Xi Jinping Will Thoroughly Purge the Remaining Figures of the Tuanpai in the Short Term.

This article is Hu Liren's analysis of the trends among high-level elites in Chinese politics, focusing on the future purges and marginalization actions that Xi Jinping may launch against the Communist Youth League (CYL) faction and related residual figures (including Wang Huning, Hu Chunfa, Shen Yueyue, Zhou Qiang, and Han Zheng). The program reviews the political backgrounds, factional origins, and potential political liquidation fates of these officials, and points out the prevalence of power-money-sex corruption and political brutality within the official circles of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).

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Tonight, let's talk about another topic. Right now, many officials in Beijing are speculating. Look, Huang Qifan has been retired for almost ten years or so, and he actually stepped down long ago. After stepping down, he has continuously been doing some other work. So-called work means giving speeches and things like that in universities. He should be an economic bureaucrat, someone who specializes in economics and these matters, and he can also be considered an intellectual. From an economic perspective and in terms of various aspects of urban management, this person is relatively scientific and logical. People like Huang Qifan ultimately cannot escape. As I was saying, I did an episode this morning about Wang Huning. Just imagine, if Xi Jinping were to fall, who do you think could step up? Wang Huning is a very important card among them, being in the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC).

Moreover, he is a veteran of multiple dynasties, and he has very strong personnel connections. Many people were very likely arranged by him in the first place. I also mentioned in the program this morning that Wang Huning is actually a hidden personnel figure, acting as the head of the Organization Department, which might even be higher in rank than the head of the CCP Central Committee Organization Department. Of course, he is definitely of a higher rank, because his rank should be at the national leader level, alongside Zhao Leji, with one in the CPPCC and one in the National People's Congress (NPC). You probably understand this quite well; look at the composition of the NPC, for instance, Zhao Leji is the chairman of the NPC, while the vice chairmen are all people from other political parties—these are all window dressings, all window dressings. The NPC gives people the external impression of being a democratic team. The NPC is democratic, and people like those from the China Democratic League, the Revolutionary Committee of the Chinese Kuomintang, and the Jiusan Society are all heads of democratic parties and often serve as vice chairpersons of the NPC.

The CPPCC is different; the CPPCC is usually composed of retired members from the Communist Party. Now, regarding the CPPCC and Wang Huning, I feel that the moves in the CPPCC might be very significant. Which people will be targeted? I believe Xi Jinping will definitely target all members of the CYL faction because the CYL faction has had interactions and association with each other since they were young for a long time. Furthermore, they are constantly rising together, which means they are people who protect each other as they ascend, like Hu Chunfa and those individuals whose relationships with Li Keqiang and Hu Jintao were far too close. No matter what, even if you follow Xi Jinping, you are absolutely, by no means, on the same boat as Xi Jinping. Under such circumstances, if Xi Jinping were to step down—supposing Xi Jinping were to step down—and wanted to arrange for his own people to go up, if these people from the CYL faction were still around, they would possess extremely strong challenging power.

As for those currently in office who are purely from the Communist Youth League (CYL) faction—meaning those generally recognized as such—some are on the periphery of the faction. For instance, Han Zheng might be considered both a member and a peripheral figure. However, those who truly represent the CYL faction include Hu Chunhua, who is the number two figure in the CPPCC, and now the number three figure, who should be Shen Yueyue. She was formerly the Executive Deputy Head of the Organization Department of the CCP Central Committee. I am very familiar with Shen Yueyue's family; I have mentioned this to everyone before. Shen Yueyue is from Ningbo. She was originally a teacher, then became the Secretary of the CYL Committee in Ningbo—the Secretary of the Ningbo Municipal CYL Committee. She was once a secretary at the Education Bureau. Later, she started in schools and then became a CYL Committee Secretary. In 1985, she followed Hu Jintao, who was then the First Secretary of the CYL Central Committee. At that time, there was an exchange with Japan. Everyone remembers that in 1985, almost all the leaders of the CYL faction from across the country were involved in youth exchanges; many were sent to Japan for a period of time for friendly visits.

At that time, Shen Yueyue and Hu Jintao had a very good relationship; their connection began there, in Japan. Shen Yueyue was one of the most representative figures of the CYL faction, and her influence was very strong. She was once the personnel manager of the Hu Jintao era. Although Li Yuanchao was the Head of the Organization Department at the time and appeared to be her superior, she was actually Li Yuanchao's superior. Outsiders might not know this, but those who understand the inner workings know these details. Shen Yueyue was very powerful at the time, but later, once you step down—the Communist Party is always like this. When you are in office, you are very powerful; once you step down, like Hu Jintao did, you have no voice. She is absolutely from the CYL faction. She later went from Ningbo to Hangzhou, and after arriving in Hangzhou, she became the number three figure, serving as the Head of the Organization Department of Hangzhou, then as the Commissioner of the Shaoxing region, and later returned to Hangzhou to serve as the Head of the Organization Department of Zhejiang Province.

