Will Trump adopt economic easing policies toward Xi Jinping after the midterm election defeat?

Host Hu Liren analyzed the historical pattern of the ruling party's defeat in the U.S. midterm elections during a live broadcast, discussing the pros and cons of Trump's policies and their continuity regarding the high-pressure stance of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). He believes that a defeat in the midterm elections is a normal phenomenon and will not change the bipartisan hardline strategy against the CCP in the U.S., but may instead prompt Trump to adjust his domestic economic and livelihood policies in the future.

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Hello, friends and viewers. I am still traveling, and I will be doing live broadcasts with you along the way for the next couple of days. Late last night, the data came out regarding the U.S. midterm elections. Today, I have actually received many phone calls. Many people are calling, hoping that I can do an episode to talk about and evaluate the midterm elections now, specifically to judge whether future U.S. policies toward China and toward Xi Jinping will ease up. Let me give you my commentary on this.

If you truly understand American history—many new immigrants, including many Chinese individuals currently in China or overseas, might not yet understand this—actually, a defeat in the midterm elections and a victory, or a landslide victory, for the opposition party is very normal. First, especially regarding the economy. When ordinary citizens have concerns about the future economy, it is very normal for the opposition party to win a landslide victory in the midterm elections during such periods. That is the first point. There is also another reason: wartime. Once a country enters a state of war and engages in foreign warfare, it inevitably consumes a massive amount of financial resources. Under such circumstances, the domestic economy suffers severe blows, which is also completely normal.

Another point is that when you look at the U.S. economy today, you shouldn't assume that everything is decided by Trump or caused by Trump. In reality, the overall economy is a long chain; it evolves step by step and accumulates gradually across various stages, much like the subprime mortgage crisis of 2008. When the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis erupted, can you say it was simply the fault of the president at the time? Not at all, not at all. Therefore, when we judge these matters, we must look at the actual circumstances.

So, why did Trump win his second term? At the time, Biden should have been able to secure re-election for a second term, but why didn't he? In fact, during Biden's tenure, many ordinary citizens and the American public were extremely dissatisfied with the current state of affairs in the U.S., which led to Trump winning the victory, and indeed a landslide victory.

Why do I call it a landslide victory? Look at both the House and the Senate being completely taken by the Republican Party, meaning the Republicans won the vast majority of the votes in both chambers. Well, this time it was the opposite. Throughout the history of U.S. elections, the rate of midterm election defeats—meaning defeats for the ruling party—is quite high. Based on my calculation from 1946 after World War II up to the present, out of about 20 terms, around 17 or 18 midterm elections were won by the opposition party. There are probably only four or five true landslide victories. Just think about it, when you take these real and historical data out and look at midterm election defeats, you can say that in the current mindset of the Republicans and Trump, including the minds of everyone in Trump's entire cabinet, they can handle it. They can all handle it, and I think this is very normal, very normal. This is also why democratic countries continuously develop and grow stronger, getting better and better, and moving more towards the good. It means the national economy will get better and better. There is a reason why the United States is so powerful. Why? Because it is constantly correcting itself, constantly making corrections.

Two years from now, there are still two years left, Trump has two years left. Two years from now, whether the Democrats are in power or the Republicans are in power, I don't think it will have much of an impact on American politics. The United States as a country always moves in a relatively better direction. Everyone shouldn't have too much worry, because American politics overall operates within a bounded box movement, doing this bounded box movement under the framework of the Constitution. When it goes to the far-left, it turns into the far-right; when it goes to the far-right, it turns back into the far-left, meaning it is constantly performing bounded box movements. It needs a process, and throughout this entire process, the country is constantly developing. This is one thing.

