Hu Liren: Analysis of the Chinese Communist Party's High-Level Rectification, Purge, and In-Fighting Situation

In this episode, Hu Liren analyzes the background and core objectives of the new round of rectification movement launched by Xi Jinping immediately after returning from his foreign affairs activities. The video points out that this rectification is actually modeled after the historical Yan'an Rectification Movement, aiming to purge dissenters on a large scale within the Party and strengthen personal authority. It focuses on the analysis that veteran cadres and retired high-ranking officials in systems like the National People's Congress (NPC) and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), as well as individuals associated with previous leadership such as Wang Huning and Cai Qi, may all become targets of the purge. Combining his knowledge of Party history, Hu Liren emphasizes the brutality of factional struggles within the Party, predicts that this rectification period will last for three months, and warns that this period will be the bloodiest and most chaotic time of internal struggle for the top leadership of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), reminding relevant individuals to be vigilant against potential risks.

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Full text: Hello everyone, today I want to talk about another topic. Just now I was talking to everyone, and something suddenly made me want to speak up: after Xi Jinping returned from North Korea, he will definitely carry out internal purges because he has nothing else to do now. Other peripheral matters have come to an end; at most, he might visit Mongolia. Mongolia is a neighbor of the CCP, but he still has to consider Putin's thoughts when visiting Mongolia. Because Putin has always regarded Mongolia as his own territory and does not want the CCP to intervene too deeply. This is also the reason why Mongolia has not developed for so many years. Mongolia actually has many mining resources, and natural gas and oil may not have been exploited yet.

I have a friend who once operated a gold mine in Mongolia; that was a long time ago, from the 90s to 2000, and the gold reserves there were very large. Mongolia is a purely landlocked country with a large amount of rich mining resources, and its animal husbandry is also very developed. Xi Jinping has finished all his foreign affairs work, and in the end, he still has to return to the country to do one thing, which is domestic cleanup. I didn't expect it to be so fast. Look, he just came back, and today Xinhua News Agency is vigorously promoting the Yan'an Rectification Movement, publishing two articles in a row. This is actually sending a signal that he is now going to launch a rectification movement.

The purpose of the rectification movement is very clear: to consolidate his position more firmly. If you understand what the Communist Party's rectification movement is, you will understand what Xi Jinping wants to do. The rectification movement is actually an internal cleanup, clearing out those dissident factions, knocking down other factions, and leaving only one faction, which is the Maoist faction. The historical rectification movement lasted about three years, from 1942 until the end of the War of Resistance. So the Communist Party was actually fighting internally during the War of Resistance and was not fighting against the enemy at all. Look at the last three years of the War of Resistance, which were the most intense; the Japanese kept attacking until two atomic bombs were dropped, and then the Japanese announced their surrender, and the War of Resistance ended.

So the Communist Party has always been deceiving the common people and tampering with history. Now that Xi Jinping wants to launch a rectification movement, everyone think about who he is actually going to rectify. If he were only rectifying one or two people, there would be no need to talk about a rectification movement, nor would there be a need to launch a movement within the Party. What he wants to do is actually a large-scale purge. For example, the NPC is now managed by Zhao Leji, and there are more than a dozen or twenty chairmen and vice-chairmen below him. The same goes for the CPPCC; there are many people inside. These people in the NPC and CPPCC are all so-called 'old guys,' all retired personnel, cadres who have retreated to the second line, at the vice-ministerial, ministerial, vice-national, or even national level, all of whom have retreated to the NPC and CPPCC.

These old guys are the people Xi Jinping considers most likely to become the main force for regime change in the future. Historically, Deng Xiaoping was an 'old guy' who overturned Mao's line. Therefore, these old guys are likely to be in trouble; it is them that Xi Jinping wants to deal with. Second, those around him, the people in the CCP Central Committee Office and Zhongnanhai. The CCP has several sets of bodies: the Party, the government, the CPPCC, the NPC, and the military. He has already moved on the military side, advancing step by step like playing chess, and now he basically controls the military.

The current situation in the military is that his cousin Zhang Shengming is also serving in it. Now the Central Military Commission has him as the chairman, and there is also Vice Chairman Zhang Xinwen; there is no one else, just these few. As for the list of vice chairmen, why Xi Jinping does not point them out now is likely because he intends to let his successor decide these lists, and those who come to power will all be the successor's confidants. So he has not set up new vice chairmen in the Military Commission. These are all things Xi Jinping might do in the future.

What he needs to do now is to liquidate these old timers, the so-called old leaders that everyone talks about, which probably mainly refers to those in the National People's Congress and the CPPCC. There is also another group, those in the General Office of the CCP Central Committee. I have always believed that the first person the General Office needs to deal with is Cai Qi. Now that Cai Qi has been given a nominal position at the Central Party School, it is very likely that his position as Director of the General Office will be removed after some time. Once he steps down, he will have no real power, and he will have no real power at the Central Party School either, nor will he have any power within the Party. Under these circumstances, he might be arranged elsewhere first, then slowly dealt with and cleaned out. Once Cai Qi is dealt with, they will move on to clean out others in the General Office. Among these people, some are considered Cai Qi's "water bugs."

