Who Wins and Who Loses? Xi Jinping and the Anti-Xi Faction Are Entering the Final Stage of Their Power Struggle!
This video, presented by Hu Liren, analyzes Xi Jinping's current power crisis and the final game between him and the anti-Xi factions. The program points out that the central lecture groups dispatched by Xi Jinping are essentially teams for arresting officials, and the subsequent National People's Congress leadership transition and quota-based purges reflect intense infighting within the party. The host predicts that Xi Jinping may fall within the next six to twelve months and explores the risks of civil war, military movements, and the economic collapse crisis facing China.
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Hello, friends! I apologize; I haven't been feeling well for the past two days. I went on a long-distance drive for a few days and got a bit tired. After returning home to Florida, I rested for two days, but I still didn't feel well, so I didn't make any videos on Friday or Saturday. I want to apologize to everyone. However, I am currently in good health in all respects.
Have you noticed what's been happening over the past two days? Xi Jinping is actually going crazy. Look, I can tell you all that from now until next year—well, at the latest, next October, or more immediately, in about six months—this period will determine his fate. In other words, the direction China will take—whether it will head toward the era of the Xi family dynasty or toward freedom and democracy—will be decided in these few months. That is to say, it will take a full year, or at the fastest, about six months.
Look at how intense things are now! Just after the Fifth Plenary Session concluded, Xi Jinping dispatched what are called central lecture groups. Do you know what these central lecture groups are? They are supposedly there to lecture on the content of the Fifth Plenary Session. Is there any need for such lectures? There is absolutely no need. Do you know what these lecture groups are actually for? They are sent across the country to arrest people.
They are there to arrest people. They may appear to be central lecture groups meant to promote the content of the Fifth Plenary Session, but the content is actually very simple: it's governance through violence. It's governance through violence. He calls it "strict party governance." What does "strict party governance" mean? It means if you don't listen to me, I will arrest you.
Xi Jinping has reached this stage now. During this period, have you been following the news from across the country? Every place in the country now has quotas. I mentioned before that the quota was around 20%, but now it has been raised to 50%. You can see these figures from the list of Politburo members and alternate members from this meeting. At the beginning, I remember, before the meeting was held, a well-known media outlet called me one night and asked, "Teacher Hu, they want to write a piece, can you tell us if 20% of the Central Committee members will be purged?"
just vanished and didn't attend. Just his, his, his, his, that is, the attendance rate of this meeting was only 80 percent. I said maybe it's not even 80 percent. Later, I checked, and indeed it was less than 80 percent, and it was in two aspects: one is the Central Committee members, and the other is the alternate members. Fewer than 20 percent of the alternate members of the Central Committee were present. Everyone can just look at the data from these major media outlets to know. I haven't specifically checked it, but I have seen these data, I have seen them, all of them were below 80 percent, with attendance rates at 79 percent, 70-something percent. So under these circumstances, look at how the current central-level leaders are now.
The leaders at the central level have already reached such a point, and the people below them also need to make up for this data, meaning that more than 20 percent of the people will be taken down. Then this Central Propaganda Team, it's actually just like the SS of Nazi Germany, sent to all parts of the country. Under this name called the Central Propaganda Team, the people actually sent there are exclusively to arrest these officials.
Arresting them along the way? What is a propaganda team? A propaganda team goes to that place, holds a meeting, does some propaganda for you, and then removes those people whose names are on their list.
Next year is very important. Next year, if—well, I can tell everyone this—Xi Jinping, what has he reached now? He has reached a point where he cannot step down, where he has no way to step down safely. Ever since the constitutional amendment in 2018, I predicted that he certainly wouldn't be able to step down. So under these circumstances, he has no choice but to bite the bullet and push forward. In other words, next year, well, outsiders are all predicting that he might step down himself now.
I guess this is definitely not his original intention, absolutely not his original intention. Even if he has made commitments, commitments at meetings at the central level saying I might step down myself, these are all fake, because once he steps down, in all likelihood.
His whole family will be held accountable, his whole family will be purged, just like Mao back in the day. So under these circumstances, do you think he can step down? He absolutely cannot step down. The safest, what he thinks are the safest outsiders, are actually not the safest at all. Well, no matter who he puts up there, who he puts up there, putting Li Qiang up, putting Cai Qi up, putting whoever, putting Li Xi up, not a single person is safe for him.
Moreover, to hold him accountable—he has elevated himself way too high now. To hold him accountable, and then to purge him, to replace his position, they ultimately must completely purge him. Only then can this person hold that position; otherwise, this person would be taken down immediately. And what would be the model of him being taken down? Who would it be? It's the model of Hua Guofeng.