Before coming to Beijing, there was a rule for CCP officials: to hold office in Beijing, you must have served as a local leader in two different places. She had served as a leader in Hangzhou and Zhejiang for a long time, starting from when she was a young woman. Later, she went to Anhui—that was over twenty years ago—and served as the Vice Governor of Anhui Province. She didn't stay in Anhui for long; after Hu Jintao went to Beijing, she followed. So, if you look at how these people come up, you see they all live with their tails between their legs. People inside the Communist Party are all like this. Shen Yueyue was so glorious back then; people below her would see her like a mouse seeing a cat, right? I once talked about Zhou Jiangyong, the later Secretary of the Hangzhou Municipal Party Committee. Zhou Jiangyong was promoted continuously; from being a county magistrate in Xiangshan, he was suddenly promoted to Director of the Management Committee of the Hangzhou Bay New Area, jumping two and a half levels at once. I didn't understand the situation at the time, but before he was promoted, I already knew that Zhou Jiangyong was going to be promoted, and he jumped two and a half levels.

This kind of promotion within the Communist Party is only known to those who manage personnel; those in the Organization Department all know it. Then he was promoted to a position equivalent to the Deputy Mayor of Ningbo. Later he left, and suddenly went to the Provincial Party Committee and the Provincial Government. Then he went to Wenzhou as Secretary, and later to Hangzhou as Secretary. In the end, he got entangled with Jack Ma and others. Eventually, he became a prisoner. He is the same age as me, born in September 1969; he seems to be a few days younger than me. Look, I have even had a meal with him. And now, look, he has become a prisoner. I am in Florida, USA, still a free man, pursuing freedom and democracy. So, being an official in the Communist Party is really not easy! For someone like Shen Yueyue, she will definitely—look at how many officials she is involved with; she is involved with all the officials of the Hu Jintao era, and her influence is significant. Do you think Xi Jinping will let her go? He will absolutely not let her go. That is one thing.

There is also Zhou Qiang. Currently, the people who are truly from the CYL faction in the CPPCC seem to be these three: Hu Chunhua, Shen Yueyue, and Zhou Qiang. Zhou Qiang, like Hu Chunhua, was the First Secretary of the CYL Central Committee. These people will all be taken down by Xi Jinping in the future. And it will happen during this period because Xi Jinping has no time left. If Xi Jinping were in good health, he could hold on for another five or eight years, and these people could be left in their positions until they truly retire, and then he would deal with them. But looking at the current situation, Xi Jinping's life and death are actually tied to their life and death.

There is another person whom I think Xi Jinping will also move against. He is also a very cunning person, quite similar to Wang Huning, and that is Han Zheng. Han Zheng is currently the vice president. You might think he is the vice president, but he is walking on thin ice. Han Zheng’s working ability is not strong, and his public reputation in Shanghai was very poor. When he was the party secretary in Shanghai, his reputation was very poor, and when he was the mayor, his reputation was very poor. I have several friends who worked in the municipal government when Han Zheng was in office. Although I never had any personal interactions with Han Zheng and have never met him, their evaluation of Han Zheng was extremely poor, whereas their evaluation of Huang Qifan was very high. Han Zheng is a political opportunist, a fence-sitter, somewhat playing a role similar to that of Zhou Enlai back then. He is good at reading the room and has a very strong ability to adapt to new masters. Originally, he followed Jiang Zemin and belonged to the Jiang faction; later, he followed Hu Jintao because he had some ties to the Youth League faction. He used to be the secretary of the Communist Youth League Shanghai Municipal Committee, so he could be considered a figure of the Youth League faction, though he did not have too many deep entanglements with them. When he was young, he was also a Youth League committee secretary, and being a Youth League committee secretary in Shanghai meant he was under the leadership of Hu Jintao at the time. He should also be considered as part of Hu Jintao’s and Li Keqiang’s camp, which is why he had major shifts involving these people. Then, when Xi Jinping came to power, around 2007, Xi Jinping apparently partnered with Han Zheng for a period. Xi Jinping served as the party secretary in Shanghai for about seven months, and the mayor at that time was Han Zheng. They established their connection during that period.

