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Fang Lian Talks: From Badass to Trash! A Sharp Critique of the Five Generations of Leaders! What Are the Historical Positions of the Five Generations of Leaders? Mao Zedong │ Deng Xiaoping │ Jiang Zemin │ Hu Jintao │ Xi Jinping

1# · OP Author:多伦多方脸 Published:2026-09-19 10:00 Replies:0 Views:15 Permalink:fanzei.net/d_hvhw7k

This episode examines China's development process by providing a detailed review and sharp critique of the core policies, power dynamics, and historical roles of the five generations of leaders: Mao Zedong, Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, Hu Jintao, and Xi Jinping. It analyzes the profound impact that their different governing styles have had on China's politics, economy, and the lives of its citizens.

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When talking about China's leaders, we all know there are five generations: Mao, Deng, Jiang, Hu, and Xi. During their terms, China's economic growth was sometimes the fastest in the world, and at other times, it experienced the greatest famine in human history. Counting them up, these leaders introduced over 130 policies in total. Through these flip-flopping policies, in this episode, I will take you through the perspective of China's development process to see what these leaders actually did during their terms and what roles they played in the history of China's development. Hello everyone, I am Toronto Fang Lian. In this episode, we will go from solid to stretched and provide a sharp critique of China's five generations of leaders.

Mao Zedong was the leader who held power for the longest time since the founding of the People's Republic of China. He started in 1949 and stayed in power until he kicked the bucket on September 9, 1976, a total of 27 years. Did Mao Zedong do anything during those 27 years? He certainly did, and he did quite a lot. But if you ask whether he did anything decent, there really wasn't much. After Mao Zedong came to power, what specific policies did he implement, and what contributions did he make to China's development? Those unfamiliar with Chinese history might only know about the "three years of natural disasters" (Great Famine) and the Cultural Revolution. However, those familiar with Chinese history and who watch my show regularly—the "Mao-ologists"—should know that the policies during the Mao era are as numerous as a menu of dishes: the Three-anti and Five-anti campaigns, the Four Clean-ups Movement, the Anti-Rightist Campaign—even if you asked Guo Degang, he couldn't list them all in one breath. Throughout Mao Zedong's tenure, conservatively estimated, he caused the deaths of tens of millions of Chinese people. Of course, we cannot simply define Mao Zedong's historical position as just someone who tortured Chinese people, or think that Mao was just sick and addicted to torturing people. Although Mao Zedong caused the deaths of tens of millions, every policy he implemented had a purpose. His main objective remained very clear: to strengthen the Communist Party and his own personal power. This is what Mao Zedong did his entire life, and it is also his greatest role in the historical process of China.

