oppose him, and right now, Xi Jinping purging those who oppose him is extremely difficult.

I once mentioned that inside the Communist Party, there is a large group—several hundred families. These families were previously very united and closely allied. Everyone maintained a balance point, and this balance point was mutual non-aggression: What were you in charge of? Where were you making money? Where were you making money, and in which industry were you making money? Which industry were you making money in? Everyone stayed out of each other's money-making, and their relationships were very good, very good indeed. Because the Communist Party—having previously gone through the Mao era and the Cultural Revolution—these people were actually all victims.

I have met many such people before, and I have told you all about it. This includes the most standard princeling I met at the time, Guo Moruo's daughter, named Guo Shuying. I had dinner with her more than once and had many exchanges with her. Guo Shuying is still alive, in her eighties and still alive. When I interacted with her, it was about twenty-odd years ago. Over twenty years ago, I actually knew what those princelings were thinking. This group of princelings is actually relatively—because they had once experienced these turmoils and persecutions, supposedly their internal persecution, Mao's persecution of them, right?

Under such circumstances, they firmly believed that our alliance and unity were the most important things. Xi Jinping coming to power was a symbolic event of this princeling alliance. How did Xi Jinping get up there? It was the princelings who continuously supported him and pushed him up. He went to the highest position as a representative figure of the princelings. At that time, the princelings did not want the country—the country fought for by their ancestors—to be taken away by other factions. For example, given to the Jiang faction, as Jiang does not belong to the princelings; for example, the Youth League faction, as the League does not belong to the princelings.

In this situation, the same actually applies to Xi Jinping. The set of things Xi Jinping is doing now, right? Logically, Xi Jinping should not have amended the constitution in 2018. He should have stepped down, for example, and then another second-generation red should have come up, and after that, a third-generation red should have come up, right? If that were the case, these second-generation reds or second-generation military elites would be able to firmly control the country. Each time they would send a representative, just send out one representative, and this representative would support the interests of the entire second-generation red group. However, what Xi Jinping is doing now is stripping away all the interests of the second-generation reds. That is to say, why did he arrest so many generals, and why did he clear out the industry associations? What are industry associations? Industry associations are the money bags for various second-generation reds. The Xi family also has people in industry associations; what position did Xi Yuanping hold before? He was the president of the Environmental Protection Industry Association, which was the Xi family's money bag, right? When Xi Jinping was the party secretary in Zhejiang, Xi Yuanping was the president of the environmental protection association, so this was their money bag. Now that Xi Jinping wants to take away all the money bags, everyone is going to revolt. There is one more point everyone should remember, and everyone also remembers this: although the Youth League faction has been defeated, many of its representative figures are still alive, and there are still people from the Youth League faction. They are not dead; they still have influence. Although they have been taken down, for example, Hu Jintao was taken down, he is still a representative of the Youth League faction. There are still many people in the Youth League faction; although they have stepped down and no longer hold positions, their influence remains. It should be said that these people from the Youth League faction have a very good reputation within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Including Li Keqiang, look at Li Keqiang; at the time, no one opposed him. His reputation within the CCP was very good. This person was a workhorse; although he also followed the CCP, at least he was getting things done, at least he was getting things done, he was getting things done. It can also be said, it can also be said, that the entire CCP from the time Deng Xiaoping came to power until now, actually, if you look at all the major social events, Xi Jinping never shows up; he just issues a supreme directive and never shows up. He is completely indifferent to the livelihoods of the people in the entire society. This person is a very evil person. What does he only care about? Where does he spend all his energy? It is all spent on his power. He has no interest in anything else. Look at the large number of books he publishes; these books are all waste paper, all toilet paper, I can say. But why does he publish so many books? These were not written by him; they were all written for him by a large group of ghostwriters under him. What are these books for? They are to fool the common people, to set up an example for him, to establish the image of a god. What are his works covering? They cover Maoism, Dengism, and all the figures the CCP has had in the past. He wants to erase their towering images from people's memories, from this kind of memory of people, he wants to remove their so-called towering images. He wants to turn Mao fans into Xi fans. Xi Jinping is most keen on doing this, most keen. Now Xi Jinping cannot hold on, he cannot hold on now. From now until August, now I think, I have already had news from Beijing that has been leaked out. I actually said it very early on, I said Mao's Memorial Hall would not be able to be preserved. At that time, it hadn't happened yet; Xi Jinping announced in March, he hadn't announced yet that he was going to renovate Mao's Memorial Hall, that it was going to be renovated internally. This renovation of Mao's Memorial Hall is abnormal. Last year, I already said, I said Xi was going to move Mao's Memorial Hall, and sure enough, as expected, the Memorial Hall in March this year was abnormal. He suddenly announced, in February or March, that Mao's Memorial Hall was going to start, and it would take a full six months until the end of August this year. So this is a very symbolic event. From that time on, we knew, and of course, some news from within the CCP also came out, which is that Xi wants to find a way to truly flip the table.

