Xi Jinping's withdrawal of troops from Scarborough Shoal exposes his extreme panic, while once again proving that Taiwan's rise is just around the corner. True China

In this episode, host Hu Liren discusses the extreme panic revealed by Xi Jinping in the withdrawal incident at Scarborough Shoal, and analyzes the relationship between Trump's hardline policies and cross-strait security. Meanwhile, the program discusses the political coded language between Trump and North Korea's Kim Jong-un, the local government debt crisis in China (reaching as high as 100 trillion), the wave of unemployment and mortgage defaults in places like Chengdu, and China's growing trend toward contracting into a "Big North Korea".

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Let's talk to everyone again about Taiwan and Xi Jinping's current mindset. Today, there was a major event regarding Xi Jinping, which I just discussed in a previous broadcast: over the past decade or more—14 years since Xi Jinping came to power, 13 years plus 2012, which was still during Hu Jintao's era—the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has never withdrawn its troops from Scarborough Shoal, maintaining a firm grip on it all along. Everyone is already very familiar with the name Scarborough Shoal, right? Scarborough Shoal has historically been China's inherent territory, right? In fact, Scarborough Shoal is not an island; it is a triangular reef, a heart-shaped triangular reef and atoll whose surface is exposed above the seabed and the sea level. There is no large landmass on that reef, no large landmass, so it's impossible to live there, and there is no fresh water. Because the area is so huge, if you wanted to reclaim land—dredging up the seabed sand to fill and build an island—it would be very difficult. The engineering scale is simply too huge because the ring of reefs spans several hundred kilometers; there's just no way to do it. Encircling it would require over a hundred kilometers of reef, maybe 150 kilometers of reef—how massive is that? You simply cannot fence it in. So the CCP just erected a monument there to signify that the island belongs to them, and they continuously patrol the area to assert their sovereignty, treating the entire South China Sea as their own. Now look, Xi Jinping has reached such a state that he has actually withdrawn from Scarborough Shoal. He has withdrawn from Scarborough Shoal. Although his mouth is still tough—very tough, as people from Shanghai would say, his words are stubborn—he has actually already withdrawn. I have told everyone countless times: in all of Asia, in Asian geopolitics, and in all major events in Asia, where does the ultimate decision-making power lie? It lies in the hands of the United States; the decision-making power rests with the US. I have always said that once you understand this history, you will know that everything is decided by the US. This includes the negotiations on the 38th Parallel, where the US stepped in, right? Everyone knows about the negotiations on the 38th Parallel. It includes Japan's political orientation, which was also set with US intervention, right? Everything is like that. This includes the alternation of political power in Taiwan. Do not assume that the rise of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) in Taiwan happened entirely independently of outside forces. What was the driving force behind the scenes? The United States, the United States. At the time, the US wanted the Kuomintang (KMT) out of power; otherwise, you could never have pushed them down! The US supported the DPP, so the DPP has always been backed by the United States. Even back in 2008, when Ma Ying-jeou won—winning, winning, winning two terms, if I recall correctly—behind the scenes, it was also due to US support, exactly the same. Look at the current situation; it is precisely the same, exactly the same! Even back in 2012, when the CCP seized Scarborough Shoal and the Philippines retreated, it was all orchestrated by the US. It's just that different US administrations were in power; back then, the Obama administration essentially sold out Scarborough Shoal. Now, Trump is taking it back. Just think about it: without Trump's persistence, without Trump being so tough on the Philippines—as you know, recently Marco Rubio met with the Philippine Foreign Minister, and Rubio definitely made things very clear to him. Furthermore, I now highly suspect—highly suspect—that during this trip to Beijing by Trump, he likely bottom-lined things with Xi Jinping and made the situation crystal clear. First is the Taiwan Strait issue: you must absolutely not continue like this, you cannot keep making threats like this. Because Trump also understands very well that he is currently acting as president...

