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Real Estate Bubble Burst [machine]

Events

Archive of content related to the real estate bubble burst.

Content 73 · Events 15

Dongfudian Xincun Unfinished Building in Qinhuangdao Exposed by Netizens After 16 Years

11.06 ·Reported ·Importance II ·Sources 1 ·Qinhuangdao

On November 6, a netizen in Qinhuangdao, Hebei, posted a video of the unfinished Dongfudian Xincun project, stating that the project was originally marketed as providing wedding homes for older youth, but it has remained unfinished for 16 years. Many buildings are still in a rough state with exposed brick walls and no doors or windows installed.

Ministry of Finance releases fiscal data for the first three quarters: September land sale revenue down 23.2%, individual income tax up 10.5%

10.23 ·Reported ·Importance III ·Sources 2 ·China

On October 23, the Ministry of Finance released fiscal revenue and expenditure data for the first three quarters. In September, national land transfer revenue was 233.4 billion yuan, down 23.2% year on year; individual income tax revenue was 138.4 billion yuan, up 10.5% year on year. In the first three quarters, land transfer revenue decreased by 621.5 billion yuan year on year.

CSI 300 Enters Technical Bear Market; STAR 50 and ChiNext Down About 40% in the Second Half

10.22 ·Reported ·Importance III ·Sources 1 ·China

On October 22, the CSI 300 index closed down 1.84%, falling about 20% from its June high and entering a technical bear market; according to Bloomberg, the STAR 50 and ChiNext indices have both fallen about 40% in the second half of the year, and analysts believe the national team may need to buy more and for longer.

Financial Times Reports China's New Housing Starts Down 78% from Peak, Warning of a Possible Repeat of Japan's Long-Term Stagnation

10.21 ·Reported ·Importance III ·Sources 1 ·China

An in-depth Financial Times report on October 21 pointed out that China's population decline, deflation, weak consumption, and slumping property and stock markets resemble Japan in its day; after the property bubble burst in 2021, new housing starts fell 78% from their peak. Economist Richard Koo argues for stimulating demand through fiscal spending, while Adam Slater does not rule out growth slowing to 2% to 2.5% over the next decade.

China's real estate development investment fell 20.6% year-on-year in January–September, while fixed-asset investment dropped 7.2%

10.19 ·Reported ·Importance IV ·Sources 1 ·China

Economic data released on October 19 showed that from January to September 2026, China's real estate development investment fell 20.6% year-on-year, a wider decline than in January–August; national fixed-asset investment fell 7.2% year-on-year; and total retail sales of consumer goods rose 1.1% year-on-year in September, with the growth rate picking up from August.

Chengdu Property Developers Hold Meetings Announcing Work Suspension and Furlough

10.17 ·Reported ·Importance III ·Sources 1 ·Chengdu

On October 17, netizens posted that several real estate developers in Chengdu suddenly held all-staff meetings, announcing a work suspension and furlough, with employees not needing to report to work the next day. Multiple project companies in the Chengdu area were affected, and employees had already received furlough notices.

The Moment the Red Line Is Breached Under Pressure to Increase Fiscal Budget Revenue

09.26 ·媒体评论 ·Importance V ·Sources 1 ·China

Simulations and calculations show that, in order to hold to the general budget target, the government's continued intensification of tax collection would make the tax base and corporate profits unable to bear the load, and the moment the red line is burned through falls around October 2028.

China Plans Massive Investment in AI as Youth Unemployment Rises to 18.9%

09.21 ·Reported ·Importance IV ·Sources 1 ·China

Reports on September 21 showed that the unemployment rate among non-student youth aged 16 to 24 in China rose to 18.9%, amid a continuing economic downturn. Although multiple economists have warned that AI is unlikely to drive employment, Beijing still plans to invest approximately $295 billion over the next five years to build a national data center network. Xi Jinping emphasized the importance of focusing on "hard power" rather than just GDP.

Evergrande Auto Announces Exit from Vehicle Manufacturing, Liabilities Exceed 32.7 Billion Yuan

09.18 ·Reported ·Importance III ·Sources 1 ·China

On September 17, Evergrande Auto released its 2026 interim results, showing that the company has only 7 employees left, with total assets of approximately 182 million yuan and liabilities as high as 32.722 billion yuan. The company explicitly stated that it has exited the vehicle manufacturing business and has no intention to resume it, with the net profit for the first half of the year mainly derived from exchange gains on borrowings.

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