Second, I am talking about the current US Senate and House of Representatives; it should be said that the vast majority of American politicians have completely awakened. Because the high-pressure stance currently adopted by the West against the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) was not determined by certain individuals in the US Republican or Democratic parties. Who determined this? It was determined by the Communist Party itself. You see, I am saying that since Xi Jinping amended the constitution in 2018, the entire national politics, the politics of the CCP, has undergone a major shift and a major turn. This turn has already determined that it has once again entered the channel of the extreme left. Under these circumstances, many Americans are already worried that the CCP has become too powerful. They have accumulated all the wealth of the Chinese people and turned it into the wealth of the state, which is actually the wealth of the Communist Party, and in fact, the wealth of the dictator. How powerful is this dictator's wealth? Once all this wealth is gathered together, it becomes a global behemoth for all of humanity. It is very difficult for the vast majority of countries to compete with it. Under these circumstances, American politicians also understand very well that only a country like the United States, the only country capable of taking on this responsibility, can maintain world balance and maintain global security. Therefore, in the current United States, whether it is the Republican Party or the Democratic Party, they are actually—I think this framing is only at the US national level. If you look at the United States from a global perspective, it is the US government; there is no Democratic Party, there is no Republican Party. I believe they are consistent in many aspects. You see, many of the subsequent policies of the left are actually aimed at the CCP. They know that everyone has woken up now. You see, the CCP has grown so powerful; to this day, this devil has been blown up so big and made so large. In fact, many people think it was just caused by the American left, but you are very wrong. If you look at American history, you will know that many Republicans have actually been continuously supporting the CCP. You see, many of these traditional people, including the earliest ones like Kissinger, are actually related to the Republican Party. So under these circumstances, the policies they adopted were not extreme-left; they were even extreme-right. But regarding China, including Kissinger, Nixon, and these people, later the entire West—regardless of the entire United States, whether it is the left or the right, whether it is the Democratic Party or the Republican Party—is actually in the process of clearing out the CCP. You see, the Communist Party suddenly developed to be so big, and now they all know they made a mistake, so now they are also correcting these mistakes. Therefore, I think, first, regarding Trump, whether he loses the midterm elections or not does not affect his policy toward the CCP. His policy toward the CCP will become increasingly strict and increasingly tight. This is the entire stance of the West, not just Trump. Even if Trump were to be impeached—I am assuming—if this time Trump were to be impeached and someone from the Democratic Party were to come to power to control and manipulate the US government, the current high-pressure policy of the US government toward the CCP will never change. If it were to change, it would not be a matter of the Democratic Party or the Republican Party, but that the United States would be finished, the global world civilization would be finished, and Western civilization would be completely finished. I think they are also very clear about this, so this will not change. Everyone should not think that just because the midterm elections were won, the left won, and do not think that only Trump is pressuring the CCP; it is absolutely not like that. Trump—I have always said I am not a fan of Trump at all; I have never been a fan of Trump. For example, Trump's border policy, I support that. You see, I do not support many of Trump's policies. For example, look at his current policy toward Russia, on the issue of Ukraine and Russia, this person is just talking nonsense! Just talking nonsense! You think, a dictatorial country and a democratic country, the two are fighting, you don't support the democratic country, you go to support a dictatorial country, it is a complete act of aggression. Then you go on to say that it is suppressing Russian-speaking people or the public in Ukraine or whatever, this is a state act, their state act, it has nothing to do with you, Russia. This is something the international community can step in to mediate and pressure Ukraine. You, as a country, launch an aggression against another sovereign country, launch military actions, launch a war of aggression, this is something all of humanity should condemn.

And Trump, in some respects, for example this year, you see him praising the dictator Xi Jinping so much. A few years ago, Trump kept saying that the Wuhan virus was the CCP's fault and that the CCP should pay reparations. Well, then you look at the Great Hall of the People in China, where he said things that were so flattering to Xi Jinping, which is completely contrary to his own ideology. So, I don't think Trump is a normal person, nor is he a normal politician. It was also normal for him to step down. The United States does not belong to Trump; everyone should not think that the United States is Trump's. Many of Trump's policies are abnormal, and one could say they are all failures. For example, the war Trump launched against Iran—I think launching that war was very normal. You are an evil country, and I am going to attack you; that is very normal because Iran has been engaging in terrorism throughout the Middle East; it is the source of terrorism. Of course, the highest and deepest source of that terror is the CCP. Therefore, Trump choosing to use military force to strike Iran in this regard was correct. But in terms of tactics, I think he failed. You see that to this day, the whole war is still ongoing; they were still fighting a couple of days ago, still attacking each other. He didn't achieve his goal in one step, dragging out the timeline of the war, making a war that could have been completed in a few months—say, two or three months—end up like this. Of course, there are other countries supporting Iran, like Russia and the CCP. I think, in evaluating Trump as a person, I can only say this: he is fifty-fifty. But there is one point I am relatively optimistic about, which is that I believe Trump might launch a war against the CCP during his term. I think that if he is a true politician, a politician with vision, I think this is something he should do. Looking at the current situation, his policy toward the CCP seems to be relatively high-pressure. For example, economically, with tariffs, he can keep it in check. Secondly, in terms of technology, you see the trade war was started by the CCP—no, it was started by Trump, it began in his first term, so his spearhead was indeed pointed at the CCP. At that time, when the trade war was launched in his first term, the CCP had not yet launched that virus war, so he started it back then. Later, after 2019, the virus incident occurred, and the CCP's virus began to spread across the world, and tens of millions of people died. Therefore, I think everyone should not be surprised, and should not think that losing the midterm elections is the end of the world.