Because Taiwan has... what is it that truly protects Taiwan? The Taiwan Relations Act is a U.S. law. This U.S. law determines Taiwan's politics and its future, and it has established Taiwan's security. I have been saying one thing all along, declaring one thing to everyone: which place in the whole world, the entire world, is the safest? It is Taiwan. Which country, tell me which country can do this? The U.S. says, if you dare to attack them, I will attack you. Look around, is there any other? No, there isn't. Just think, the biggest country in the world, the most powerful, the most badass country is protecting you, so what are you worried about? You people of Taiwan have absolutely nothing to worry about. Voting, voting for the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is completely unnecessary—no, the current Taiwan, the Taiwan of a few years ago, many votes were swayed by the CCP's propaganda that they were going to attack Taiwan, that they were going to attack Taiwan. Many ordinary people are like this; ordinary people are timid. They think, if I let the DPP stay in power for a long time and the Kuomintang (KMT) is gone, what if the Communist Party attacks? That is exactly why the Communist Party wants you to have such a mentality, so they keep threatening, keep threatening. This time, let me tell you, the Scarborough Shoal incident is enough to prove it, enough to prove it. I suspect, I highly suspect, that Trump and Xi Jinping have already, and I have been saying this, the two of them had a private conversation that is the real content of this visit. Why did he go to Beijing to meet Xi Jinping? Why did he bring so many people to meet Xi Jinping? That is the reason. It was absolutely not for some 200 airplanes, it was absolutely not for Trump, it was absolutely not for the planes. It was definitely him telling Xi Jinping very clearly: 'I am currently acting as, I am currently acting as the President, right? Many things are not decided by me.' The meaning he expressed—the exact words might not be this, right?—is that the United States is a country ruled by law. It has laws, and there are many red lines you cannot touch. Once you touch a red line, then immediately, we will act, right? You will immediately enter a state of war. What is this? This is, this is what Trump said to Xi Jinping this time. It is even possible that these words, even the interpreters did not hear them. It is very likely that Xi Jinping recorded it, maybe he had a tape recorder on him beforehand. What Trump said was recorded directly, or Trump directly made a recording and gave it to him after recording the words; it is entirely possible. Even the two, the two interpreters could not hear it. Then when Xi Jinping went home, he could listen to it, or he could find, find, find, find, find his own daughter to listen to it, and he would know, since his daughter speaks English, right? No one else might know; this is entirely possible.

Look, this kind of evil regime, it absolutely refuses to withdraw its troops; it has no reason to withdraw, uh, no reason to pull back. Scarborough Shoal, it has no reason to withdraw, you understand now? Right? You, you, you don't talk about it; if it were me, I wouldn't withdraw either. Why would I withdraw? Every year I just discharge electricity, just spend a little labor, spend a little, spend a little on fuel, right? I swear sovereignty there every day. Clinton, what is he afraid of? He's afraid of war. And, and Trump definitely told Xi Jinping very clearly that right now it is very likely to enter a state of war. Right? The U.S. is fighting a war now, and it's still not enough! The most important goal now is to watch you, right? Trump is very likely to have told him directly, possibly told him directly. So, I tell you, I think Trump has done a favor for Xi Jinping; Trump must have told him in advance, told him in advance. In the future, when everyone reads Trump's memoirs, it is very likely that this whole episode will be written in his memoirs. What words did he say to Xi Jinping at the Temple of Heaven, in the gardens of Zhongnanhai at that time? These, in the future, will all become public history. Once things have passed, that's how it is. Just like when Mao talked to Kim Il-sung back then, what they talked about, in the end, it will all be made public, right? Ah, so, what does this prove now? It is that Xi Jinping's retreat in the South China Sea, this retreat is very likely his retreat regarding the entire international situation. His, his, his foreign diplomacy, might also be a major strategic adjustment. This is what I think, what Xi Jinping is doing now; he dares not take risks anymore, dares not take risks anymore. Including the Taiwan Strait, there is no problem at all with the Taiwan Strait, everyone can treat the Taiwan Strait as they please. You just treat the CCP as air, treat the CCP as what? A trapped beast already locked in a cage, the iron bars have been welded, the U.S. has welded the iron bars for him, that trapped beast, he can only act like a tyrant in his own cage now, he absolutely. He can't even grow his claws out. The CCP can't even grow its claws out now. Look, Taiwan is closest to him, right? His claws are what? Japan is very far from him, the Philippines is very far from him, right? The claws are very close. This series of operations by Trump, a series of operations, especially since I did a program two days ago, the day before yesterday, I said Trump suddenly posted a message around 2:30 AM, he posted a photo of him and Kim Jong-un from 2018, the two of them laughing and joking in