Hu Liren: Rebellion and Crisis Within the CCP Military Against the Dictatorial System
In this video, Hu Liren analyzes the intense insecurity within the high levels of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and the military under Xi Jinping's dictatorial rule, as well as the accumulating resentment and resistance among bureaucrats and military officers. He points out that massive anti-corruption campaigns and arrests in recent years have left everyone feeling in danger, prompting family and power networks to covertly build private military forces for self-preservation. Although Xi Jinping seemingly controls military power, local factions are deeply entrenched and difficult to shake, making internal military actions or sudden changes possible at any moment. The entire system has entered an unprecedented stage of crisis, and the outside world has underestimated the resentment and potential readiness for protest within the military against the dictator.
Video Link:
Full Text:
Hello everyone, let's talk about another topic.
Today's Chinese military is entering a stage of resisting Xi Jinping and resisting the dictator. In today's China, the entire organization of the CCP, every single person, has already identified Xi Jinping as a dictator; this has already become a consensus. It is just that people have not raised it openly yet, they just haven't raised it openly.
In fact, ever since Xi Jinping started moving toward dictatorship, the interests of many people within the Party have been stripped away—that is one thing. Second, many people have entered a dangerous period; that is to say, none of these individuals know what will happen. For example, in the Deng Xiaoping era, the Jiang Zemin era, and the Hu Jintao era, people generally felt safe and believed they wouldn't be taken away for no reason. Usually, it was because your corruption was too extreme, right? Or you offended a certain leader in some aspect. Back then, as long as you were slightly careful and didn't offend others, these officials were usually relatively safe, relatively safe, as long as you didn't stick your neck out.
Today's CCP is completely different; today's CCP has everyone living in constant fear. When Xi Jinping arrests people now, he does so without any warning, without any warning. For instance, an inspection team from the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) will just show up, right? They go directly to a certain unit, a certain ministry, or a certain province or city. Xi Jinping is now sending these discipline inspection people everywhere. And who are these people? They report directly to the General Office of the CCP, called the CCDI. Everyone knows the name CCDI.
These CCDI people have inspection teams, called巡视组 (inspection groups). These inspection groups are the vanguard of the CCDI. They go to a place, ostensibly to conduct research, right? To see your work or inspect your work, but in reality, they are inspection teams. Once you are identified... But when they talk to you—and they talk to everyone—if they decide during the talk that they can move against you, they will put you on the CCDI's cleanup list. After a while, when the CCDI arrives, they will take you away directly, and once you are taken in like that, you basically cannot get out.
Once you are in, your family is often controlled, your accounts are controlled, all your accounts are controlled, and all your assets are controlled and investigated. This means that everything you have worked for over decades within the CCP, and even your extended family networks, will be dragged down.
So, since Xi Jinping took power, since he started doing this, no CCP official has any sense of... there is no safety to speak of. Therefore, what has Xi Jinping become now? He has become the public enemy in the heart of every single Communist Party member. Every single day, they have to watch Xi Jinping, and they have to clock in on their phones every day.
When you think about it, these Communists are quite pitiful. These people are quite old, yet they are forced to live like this. Young people, usually the young people currently inside the CCP, don't face that much risk; it is mostly those at high levels, high levels and mid-to-high levels. If you have just entered as a civil servant, they won't target you, because the money you deal with is not that much. Over so many years within the CCP, everyone has been involved in corruption; it is not just one person involved in corruption, everyone is involved in corruption, right?
In that case, wouldn't you say everyone is in danger? But at that time, there was one point, one point that was like this: the entire economy was still growing. Although corruption was very severe, the economy as a whole was still constantly developing. Now, Xi Jinping's economy is not developing, and he is arresting people, right? The economic foundation has been severed. Under these circumstances, wouldn't you say everyone hates Xi Jinping?
So, it's not just the party and government officials within the CCP organization, but also some officials in the military, the people in the military. As for the military, I once mentioned that since Xi Jinping came to power, the CCP has arrested nearly 20,000 people within the armed forces—20,000 officials of various levels, military officials. Many people doubted this figure, but later the CCP announced that they had arrested 200 generals. Just think about it, these generals—major generals, lieutenant generals, generals—200 of them were arrested, generals of this caliber.
At the same time, the entire military is a series, a series, a series; it is a chain, a concept, these concepts are linked together. If you arrest one, how many field-grade officers—lieutenant colonels, colonels, majors—might be under that general? And below them, there are others, right? If one person is linked to, say, 100 people, then that's 20,000. And he didn't arrest them all at once; he has been arresting them year after year, continuously for over a decade.
Therefore, the CCP military now hates him deeply; everyone is like this. Ordinary Chinese people today are very clear-headed; everyone can go online. If you look at WeChat now, if you look at WeChat Moments, you will see that a lot of the content is actually anti-CCP, anti-CCP, and opposing this evil. They are all exposing this evil society, and even opposing—how should I put it—exposing the corruption of this government, exposing the evil of this government.
So under these circumstances, everyone understands clearly in their hearts. Therefore, Xi Jinping is now very... he has become a public... how should I put it, the public enemy of the Communist Party, the public enemy of the military, the public enemy of the military. That is how it is now. The party and government sectors cannot move against him because they lack the military.