America is currently divided between two factions. On one side, there is a group that favors socialism, and many people are being continuously infiltrated by the CCP, which is carrying out infiltration throughout the entire United States; that is one aspect. Secondly, there are also issues related to American beliefs, namely racial issues; many Muslims with racial issues have conflicts with Christian denominations—although they have not engaged in severe clashes, a great deal of conflict has arisen within the collective group ideologies. Then there are some newer phenomena, as in modern society, where many things are beyond our comprehension, such as the issue of homosexuality, which cannot be understood. These things will also cause huge impacts on this country. In fact, generation after generation, each generation believes that the next generation has abandoned tradition. For people truly like our generation, talking about traditional things now and trying to bring this country back to traditional, formerly held ideological ideas is actually very difficult, because society is developing, and trendy things are constantly impacting these traditional elements. Just like my grandmothers—their thoughts were far too traditional and differed from mine. America is the same; conservative people with traditional mindset from the 1930s and 1940s also have a distance from today's conservatives. These modern so-called conservative people have also integrated many modern elements, and they are not purely like the conservative people of the past. Therefore, the Democratic Party is constantly changing, and the Republican Party is also constantly changing. This is an irresistible general trend. You might say, how can the ideology of the Republican Party and Democratic Party a hundred years from now compare with the Democratic Party and Republican Party we have today? They simply cannot be compared. The country a hundred years from now will be completely different. Look, if we trace back to the America of a hundred years ago, can it compare with today's America? It cannot; there are both good and bad aspects. Therefore, there are many things we cannot understand now, but we will understand them later. But there is one point: the macro direction of this country will definitely not change, absolutely will not change. Whether it is the Republican Party or the Democratic Party, they will not change; traditional things will not change. For instance, regarding major events nowadays—such as those targeting the CCP, targeting Russia, targeting Iran, targeting Cuba, you say, have the Republican Party and Democratic Party ever changed their stance on Cuba? They have never changed, maintaining a high-pressure posture to deal with it over the past few decades.

So this is very normal, and everyone should not have excessive worry about it. Furthermore, after losing the midterm elections, I think it was a huge wake-up call for Trump, a huge wake-up call. Well, with the loss of the midterm elections, for example, if the Republican Party loses, it is very likely that after the midterms he will make adjustments on economic issues and national policies—make an adjustment, which is an internal national adjustment—and then he will still win back the popular support, I think.

Trump made bold reforms in his first two years, so I think in the next two years, Trump may adjust some domestic economic policies so that people's livelihood might improve, ah, improve. Now, ordinary people in America indeed—look at how fiercely oil prices have risen; once oil prices go up, actually many things go up as well. Trump touched a cheese, what cheese? Actually, it's the oil cheese, which was at that time. But at that time too, look, during the Bush era it was the same, the Gulf War also happened then, and fluctuations in oil prices also occurred at that time, right? It was the same, and moreover, the last war was even bigger than this one, even bigger, right?

Another point is that because Trump lost this year—lost this mid-term election—many of the votes that used to support Trump were actually South American votes. Now, regarding this, I think Trump did the right thing. I think what he did was right, even if people are like this and many things are like this. Even if you lose, it doesn't prove whether you are right or wrong. What you did was right, but you still lost, so you just have to accept the outcome. What else can you do, right? It is just like a person living in an evil country who insists on upholding the truth. You say, "I want to uphold the truth," and someone tells you, "If you don't give it up, you'll lose, so you shouldn't persist." But you can't do that. For example, regarding border policy, there are now many South Americans who, conversely, turned against him because Trump detained too many people—he arrested several million, probably four to five million, I suppose. There should be nearly two million people who have already signed voluntary departure forms and left the United States. I think this is a major housecleaning of the United States, a major housecleaning of the nation. I think it's normal, right? After a while, the entire border control—what is this like? Actually, incidents like this are not a problem caused by Trump, but a problem of the Democratic Party and the Biden administration at the time. During the Biden administration, let me tell you, to what extent had things reached? In fact, during Biden's time, there were almost no borders anymore. Many people came in, and I know many people who came straight in, went over there to register, were detained for a few days, and were directly released. They were just let out. Where on earth is that a border? Is that a normal border? You have millions of people, a massive number of people every day coming to the United States from South America, from all over the world, carrying bags, carrying large and small bags, and bringing their families. Think about it: which country is like this, right? The borders are completely open, as if there are no borders at all. Once they arrive, they somehow get green cards and can all work here.

Look at Florida, where I live. In Florida, throughout the entire state, there are a huge number of South American people. These people don't speak English; they all speak Spanish. In Florida, many, many people have no legal status. They came to Florida from South America because this place has a Spanish-speaking community. It's like—sounding it out in Chinese, as if everyone speaks Chinese—you can just live there. So in Florida, you can speak Spanish, you can thrive there, and live in that place as if it were your own country, right? These people—some of them have relatives, family members, and friends in the United States. So after these people arrived in America, their relatives—now that these people have been arrested, their relatives must hate America to the core, hate America to the core, and how they must hate Trump! Therefore, a large portion of these voter pools cast their ballots for the Democratic Party, voting for the Democrats. That's normal, I think this is completely normal. It's just like every war, just like World War II back then. You might say that if the United States hadn't intervened, the world order would not be what it is today, right? At that time, the U.S. also had to step in.