Think about it, if a few symbolic events are carried out well, you can just go and look at the videos I made before to understand. Xi Jinping wants to do two things: first, to transform the image of Mao's portrait; second, he wants to change Mao's Mausoleum into some sort of Museum of Great Rejuvenation. To do these two things—once these two things are done, right now in every Xinhua Bookstore across the country you cannot buy other books; the most prominent positions in all Xinhua Bookstores are entirely filled with books by Xi Jinping. Buying Xi Jinping's books is just like entering a Xinhua Bookstore to worship something, which is exactly the same as Mao in the past.

Everyone in the Communist Party has a study app on their mobile phone, and this study app makes you study every day, making you study ideology every day. Back in Mao's era, it was just like this; everyone held a little booklet called Quotations from Chairman Mao Tse-tung. People of my age and older have all experienced this, right? We've all experienced it. During the Cultural Revolution, it was all like this. Some people born in the 1980s haven't experienced it, but if you look at those things from the past, you will know that this was the history of that time. To what extent were people's brains fried back then? When people met and greeted each other, first you recite a passage of Quotations from Chairman Mao Tse-tung, and I recite a passage of Quotations from Chairman Mao Tse-tung. What kind of mental illness is that?

What Xi Jinping is doing now is trying to turn ordinary people into mental patients. Before 2018 even came out, I was already talking about it; I brought it up back then, and what was it? It was that Xi Jinping is leading this country in the direction of North Korea. Now, if you look at it again, look at Xi Jinping—look at how he didn't step out for over 200 days, and as soon as he went out, he went to North Korea. Think about why? What he admires most and what he hopes most is for this country to become like North Korea. He hopes the people of the whole country will learn from North Korea, he hopes all officials will learn from North Korean officials, and he hopes all Chinese people will be the same as the citizens and people of North Korea, clapping foolishly upon seeing Xi Jinping. He is turning the entire country into a foolish society; this is what Xi Jinping is doing.

However, he will not succeed; there is no way he can possibly succeed. Deng Xiaoping has already left a legacy for the Communist Party, and Deng Xiaoping has already made a breakthrough for it; he simply cannot do it. Today's Chinese ordinary people are already finding it very hard to return to the Mao era, and moreover, the country has been open for so many years, right? Everyone has seen what the civilized world looks like. For example, suddenly changing from the Mao era to the Xi era—back then you could still control it, but now it can no longer be controlled.

Therefore, and moreover, Xi Jinping is already facing internal challenges. In fact, ordinary Chinese people inside the country do not have guns, they do not have the right to speak, and they can only hide it and suppress it deep in their hearts. But those princelings and official descendants are completely different; right now these people have already organized themselves. Because once Xi pastes his portrait on Tiananmen Gate and breaks Mao, then once the Xi dynasty is established, these princelings and official descendants are very likely to lose their heads. Because their future challenges to Xi will be challenges to the Xi family and to Xi's generation after generation, which will arise at any time. Even if you, Xi Jinping, pass this hurdle today, your next generation will find it very hard to pass, and your generation after that will find it very hard to pass. Then what step is Xi Jinping taking now? What other thing is he doing? Another thing is that he wants to keep his Xi dynasty going continuously; this is what Xi Jinping is doing now.

So under these circumstances, just think about these people—these princelings and official descendants, especially the princelings and military descendants, these people all have the intent to kill, and they will absolutely not let Xi Jinping go, absolutely not. Therefore, right now Xi Jinping and the rest of them are very likely—and there is one more point, supposing Trump, just as news has already come out, it is very likely that over the weekend, that is tomorrow or the day after, the matter regarding Iran will be signed. Once it is signed, once it is successfully signed, just think, the United States will withdraw from the entire Middle East battlefield, and the Strait of Hormuz will be opened. Then the Middle East, quite possibly several countries will start to restructure and stabilize the situation in the Middle East. After the United States withdraws, where will US aircraft carriers sail? Toward East Asia, toward East Asia.

Then once the situation in East Asia—now there is one point, Trump also does not have time, he only has a little over two years, two and a half years. He has to get this matter sorted out within these two and a half years; if he doesn't sort it out, it will be difficult, it will be hard for anyone, right? Trump is now bearing the pressure, bearing domestic pressure, bearing international pressure. Trump has actually offended many people, and now he is taking a reckless attitude of "You all talk, I'll say fine, I'll show you by doing it, right?" So taking down Venezuela and taking down Iran, he is actually doing it to show those people who oppose him.