Look at all the countries where coups have taken place; there is only one possibility, only one possibility. How does such a coup happen? It is the military. So what is Xi Jinping facing now? He is facing the military.
Look at the hundreds of families within the CCP now; everyone should know this. Let me tell you another piece of news: don't think that the people from these hundreds of families are pushovers; they are absolutely not. These people possess massive assets; every family possesses massive assets, and every family has their own private armed forces. This is something many people might not understand.
Where are these private armed forces? These private armed forces are often hidden among these people within the Communist Party. And these private armed forces—you have no idea, you have no idea that the armed forces of this faction belong to a certain family. You don't know; they could be in the Northwest, they could be in China, they could be in South China, East China, or South China, or they could be in the Southwest; they are all hidden. What do they all have? They all have their own spheres of influence, spheres of influence. It is very difficult for Xi Jinping to shake these private armed forces of theirs, these armed units; it is very difficult.
Where are they attached? They are attached within the Communist Party's military; in reality, it is hard to understand. For example, take Peng Dehuai's family; they might be in a certain place, in a certain military department they were originally in. Within this, in the future, their influence has been hidden here for a long time, right? For example, there is someone else, a certain general; this person was originally in which unit, which unit did he come from? Then many of his confidants, including those who have long controlled this unit, are his private armed forces; they are all his private armed forces.
Why do these people cultivate their own private armed forces? It is actually to save their own lives, just to save their own lives. So, these people who have been arrested so far might be individuals, but behind them might be a family, perhaps an entire, whole network of relationships. These people haven't moved yet, right? So these people, these interests, these people in the interest chain, or people in the relationship network, they also have to consider the overall situation. That is the security of their entire network.
So to what extent has Xi Jinping pushed them now? He has pushed them to the point where everyone feels in crisis. In this situation, let me make an analogy: across our entire chain of interests, there might be 20 people. These 20 people have very good relationships, like a bond of life and death. Long-term, since the 1980s, or even the 1950s and 1960s, or even earlier, before the Communist Party even... before 1949, these people have maintained very good relations. They have kept these relationships all along. Where is this network? In the Northwest Army, in a certain place—for example, a certain location or outpost in the Lanzhou Military Region. They possess their own armed forces, their own sphere of influence. This influence is extremely vast; they control troops, which makes things completely different, right? There might be several thousand or tens of thousands of men in these units, and this is their sphere of influence.
It is very hard for Xi Jinping to touch someone like this, because it is so deeply rooted at the grassroots level. It is very hard to move against him; if you try, the other side will simply ignore you completely. Under such circumstances, everyone, Xi Jinping... why did Xi Jinping, when he came to power, reach out to these second-generation military elites and second-generation red elites? In fact, he mainly reached out to the military princelings, not the red princelings. For example, people like Liu Shaoqi's family, like Liu Yuan—actually, it should be said that these people aren't of much use. The ones who truly hold real power are the military princelings, not the red princelings. Those truly in power are all military princelings.
Take Zhang Youxia's family, for instance. I think their family's sphere of influence is enormous. That is why, even though Zhang Youxia was detained, look, up until now Zhang Youxia's photo is still hanging on the State Council's website; it's just that when people visit, they cannot click on his photo. Furthermore, Zhang Youxia has not been touched by the National People's Congress or the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, and none of his other positions have been touched. What is this? This is a kind of balance.
Even though you arrested Zhang Youxia, the other side possesses—Zhang Youxia's side has a faction that poses a threat to you. So with Xi Jinping, don't think that because Xi Jinping controls Beijing right now, he can control the whole country. He can't control it at all; he can't control it at all. As I've always said about Xi Jinping, look, from Beijing until now, he hasn't gone out for over two hundred consecutive days. When he did go out, he flew to North Korea and immediately came back to Beijing. Right now he doesn't even dare go to other places. What if he goes somewhere else? For instance, if he goes to Lanzhou, it's very likely that a certain faction's power is concentrated in Lanzhou.
Moreover, everyone knows very clearly that Xi Jinping is a dictator. Right now the situation is that as long as a unit from any side steps forward and says, "I want to bring down the dictator Xi Jinping"—as long as they pin the label of dictator on him—I think all the armed forces will unite, they will all unite.
Let me give you another example, let me give you another example, let me give you another example. If we look at history, take the Nazis, Hitler at that time: actually, his sphere of influence was extremely vast, and there were so many people who idolized Hitler. The reason why Germany had so many SS troops and so many young people joined the military, right? It was all because of Hitler's charismatic appeal. If you look at Hitler, if you study the history of Nazi Germany, you will understand.
Yet within the Nazis there was a very formidable force, an extremely powerful force that was restraining Hitler, and even attempted to assassinate Hitler. Everyone has seen this in movies before. The same goes for Japan; back then, there was also a powerful force within the Japanese military.
So think about it: the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) now... back then under such circumstances, how big was Hitler's reputation? Throughout all of Germany, I tell you, honestly, many people genuinely worshipped him from the bottom of their hearts, and were even willing to sacrifice their lives.