Was the U.S. intervention back then sent by the U.S.? It was sent by God to save the world, right? And so they won World War II. Look at World War II: the U.S. economy at that time was actually very poor as well. Look, once a country gets involved in a war, a massive number of people die on the battlefield, making the ultimate sacrifice. Many of these people—look, at that time, casualties were counted in the tens of thousands, counted in the tens of thousands. Tens of thousands of people died in this particular battle, right? The warfare back then was still World War II warfare, which is different from modern warfare. Modern warfare results in very few deaths; it primarily targets the instigators of war and dictators, which is completely different. So back then, look at all kinds of American military engagements—the Battle of Midway, the Normandy landings, and the Flying Tigers pilots who helped China at the time—look at how many died! What is this? This is the price of war. It is simply like this: in a family, after you buy a house and live in it for eight to ten years, the house needs to be remodeled, it needs repairs, and at that point, you have to shell out money, you have to spend money to start renovating the house. The roof needs to be replaced, the air conditioner needs to be replaced, the main unit needs to be replaced, and you have to repaint the house—you have to spend money on all of these things. Was spending this money worth it or not? Of course, ordinary American people are like this; ordinary people are very simple: as long as the economy is good, everything is good. Look, was the economy good during the Clinton era? Was the economy good during the Clinton era? The economy was exceptionally good. To what extent was it good? It was so good that later on, the entire Clinton era—meaning Clinton's policy toward the Chinese Communist Party—actually genuinely caused the Chinese Communist Party to become a behemoth, planting a massive landmine for the entire world.

It may seem like he was a complete success in the United States; in terms of the U.S. economy at that time, it was very good. Many Americans still miss the Clinton era, talking about how good the economy was then and how much they miss that time. In reality, in this regard, he was a heroic figure in the U.S., but on a global scale, in world politics, this person was extremely terrible. It is precisely because of his politics and his policies that the current treatment of China and everything else—all those things from that time—were all his doing. He was the one who did it all; he planted a massive landmine for the whole world. So we have to look at it. You know, during the Clinton era, in the midterm elections, the ruling party won big, which is completely different from now, totally different. You can all look it up; many people supported him, and they all voted for the Democratic Party. In those midterm elections, he won big. The vast majority of midterm elections are subversive; they are all about subversion, all favoring the opposition party, all the opposition party. So, what seems like a good thing sometimes—we look at the world this way too. There are many things you see that look like a good thing, but in fact, they are not. Things that look like they aren't a good thing might, conversely, be a good thing. So I think this loss for Trump, if we look at it in the long run, from a deeper perspective, I think it is a good thing, not a bad thing. Everyone, this is my view, this is my view. We can extend the timeline to look at this matter.

Furthermore, for those who support Trump, you shouldn't be discouraged. This is a normal phenomenon and doesn't mean Trump has done so much evil. But Trump indeed had problems in many areas; he is not a perfect person, right? Also, regarding the final election—now it's the midterm elections, but for the final election, who will win or lose? In two years, or maybe a little over a year from now, when the U.S. presidential election happens, let's see which Republican candidate and which Democratic candidate will be able to win. We don't know yet, we don't know yet. It's not necessarily the case that the Democratic Party will win; I don't think it's certain. So, it all depends on what Trump does in the next two years, or the year-plus period. This will determine the future of the Republican Party and the future seats in the Senate and House of Representatives.

Alright, I'll stop chatting with you all here. I don't usually pay much attention to U.S. politics. I am more knowledgeable about China, and I don't know much about the U.S. But I think we should take a long-term view and dig up these historical things to make comparisons. Also, regarding losing, I think losing is normal, losing is normal. I think this time, if Trump had won, that would be truly abnormal. Losing is very normal. Alright, thank you all for watching, just chatting aimlessly with you. If there are other topics, there are other topics. I suggest that those viewers who are familiar with the Senate and House of Representatives and the Democratic and Republican parties should go watch those who specifically talk about U.S. politics, and specifically, those who have foresight. You need people with foresight, not just those who are relatively objective and neutral. I think the analyses from such media are likely to be very brilliant. Alright, thank you for watching! I'm just showing my face these past two days. In case many friends see I haven't made a video, and after one day of not seeing a video, they think something happened to me. The U.S. is very safe, the U.S. is very safe, you don't need to worry. Alright, thank you for watching, see you in the next topic.