The Communist Party is like this: no matter how well you suck up, it is useless; it is divided into factions. Major factions include the Xi faction, the Jiang faction, the Hu faction, the Deng faction, the Tuan faction, and the military faction. There are also small factions within the Xi faction. Within these branches, he will specifically target certain factions for cleaning. Another point is that everyone has always thought Wang Huning would not be touched, but in fact, it is entirely possible. Because Wang Huning is a veteran of several dynasties, his influence is broad, he is connected to many old leaders, and he understands the situation within the Party very well. Under these circumstances, Wang Huning is very likely to bear the brunt.

Otherwise, we have to ask, why would he vigorously promote the Yan'an Rectification Movement in the media controlled by Xinhua News Agency? As I just mentioned, the Yan'an Rectification was nominally self-criticism within the Party, but in reality, it was infighting; many people were denounced, only to be rehabilitated later. I remember there was a very famous journalist during the Yan'an Rectification Movement who was arrested at the time, whose name I have momentarily forgotten. In 1947, while being escorted from Yan'an to another location, he was executed halfway. The Communist Party is so cruel to its own people; this person was eventually rehabilitated. Later I checked, his name was Wang Shiwei. He was originally convicted for publishing essays such as "Wild Lily," was imprisoned during the rectification movement, and was eventually shot in 1947.

This is a representative figure of the Yan'an Rectification Movement, and many people do not know this history. As I just said, more than fifty people committed suicide during the entire rectification process, all of whom were Party members. So what Xi Jinping wants to do now is to thoroughly clean out those old guys, that is, those who are disobedient and hold different ideas. He actually wants to completely zero out thoughts; even if you have a good relationship with Xi Jinping, it is useless. If you are tainted by the thoughts of that era, you must also be cleaned out. I think it is very likely that in the near future, people like Wang Huning in the National People's Congress and the CPPCC, including those who served as officials during the Hu Jintao era, will eventually be purged.

The so-called "leaving you a way out" means sending you directly away. The Yan'an Rectification Movement was like this; it was not about letting you leave, but directly throwing you into prison, and some were made to die, never to speak again, not just asking you to retire. The internal handling of the Communist Party is very severe; it is not that you step down or resign and it is over, not at all. It is about making you shut up forever, or even making you die. So I say, the next step Xi Jinping will take is a bloody purge, and the infighting within the Communist Party will become more and more intense.

Now I think, starting from June, perhaps the rectification will last for three months. You see the timeline matches up, three months to finish the rectification. It is not like the Yan'an period; back then in Yan'an, it lasted three years and involved all kinds of people, but now it only takes three months to deal with all these people. Perhaps by August or early September, the Mao portrait will be directly replaced by the Xi portrait. Renovate the Mao Memorial Hall and change it into the "Great Chinese Renaissance Museum and Exhibition Hall." In this way, Xi Jinping will completely establish supreme authority, and the Xi dynasty will be fully established from that day on.

So the current "Yan'an Rectification Movement," he chose exactly this timing, to carry it out for a few months, and within these few months, there may be a lot of slaughter within the CCP. These people, seeing the articles about the Yan'an Rectification Movement, will also feel afraid and may unite to oppose Xi Jinping. Everyone remember, from now until the end of August or early September is the most dangerous stage for the Communist Party. These people might even contact overseas governments, it is entirely possible.

So everyone should pay attention. From mid-June, June, July, August, to mid-August, these three months will be very exciting. I can tell you, if you understand the history of the Communist Party, you know that there was no war during the Yan'an period, but the fighting was very fierce. So once you join the Communist Party, you are destined to stand on the cutting edge. Like those in the Deng era and the Jiang era, very few were able to retire safely. If you understand Party history, you know that in the hundred-year history of the Communist Party, in just a few decades, it is not easy for these people to survive well.

Now Xi Jinping is in a period of internal regime change, and many people are directly facing the cutting edge, potentially losing their positions or even going to prison at any time. Look at how many people were arrested in Shanghai these past two days; the deputy team leader and the director of the development zone were all arrested. My friends in Shanghai told me that everyone is very afraid these two days; you are in office today, and you don't know where you will be tomorrow. The district heads of Jingshan and Qingpu were also arrested; the whole of China is arresting people.

Everyone, please remember, many people say it is hard to stop the hand of the Chinese Communist Party, so you must quit the Party. That Tuidang Center is really useful; quit whenever you can. Even if you are inside the Party, remember, any promotion is the greatest risk in your life. I have many friends, childhood buddies, who are now sixty years old. Some are still in high positions, and some cannot step down. Those who are officials in Beijing have even less chance of stepping down. Others still work in Zhongnanhai and are about my age. Now everyone is living with their tails between their legs; there's no other way. Once they have entered this system, they have no choice, and their lives are no longer in their own control.

As for the Chinese Communist Party, the moment you took your oath, it was already destined that at any time and anywhere you could become a target or a scapegoat for the Party and its internals. This is the rule within the Party, the rules of the game. Well, we will leave this topic here, and thank you all for watching.