Han Zheng is someone who acts like an obedient tiger, but he is also a bit sinister. His verbal skills and abilities are strong, but if you ask him to get things done, his execution capability is very poor. This person is an opportunist, and in the future, he should also be purged by Xi Jinping. It may seem like this person lacks real capability, but Xi Jinping cannot use people who are too capable. People who are too capable might overshadow him. The way Xi Jinping operates is: I give the orders and you must execute them; whether it is right or wrong, whatever I say is right, and you have no choice but to carry it out. Han Zheng and people like him are precisely this type of person, and Li Qiang is also this type of person. Therefore, the people currently around him are almost entirely devoid of real capability. Capable people would have been gotten rid of long ago because capable people shine too brightly. For example, Li Keqiang—his capability was much stronger than theirs; Li Keqiang’s ability far surpassed these people. You could say that although Li Qiang and Li Keqiang differ by only one character in their names, the difference between the two individuals is as vast as heaven and earth. Therefore, these people, including Han Zheng, are all in great danger for the future. Today I am only talking about these four people, but I believe Xi Jinping will likely take down or marginalize all four of them very soon. It might not be done publicly, but these people have already been completely marginalized and put under control, and they may permanently disappear in the future. This is the cruelty within the Communist Party. Furthermore, if there is a political need for it, these people could very likely be thrown straight into prison, just like that, casually finding some excuse.

Finding an excuse to deal with these people is simply too easy. People within the Communist Party are driven by either sex or money—power and sex, money and sex, or mostly money and sex, they are all tainted. Take Han Zheng, for example. Everyone in Shanghai already knew back then that he had illegitimate children and the like; everyone is very clear about this. For an official like him, who dares to touch him? He is tied directly to the emperor at the top, so no one can touch him. The Communist Party often operates this way: when arresting people within the Communist Party, the pretexts are usually money on the one hand and sex on the other. Why do they use money and sex to build a case? Why do they bring them down under these pretexts? It is to project an image to the outside world that our Communist Party is very pure, and that wherever there is corruption, we will crack down, and wherever sex and money are involved, we will crack down. In reality, this is just gilding the faces of the entire Communist Party system. Not a single person inside the Communist Party is free from these things! Moreover, within the Communist Party, there is an unwritten rule among everyone: my private life is off-limits to you; everyone understands this tacitly.

Look at what happened some time ago involving a leader in Yongzhou, Hunan—a female official. How many men did she have? She had nine men, all of whom were her superiors and had relations with her. Just think, it was later investigated and the matter was thus exposed. Within the Communist Party, nearly every one of these female officials has backers, and these backers are mistresses to those backers. Leaving aside ordinary people within the Communist Party, just look at the so-called beautiful anchors on CCTV; behind them are all officials, all connected to officials. Just think, when hosting a program, you might think you can be the one to go on air or let someone else go on air, but to truly get on air, you have to pay a price—they are all mistresses or junior partners of high-ranking officials! Things are always like this inside the Communist Party. Everyone remembers the Zhou Yongyang incident last time; figures like that woman Bingbing and other television program hosts were all subsequently dealt with. There was a tall female host at CCTV who specifically presented sports programs, and later, because of the Zhou Yongyang incident—since she was Zhou Yongyang’s mistress—she was thrown straight into prison. Later on, after Zhou Yongyang was sentenced to life imprisonment, she was released after serving a few years in prison once she had confessed to these matters. Currently, this person has completely vanished from the public eye. Everyone remembers her, right? The woman who acted as the sports commentator during a World Cup—that woman was Zhou Yongyang’s mistress.

Alright, let's see who Xi Jinping will target during this period. I think there are a few key individuals. One is Wang Huning, whom I mentioned this morning; he is the most dangerous person. Then there are Hu Chunhua, Shen Yueyue, and Zhou Qiang, as well as Han Zheng. According to common logic, these people should all be taken down; their historical and political missions have already been completed. For Xi Jinping, there is no great need for them to remain in their positions. Even if they stay, they will pose significant hidden dangers in the future. So, these people might be removed by Xi Jinping. The first three are part of the Tuanpai (Youth League faction)—Hu Chunhua, Shen Yueyue, and Zhou Qiang—and Han Zheng can also be considered a figure within the Tuanpai, or at least half a figure. Let's wait and see! Remember, everyone, believing in the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) means walking into a crematorium. These people are currently running toward the crematorium; they mixed themselves into this mess. They thought, when they were young and naive, that once they entered the CCP and became high-ranking officials, they would have prestige and be surrounded by crowds. But in the end, once these people arrived in Beijing and became high-level officials, they turned into slaves—high-risk slaves. Truly, once they are beaten to death, they will just be buried in a pit dug somewhere north of the city. Thank you all for watching, and see you next time.