Just like when Mao died back then, Hua Guofeng went up, and you see Hua Guofeng didn't stay long before Deng Xiaoping took him down. And what took him down? It was the backing of the military. Deng Xiaoping back then had the backing of the military, and this, this, this whole set of things will definitely replay in the future. So Xi Jinping has only one way out, which means from now until October of next year.
He will crazily arrest people, everyone he thinks poses a future threat or a threat to his successor—imagined threats—meaning he will assume you are this kind of person, once he lists everyone as an enemy, everyone as an enemy. The people he puts up in the future will not have any political foundation whatsoever, meaning inside the Communist Party, they won't have any.
This kind of ability to band together, meaning the older generation, these people of the older generation, will all be thoroughly eradicated by him. What does thorough eradication mean? Thorough eradication doesn't mean letting you go home, but directly entering prison, directly making you disappear, directly making you disappear. This is why Deng—at that time, Xi—at that time Mao Zedong wanted to launch the Cultural Revolution, it was this exact setup, it was this, it was to get you killed, to get you killed. This is history, history already has a precedent, it already has a precedent! And if you aren't killed, if you aren't killed by the Communist Party, you end up getting your case overturned in the end.
Your case gets overturned in the end, right? Just like people like Deng Xiaoping, whose case was overturned in the end. So Xi Jinping will definitely learn this lesson. Then under these circumstances, now you look at Xi Jinping, walking all the way from 2013 to now, he is already in his third term. Then as he walks towards the fourth term, the closer the time gets to the fourth term, the more fierce the internal infighting of the Communist Party becomes.
That is truly formidable, because everyone already understands very clearly that the disaster of the Cultural Revolution is coming, the disaster within the party is coming, and Xi Jinping has already given the signal, already blown the whistle; the Fifth Plenary Session was the whistle-blowing. So during this period, everyone is starting to take action, which means that Xi Jinping is someone into whom not a single drop of water can penetrate, and he can no longer listen to any good advice. Under such circumstances, look at what Xi Jinping has been doing during this period. Before the 21st National Congress, he needs to carry out a reshuffle of the National People's Congress.
NPC reshuffle, how many people are there in the NPC reshuffle? Probably a little less than 3,000 people across China, about 2,900 each time. Currently, it is around 2,900 people, around 2,900 people. Xi Jinping knows that this NPC reshuffle is actually just a formality, just a formality. Now Xi Jinping demands that all NPC reshuffles, all the people—these newly rising NPC figures—must be loyal to him, meaning they must cast 100% of their votes for him and 100% obey his commands.
As long as you still hold any glimmer of hope for reform and opening up, that person will be immediately cast aside, cast aside just like rolling dice, thrown away, thrown away. Therefore, he must demand that every single NPC deputy and every single Chinese Communist Party official be absolutely loyal to him. This is the exact set of tricks Mao played back then, which is dancing the loyalty dance.
There will be no dissenting opinions within the party in the future, no other opinions whatsoever, and you cannot have any other opinions. If you have other opinions, then that is a capital offense, exactly the same as Mao. Now, ordinary people can already feel it. Ordinary people in the past—if you wrote articles on the internet, vented your frustrations, wrote about some problems in the whole society, social problems, or some intellectuals, you could publish these articles, everyone could discuss them, and the comment sections could be open. Now they cannot be opened, completely unable to be opened. As long as it is discovered that you are writing these things, you are immediately banned, and then your position is gone, your scope is gone.
There is simply no way for you to live in this place! Look, among the NPC deputies—NPC deputies from the past, during the Mao era, and later Deng Xiaoping, of course those NPC deputies were all with Mao, dancing the loyalty dance every day. After Deng Xiaoping came to power, many successive sessions of NPC deputies actually turned out to be...
Dominated by social groups, which means these people had a voice. At that time, when everyone held NPC and CPPCC sessions, everyone could speak freely, and no one would fawn over a dictator. At that time, there was no need for a dictator, nor was there a dictator. It might seem that the Chinese Communist Party is a dictatorial country, a dictatorial country, but back then, many of these NPC deputies and CPPCC members had a voice, and they could raise different opinions on various problems appearing across the country, such as issues that emerged.
However, after Xi Jinping came to power, that was no longer possible, no longer possible. As long as you raised an opinion that violated his political principles, you would be immediately brought down, immediately dealt with. That is to say, the Chinese Communist Party demands—what Xi Jinping is talking about now is the purity of the Party.
Back then, it was not like that. At that time, many NPC deputies were non-partisan figures and entrepreneurs. For instance, do you all remember? There were many entrepreneurs who raised all sorts of economic issues. Why is it that now you are no longer allowed to raise them? You simply have no qualification to raise them. Ah, now all enterprises are gradually promoting Party building everywhere.