So suppose Trump is now pinning his hopes on chaos within the Chinese Communist Party. Once internal chaos breaks out, just like in Iran—Iran is the same, once they are struck, the interior falls into chaos, and once it is chaotic, these moderate factions jump out. Are there many people inside Iran who want the country to become like this? Ali Khamenei is very likely, and there are many people inside Iran; as soon as Khamenei dies, these people are celebrating at home. The same goes for Xi. Then, if something happens to Xi in China, wouldn't these red second-generation and military second-generation elites be overjoyed? Look at Zhang Youxia, he must be overjoyed. Zhang Youxia, look at him, a standard military second-generation elite, Zhang Zongxun was a senior general, a standard military second-generation elite.

So under these circumstances, everyone is now waiting for an accident to happen to Xi Jinping, everyone is waiting for an accident to happen to Xi Jinping. So Xi Jinping, now it is like this. Let me make a prediction, it is very likely that from the end of this month to next month, as long as the US military withdraws back to East Asia and forms a military suppression posture in East Asia, China's internal situation is very likely to turn upside down immediately, turn upside down immediately. Xi Jinping does not—Xi Jinping does not have a military background, and his control over the military absolutely cannot compare to those military second-generation elites. Moreover, he has already offended—everyone knows that you have now become the enemy of the descendants of the vast majority of Communist Party leaders. People are playing a game, they are playing a game. Under these circumstances, others will not let him off, and he will not let others off, everyone knows this.

So the Communist Party is very likely to collapse within three months, within three months. Now the time has come, the time has come. Everyone should believe my prediction; I once predicted that Zhang Youxia would be arrested, I predicted it as early as last September. And I predicted that Zhang Shengmin would first be dispatched to the CCP Central Committee as vice chairman, and then Zhang Youxia would be arrested, truly as expected. If you want to predict Xi Jinping, it is actually very simple; you must be familiar with some things within the CCP and their logic.

I didn't research this stuff originally; I originally studied industrial economics, studying all kinds of economic aspects, such as predicting the future trends of the economy and predicting the future trends of industries, I used to study these things. It has a logic, and in fact, the internal workings of the Communist Party also have a logic. Once you thoroughly study the mentality of these people, and then study their respective interests, you will draw this conclusion, concluding in which direction they will head in the future, and where they will go.

Just like my prediction, I said Xi Jinping would always lead the CCP toward a North Korean path, right. You see, many people didn't believe it before; when I was talking about it back then, they thought I was daydreaming, thinking how could China's economy be so good, how could it possibly want to return to North Korea. Just like I predicted a few years ago, predicting in 2019, I said China's real estate market would drop by at least thirty-five percent, nobody believed it, nobody believed it. Then later I processed all the real estate, all the domestic real estate, and you see the result now, now it's wailing everywhere, wailing everywhere. Now, if you urgently need money or are urgently trying to escape, then you sell your real estate; if you are not urgently trying to escape, don't rush.

It is very likely that three months will pass, and as long as Xi Jinping steps down, the CCP will carry out a very major reform. The CCP is very likely to carry out a very major reform, and this will be a future miracle for ordinary people. At that time, the entire CCP will no longer produce someone like Xi Jinping. China's entire democratic process will take a huge leap forward, a huge leap forward. These people also know that if you continue to engage in this set of things, continue to engage in dictatorship, these families will not even have their own lives left.

So under these circumstances, this country might undergo a sudden transformation. In the future, believe me, China's assets will definitely be valuable in the future, because the Chinese people themselves are very smart. As long as the entire society and political changes give the ordinary people of China a chance to untie their bonds, a chance to untie their economic bonds, China's economy will develop absolutely rapidly.

Now China has, I can tell you, ever since Deng Xiaoping came to power and started promoting the economy, down to Xi Jinping coming to power, in just these short few decades, China's economy has truly created a miracle. And under what conditions was this miracle created? The Communist Party only untied about fifty percent of the bonds for ordinary people in China, roughly that much. Can everyone understand what I'm saying? There are many things you haven't done yet, many of them are politically dominated and government-dominated. If China's entire economy were fully open, that would be extraordinary, extraordinary. The creativity of the Chinese people—look at the current AI technology and you will know how smart the Chinese people are.

I used to manage a technology company, and I know how capable Chinese tech personnel are; in fact, they are extremely capable. However, under the system of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), this capability simply cannot be unleashed. But the future will be different. If the entire Chinese population were to be unshackled, China's economy would experience a wave of development even greater than what we saw in the decades of reform and opening up. At that time, China would truly become a hotspot, a real hotspot.

Therefore, this is the hope for China's future. What is the prerequisite? The prerequisite is that we must take down a dictator like Xi Jinping, and then the CCP must undergo a profound self-reflection to ensure that someone like Xi Jinping never appears in this country again. If that happens, this country will have hope. So, let us watch for another three months, just three months, to see if my prediction is accurate. Let us watch for another three months; within three months, I predict that there will be major, huge changes and a great split within China and the CCP—it should be called a great split, a great split.

Alright, I will leave this topic here for now. Thank you all for watching, and I will see you in the next topic.