Singapore before a meeting, during this meeting, the two of them walking in a hotel garden. You think about it, he is actually implying, he is implying to the whole world, I am going to take down North Korea, take down North Korea, and take it down peacefully. Look at this photo, the two are smiling, right? These are all what? These are all political codes, many people might not understand, cannot understand. In the future, you look and you will know, it is very likely that Trump is already in contact with, that the U.S. is already in contact with North Korea. Now you don't know, the U.S. sends an envoy flying to North Korea, you don't even know about the South China Sea, you don't even know about the South China Sea. Where did an envoy fly from? After flying over, he talks directly to Kim Jong-un, secret talks, right? You see, how should we handle this, right? I will guarantee your economy, but there is one point, you must break away from the CCP regime. Kim Jong-un is very likely to have sold out Xi Jinping, it's entirely possible. He has already, it can be said like this: North Korea, look at how well the CCP is developing, these people, I told the truth, I told the big truth, the assets of these CCP officials, the assets of one official's family, if taken out and given to the North Korean people, the old North Korean people would already be rich, their lives would already be very good. You think, one CCP official caught has tens of billions, hundreds of billions of money, is it USD? You think about it, if this money were given to North Korea, then North Korea could develop, right? North Korea is really pitiful, trapped by the CCP like this, and controlled by the Kim family, it is actually very pitiful. He has no way to develop, cannot develop. Right? He also wants to develop. Look, the CCP is so awesome, the BRICS are also jealous. How could they not be jealous? You guys are eating and drinking well, holding up the socialist banner, but in the end, you are colluding with capitalism, making so much money, right? You are still running rampant all over the world, then I can do that too! Why can't I do that? My card is also a political card, why shouldn't I play it? I can play it just the same. You look at my brother, my brother, how rich is this South China Sea? Although the overall level of the whole country is not as rich as yours, the level of prosperity of the people's lives is far beyond the average level, far beyond China. Under these circumstances, then he, he, as long as Kim Jong-un relaxes a little, his life will be better, the lives of the North Korean people will be better. He also has an explanation for North Korea, an explanation for the international community, and an explanation for the whole of South Korea. There is one more point, everyone remember, he is the third generation, the third generation is very, even if the sky falls, it is very difficult to be liquidated. Because the people who should be liquidated have all died, have all died, this is his mentality.

So right now Xi Jinping, let me tell you, especially I want to remind the ordinary people of Taiwan, you must remember this, the ordinary people of Taiwan, you must remember this. First of all, the Kuomintang (KMT) is doomed; the KMT's trend is over. The KMT now has only one way out: get rid of people like Zheng Yiwen, eliminate these people, take them down, de-Zheng-ize them, de-Ma-ize them—talking about Ma Ying-jeou—and de-red-ize them, talking about Hung Hsiu-chu. Get rid of these people, including Lien Chan and all these KMT figures, clear them all out. Only then can the KMT still be saved. After all, the KMT has contributed a lot to Taiwan, to the whole of Taiwan, right? Taiwan's economic foundation was built with money brought over by the KMT, that is a fact, that is a fact. Taiwanese people actually also, how should I put it, economically speaking, are very grateful to old Chiang [Chiang Kai-shek], but politically they repudiated old Chiang, completely repudiated him, repudiated old Chiang. Old Chiang was a dictator, and later young Chiang [Chiang Ching-kuo] had no choice; international pressure created this whole wave of democratic calls in Taiwan—this wave of democracy grew higher and higher, the whole world was changing, so what could you do? You had to change too. So this is the future, the future, Xi Jinping. As I see it now, Xi Jinping is making major adjustments to his entire international strategy. He is no longer as arrogant as before, trying to lead the whole world, right? So arrogant. How is he going to lead now? One is his lackey Tsai Ing-wen [Note: referring to mainland rhetoric often conflating officials]—well, Tsai Qiling—and the other is Li Qiang, who has a similar level of ability. Now the national economy is in such a terrible state, and just the other day, this 100 trillion figure came out. The CCP, up to now, the country's national debt, the government debt has reached 100 trillion. One trillion is ten thousand billion, one hundred trillion! Just think about it, who is going to pay back these debts in the future? Actually, it's all paid back by ordinary people. Ordinary Chinese people, let me tell you, ordinary Chinese people, you think you're tough and won't flee? You think you're tough and won't run? Why? In the future, all these debts of the CCP will all fall onto the descendants of your families, as well as upon yourselves. Why does Xi Jinping want to keep ordinary people poor? In fact, it is to strip ordinary people of their assets, turning the common people's money into the CCP's money, and then using this money to fill his