But in today's CCP, in China, that is absolutely not the case. Who is willing to die for you, Xi Jinping? Nobody is going to die for you, Xi Jinping, or be willing to die for you. No one in the armed forces will either. The military nowadays is just like singing songs, just like singing "I Love Beijing Tiananmen" in the past, just singing propaganda songs every single day.
Some people compare Xi Jinping to Mao, but Xi Jinping's prestige cannot even compare to a single finger of Mao's. What was Mao? Mao was someone whom many people truly worshipped. Look at how they conquered the country, how they... Mao's strategy in conquering the country was extremely powerful. Although Mao was a demon, he was a capable man. Many of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)'s crooked ideas that eventually led to seizing the country—Mao's contribution was truly massive. This man was a strategist, one could say a strategist.
Then look at Xi, completely different, turning the entire country into this state. What about Mao? When Mao was conquering the country, there was... that is, many people within the entire CCP supported him because he seized the country and straightened out the internal organization of the entire CCP, eventually achieving unification. Xi Jinping is now dividing everything; he is gathering his own armed forces, gathering his own armed forces.
I told everyone last time that a central official told me that Xi Yuanping used to go to his father's grave every year to pay respects, but this year he didn't go. Tomb Sweeping Day, this year's Tomb Sweeping Day he didn't go. Why didn't he go? He didn't dare to go; Xi Jinping is also afraid that something might happen to his brother. He didn't dare to go to that place in Shaanxi, so this year Xi Yuanping didn't go to that place—what is it called, the old home of Fuping, the old home in Shaanxi—to pay respects to his father, to pay respects to his father.
Therefore, the CCP's current Xi Jinping himself is also very afraid. I once said that Xi Jinping has now moved his entire family to Beijing, including his former... that is, Qi Xin, his mother is now in Beijing. Qi Xin used to be in Guangdong all the time, confined in a small building of a hospital. He now doesn't dare to let his mother spend her old age in that place; he doesn't dare to let her spend her old age there.
Originally, because Xi Zhongxun had always been in Guangdong, later they... the climate in Guangdong was also relatively good, so he put his mother there, including the then Xi, that is, Xi Jinping's father, Xi Zhongxun, including his Xi Zhongxun's family, Xi Zhongxun, including Xi Jinping's sister, they were all accompanying his parents in Shenzhen. Now they don't dare to live in Shenzhen.
Think about it, in Shenzhen, his guards—let me make an analogy, two hundred guards, three hundred guards—you wouldn't even know how many troops could suddenly infiltrate. With the things they carry, they could take him out in an instant, or even put him under control, turning it into a confrontation.
So Xi Jinping is now in extreme danger, extreme danger. The military, the CCP's military, everyone remember, the CCP's military is not what everyone imagines. The CCP's military has some private forces penetrating various places. Within every unit of the military, Xi Jinping now only controls this military, the army, on the surface, but in reality, this kind of control is very difficult for him, this kind of control is very difficult. Some have been controlled by a certain force for decades, and with this kind of control, if you say you want to remove this unit, this person's force is extremely difficult, extremely difficult, you simply don't know. You don't even dare to enter a military barrack; for example, Xi's people don't dare to go over, and can only communicate with the other party through official documents. This is what Xi Jinping is currently facing.
So I have always said, I said we might see a showdown within three months. Now everyone knows he wants to practice dictatorship; in fact, he is already a dictator now. So now it is like this: the military has every reason, the current military has every reason to march into Beijing, march into Tiananmen, march into Zhongnanhai. It's just that everyone hasn't moved, keeping their troops in place, now waiting, waiting for an opportunity. Waiting for what opportunity? It is that he might declare hope at a certain point, and then everyone might have to act, have to act.
Everyone is now balancing each other. Do not think that these... everyone do not think that these, these second-generation reds, especially these second-generation military figures, have no power. These people have control. I once said that starting from the 1980s, they made massive amounts of money, and they all have their own armed forces, they all have their own power.
Think about it, it makes sense. You say, I used to be in some... my father was a general, an old general, right? My father used to be the commander in a certain military unit for how many years, so those whom his father trained, for example, these lower-level officers in these units, were all trained by his father single-handedly. And generation after generation, generation after generation, they are all connected into a whole network, which is very difficult to break through.
What Xi Jinping is facing now is, for example, he can arrest anyone at will in the CPPCC or the National People's Congress, and he can arrest anyone at will in various ministries and commissions. But it is difficult for him at the grassroots level. He can arrest anyone at will in the August First Building, but it is very difficult for him to reach the grassroots level; it is very difficult to reach the grassroots level.
So everyone, perhaps, perhaps it is just three months, perhaps it is just three months. Now everyone is ultimately waiting to see what kind of goods Xi Jinping will reveal. Xi Jinping's situation now is that there is almost no one to succeed him, almost none; only his family members could succeed him. Everyone is waiting for this moment, everyone is sharpening their knives, now they are sharpening their knives, like raising pigs, waiting, waiting for this moment.
Alright, I will stop here for this topic. Thank you all for watching, let's move on to the next topic.