Therefore, in the future, China—in China, it is impossible to ever produce this kind of private enterprise, large-scale private enterprises will definitely not exist, absolutely not. In the future, the whole of China will likely still have small private enterprises, while large private enterprises will be harvested wave after wave, harvested wave after wave. He demands that all—Xi Jinping now demands that all ordinary people, once the Chinese Communist Party bans you in the future, you won't even have food to eat. In the future, the Chinese Communist Party can use data centers to calculate how much surplus grain you have at home, which is entirely achievable.
Ah, this is one of the aspects of Xi Jinping's violent governance, and it is very serious. So next year, next year 20—the entire reshuffle process starts now and ends in June next year, ending in June next year. The NPC deputies who come to power in the future will all belong to Xi, all belong to Xi.
Ah, back then, Xi Jinping, look at Xi Jinping, when he amended the constitution in 2018, he still wanted to engage in politics, he still wanted to stage a coup, and he needed these soldiers to enter the scene to suppress you. Some people were afraid of you, some people cast dissenting votes. Now, by next year, if Xi Jinping gets this matter settled, if he suppresses all the anti-Xi factions, in the future, when the National People's Congress (NPC) and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) open, everyone who votes will unanimously vote for Xi Jinping. In other words, Xi Jinping will have firmly controlled this country.
Firmly controlling the country means controlling the administrative power of the country. I am only talking about administrative power; he may not necessarily control the power of the military, right? So he is trying, he is doing what? He is doing his political work to clear away all political obstacles.
He is doing this right now. From now until June next year, have you all noticed these past two days? The news media is flooded with reports about the re-election. Look, he even went to participate in Beijing, because his household registration is in Beijing, he even participated in the voting for the Beijing NPC representative election, he went and did this voting.
Look, this is exactly the same as Kim Jong-un. Look, let me show you, Kim Jong-un was the same back then, exactly the same as Kim Jong-un, Kim Jong-un.
Everyone look, Kim Jong-un also, back then, look at Kim Jong-un voting, look, these dictators are often like this, he knows he is deceiving everyone, he is just doing it for you to see in front of everyone, doing it for you to see. Kim Jong-un is the same, look at a dictatorial country, he says look, can a dictatorial country have ballots? There are no ballots, he is the one who makes the final decision. Xi Jinping is the same now, the two of them.
Xi Jinping's current set of things, look, the two are exactly the same, also taking a photo to show the whole country, to show the whole world. We are a democratic country, we also vote, we also vote, right? I was elected by voting, right? He turned a dictator into a democratic country, ah, wanting to package it as a democratic country. Although the whole world knows he is a dictator.
Ah! Look, a while ago, there was a football player in Europe named Mbappé, look at this Mbappé who said one thing, he said Mao is a dictator, he said, hey, I like this avatar. At that time, people were joking, combining his face with Mao's image, saying this is actually mocking him, mocking him that Mbappé, in this team, he is a dictator, he is the dictator of the locker room, the locker room all listens to him, everyone in the locker room listens to him.
Look, later, the whole country, including the Chinese government, reacted extremely strongly. That is to say, the three words "dictator" absolutely cannot appear on the internet now, on a large number of Chinese internet platforms, "dictator" absolutely cannot appear. Why? Because once you mention "dictator," everyone will associate it with Xi Jinping being a dictator. Our dictator has returned. Before, before, many, many people, for example, Deng Xiaoping, or he had dictatorial elements, you could say that, he had dictatorial elements. But he was not a pure dictator, not a pure one. Now he doesn't even have to pretend, he is an absolute dictator.
So, the risk in China now is Xi Jinping. I can reiterate and confirm to everyone, that is, in our China, if Xi Jinping is not taken down, if he is not overthrown, if this regime is not overthrown, this country will have no future. Xi Jinping will definitely fear for his daughter in the future, and his daughter is the only successor.
No one else can inherit his position. You, everyone now, count with your fingers, look, is there any successor? He will absolutely not have a second successor. Once there is a second successor, it is equivalent to digging his own grave, he himself enters this grave, he himself dies. And his entire family will be completely finished, completely overthrown. Ah, his Xi Jinping Thought will all be completely overturned in the future. Ah.
So if it were me, if it were me, to predict! To predict the future situation in China, in the next six to twelve months, I believe Xi Jinping will definitely fall, he will definitely fall. And what is the situation now? The current situation is like the previous kind, for example, if a civil war breaks out in China, once it enters a state of civil war.