holes, local government debts, various debts, corporate debts, all kinds of debts—it's all made so that ordinary people pay them back. Right now, what he is doing is precisely these things. You say how much debt he has? How much debt? After he releases the money, all the debts are leveled out. The CCP's debts are like this, they are all leveled out, and in the end, it is still ordinary people who foot the bill. The money you ordinary people earn by working your fingers to the bone, in the end, all this money goes into his hands, into his family's hands. What's the use? Even if you keep struggling for another few generations, it's useless, it's all finished. Right now, this economy is already in a complete mess. These past couple of days, I've seen these things. I've seen them, everyone listen to this! Let me let you listen, let everyone listen to it again, listen to a piece of a recording and you'll know. The most miserable group of people in Chengdu has appeared, telling everyone a terrifying phenomenon. Even if you sell your house, it's still not enough to pay back the bank loan. If this continues, many people are going to run into big trouble. Salaries from going to work have been cut over and over again, and you face layoffs at any time. Those doing business are also running at a loss; many companies, in order to maintain normal operations and pay employees on time, even mortgage their own houses and cars. Nowadays, they are also heavily in debt. Under this situation, housing prices continue to fall, which is adding insult to injury. Selling means a crushing loss, and not selling means you can't afford the mortgage; you fall into this dead end. The most miserable group of people in Chengdu has appeared, telling everyone a terrifying phenomenon: nowadays, many people can't even pay their mortgages.

Is this person from Chengdu? He said: Chengdu, a very strange phenomenon has already appeared now. Many people are going bankrupt, and bosses are just trying to keep things afloat by selling their family homes, mortgaging cars and properties, and scraping together money just to pay employee salaries. Think about it, salaries have been cut again and again. Think about how the economy is right now. This isn't us self-media making up rumors—me making up rumors. Hu Liren, you oppose the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), you say we are spreading rumors, where are we spreading rumors? Just search online casually, and you'll find these kinds of outcries everywhere. Are there any other good news left? Rockets going into space is good news, but does it have anything to do with you, the common people? Does it have anything to do with the common people? It has nothing to do with them. Quan Hongchan made a dive with not a single splash—does that have to do with you, the common people? Right? It has nothing to do with you. Which one? This, this, this, this, this? Oh well, anyway, the current CCP is just getting by on bragging. The entire economy—this is not me spreading rumors—the group of people in Chengdu who have it the worst has now appeared. They can't even pay back bank loans, and if this continues, many people are going to face huge problems. Salaries for employees have been cut again and again, and they face the constant threat of layoffs. Those doing business are also suffering losses. To keep companies running normally and pay employees on time, many have even mortgaged their own houses and cars. Today, they are also heavily in debt. In this situation, housing prices continue to drop, and falling housing prices just add insult to injury. Selling means a massive loss, while not selling means being unable to make repayments. Mortgages have fallen into this dead end. The group of people in Chengdu who have it the worst has appeared. Let me tell you all, did you hear that? Have you heard what the situation inside the country has become now? Right now, there is no good news for the entire country. What is the good news? Good news! The good news is all in Xinhua News Agency. Bragging every day, everything is good news. Where is the good news? The good news is satellites going into space, and us launching another satellite from the Xichang Satellite Launch Center. The good news is our astronauts have arrived—where did they go?—they went to the international space station, living there for so many days, which has nothing to do with the common people at all. What does it have to do with them? Right? What is this? This is China as it is right now. Now Xi Jinping has adjusted international channels and started making adjustments. In this situation, I think he is also starting to contract, to contract. So ultimately, to what extent will his contraction go? Supposing the CCP doesn't fall, to what extent will it contract? Once international ties contract, it will become a giant North Korea. It's very likely, very likely that many international routes will be cut off, and fewer passports will be issued. Passports won't be issued to specific targets, and they will become fewer and fewer; officials won't get them. Now, if you want to issue one, if you want to apply, it requires layers of approval, right? Previously, approval came from higher-ups and leaders, but now approval comes from the discipline inspection commission and state security (MSS). Now it's like this: the restrictions have just multiplied, right? Hey, what is this? This is how Xi Jinping is stepping by step, step by step, heading toward North Korea's path, seeing when it will finally reach North Korea. Alright, thank you all for watching, and see you in the next program.