So, it is very likely that Xi Jinping will be taken out, because the weapons today are different; they are not like those in the past. In the past, you needed scale, you needed mass mobilization, but now it is different; now everything is about modern weaponry. Now, you just need to identify a precise point, and you can settle it with a precision strike. Look, the U.S. uses precision strikes, and the same will happen within the CCP.
Look at how the U.S. conducts precision strikes; look at how clean those strikes are! Look at how they took out Haniyeh on the very first day, right? That is the current situation. You see, it is the same within the CCP; it is exactly the same, right? You cannot use World War II thinking to define modern warfare, to define modern warfare. So why haven't Russia and Ukraine done these things? Actually, there is a reason for this; there is a reason.
If you were to do it, the other side would immediately do the same. But within the Communist Party, everyone must remember, the war between Russia and Ukraine is not a life-or-death struggle, do you understand? It is about territorial disputes, about grabbing land. Russia is grabbing the other side's territory; the nature of this is completely different. If a civil war breaks out within the CCP, it is completely different; it is a life-or-death struggle, it is a struggle for power, a struggle for power, meaning whether this dynasty belongs to you or to me.
So the nature of this is completely different, completely different. Hey, look, once a civil war breaks out within the CCP, I have always said that the very first target will be Zhongnanhai. Because once you get involved in a civil war, if two factions are fighting, the other side also has missiles, also has planes, also has bombers; it is exactly the same. Hey, you don't need to send infantry over there; it is not like that at all. Modern warfare is completely different; you don't need tanks, you don't need tanks.
Ah, and you don't need people, you don't need large-scale manpower; you just need to surround them and then solve the problem directly with planes and missiles, precision strikes, right? So Xi Jinping is afraid, and that is exactly what he is afraid of. The reason he was putting on an act a while ago is precisely because of this; he is also afraid, he is also afraid. So look, a while ago he immediately announced one thing.
That is a no-fly zone with a 300-kilometer radius centered on Beijing; except for civil aviation aircraft, everything else is strictly prohibited from flying. This includes private drones, which cannot fly. His defense of Beijing is now very tight, very tight. But he cannot defend against it now; why can't he? Because those who oppose Xi are already distributed throughout the entire military of the Communist Party. You could say the anti-Xi forces have a massive following.
Ah, so Xi Jinping does not have that much control. If Xi Jinping had the ability to control the military, the military would not be in the state it is today, where there is only Zhang Shengmin as a Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission alongside him. Look, he doesn't even dare to appoint anyone else; he doesn't even dare to appoint a Vice Chairman of the Military Commission. What is he doing now? He suspects everyone, except for his cousin Zhang Shengmin. Now even Zhang Shengmin is not loyal to him; actually, if you think about it, if he falls, Zhang Shengmin will also be completely finished, so he also has to leave himself a way out. It may look like they are cousins, one is the older cousin and one is the younger, but he also has to consider his own future.
Right? He himself has descendants, has descendants, and has family, ah, the whole family, so if he falls, Zhang Shengmin now understands very clearly what kind of thing you are doing; he is doing the most dangerous thing, which is offending everyone in the world, ah, the whole world does not want him to be a dictator, and that goes without saying for the Chinese people, ah, so in the next few years, what the Chinese people will have to endure is within these six to twelve months.
What will the Chinese people encounter in the future? They will encounter that if Xi Jinping stays in power for another five years, the entire Chinese economy will completely collapse. Global, Western countries' economic sanctions against China, sanctions of all kinds, will become increasingly severe. Ah, if the CCP's problem is not solved, the world will not be at peace.
So Xi Jinping, the current situation in the whole of China is just like this. Look at Xi Jinping now, he is just waiting to see if there is a self-rescue mechanism within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), whether they can manage to get rid of him. If they can get rid of him, then the ordinary people of China might have a chance to turn things around. Many of you ordinary people, the ordinary people of China now don't even have enough to eat, they don't even have enough to eat! We don't even need to talk about the economy anymore. When you talk about the economy, everyone, the ordinary people of China no longer discuss this economic issue; they don't talk about it now. The road ahead is completely shrouded in fog, completely shrouded in fog, right? Everyone also knows where the problem lies—it lies right with Xi Jinping.
Right? His political shift has led to the collapse of the entire Chinese economy, completely.
Well, I will chat with you all about this topic up to here. Now Xi Jinping has been continuously sending people to various places across the country, while he himself does not dare to go out. In about a week or so, he will go to Shenzhen, to Shenzhen, um, to attend, to attend this, it seems like the G, it seems like the G20 summit, or something.
Putin, that, that, that, Trump, and others might all go, they will all meet up, and many heads of state will meet up. Um, but this doesn't affect anything. These are just matters of saving face for everyone and will not affect Xi Jinping's internal political affairs; they cannot affect them anymore. Alright, thank you all for watching.