In fact, Mao Zedong's method of purging people was carried out in stages and scientifically. The first stage was from 1949 to 1953. During this period, Mao Zedong did two things: externally, he played the submissive role to the Soviet Union; internally, he carried out purges and retaliation against former anti-communist forces. The behavior of playing the submissive role to the Soviet Union was mainly reflected in the Korean War. Regardless of how the CCP beautifies the Korean War now, in reality, the Korean War was a story of Kim Il-sung acting on a whim, leading his troops south to attack South Korea, and then the CCP joining the war on behalf of its 'father' to help the Soviet Union defend North Korea. At that time, because Mao Zedong still needed the support of the Soviet Union, it was equivalent to Mao Zedong using the Korean War and the lives of Chinese soldiers to submit a 'letter of intent' (toumingzhuang) to Comrade Stalin in exchange for Stalin's continued support for Mao Zedong. Once the external situation was stable during this stage, Mao Zedong's focus remained on the internal front. While the Korean War was being fought fiercely, the situation inside China was also extremely intense. Mao Zedong started with several waves of major purges. Of course, because Mao Zedong understood the principle of starting from the easy to the difficult, the initial targets of the purges were some very vulnerable enemies, the 'evil' people who had grudges against the CCP, such as landlords. In June 1950, the Land Reform Law of the People's Republic of China was promulgated, which was the infamous land reform. At the beginning of the land reform, according to regulations, people in rural areas were divided into different classes: landlords, rich peasants, middle peasants, poor peasants, and farm laborers. Then, only the land of the landlords was to be distributed to the poor peasants, while the land of the rich peasants was to be retained by themselves, and the distribution method was supposed to be carried out in a non-violent form. However, when implemented in rural areas, it turned into a feast of robbery. A large number of landlords not only had their land confiscated but were also beaten to death. The female relatives of the landlords were traded like commodities, and were subjected to mass rape and distribution. After struggling against the landlords, these poor peasants were naturally not satisfied, and the land of the rich peasants, which could initially be retained, also became an object of plunder. The entire process of land reform was extremely bloody and violent. The current statistics on the death toll caused by the entire land reform vary significantly; the lowest estimate by Chinese scholars is 200,000, while the highest estimate by Western scholars, such as Frank Dikötter, is between 1.5 million and 2 million. Of course, the most 'miraculous' part of the entire land reform actually lies in this violence. When Mao Zedong launched this land reform, the purpose from the beginning was not for fair distribution, but to make everyone's hands stained with blood. When the land reform first began, Liu Shaoqi actually opposed violence. In June 1950, in his report on the issue of land reform, Liu Shaoqi had tried to limit the use of violence in land reform. However, just as Liu Shaoqi released this report, Mao Zedong kept emphasizing the need to 'let go and mobilize the masses' and criticized 'peaceful land reform.' Mao Zedong's calculation here was very obvious. Mao Zedong had always known the secret of struggle. The secret of struggle was never to defeat the opponent unilaterally in public opinion, nor was it to hold high the banner of Marxism-Leninism-Mao Zedong Thought, but rather to use human greed in the simplest way, letting the majority struggle against the minority, and letting the majority become his accomplices. And the most ingenious part here is that Mao Zedong would also put a reasonable and legal hat on everyone's greed, making robbery, rape, murder, and even cannibalism 'innocent.' This set of tactics would appear frequently in Mao Zedong's life later, such as in the Campaign to Suppress Counter-revolutionaries that began immediately in October 1950. It was the same, only this time the target was no longer the landlords in the countryside, but some counter-revolutionary elements in the cities. To make the movement bloody and violent, Mao Zedong even set a killing quota at this time. Nanjing was a large city with a population of 500,000, the capital of the Kuomintang; the statement that 'more than 2,000 reactionary elements should be killed' was made at this time. Mao Zedong demanded that there must be one reactionary element for every thousand people nationwide, which was issued to governments at all levels like a quota. In the end, how many people were killed in this campaign to suppress counter-revolutionaries? Subsequent reports from the Ministry of Public Security in 1954 showed that a total of 712,000 people were executed. At that time, China's population was just over 500 million, which perfectly met, and even exceeded, Mao Zedong's requirement of one in a thousand. Of course, in addition to the movements mentioned above, there were others such as the 'Three-anti and Five-anti' campaigns targeting the business community, the first rectification movement targeting intellectuals, and so on, which I will not go into detail about.

Of course, there are still people who would say at this time: How can you say Mao Zedong was taking the opportunity to crack down on his enemies regarding the land reform and the suppression of counterrevolutionaries? Isn't this Mao Zedong fulfilling his own revolutionary promises? If you think Mao Zedong could be a man who kept his promises, that would be too ridiculous. After watching the simplest enemies get purged, Mao Zedong began to turn his sights on another group of people: the opposition within the party, non-party figures, and their big daddy, the Soviet Union. When the People's Republic of China was newly founded, in order to win over non-party figures and get these people willingly to join him in denouncing others, Mao Zedong also formulated a provisional constitution called the Common Program. This program stated very well that after the CCP came to power, it did not want to establish a dictatorship by itself, nor did it want to establish a one-party monopoly, but rather to unite everyone to govern together. Economically, Mao Zedong also emphasized that socialism would be built in 15 to 20 years, rather than immediately adopting a Soviet-style planned economy right off the bat. Therefore, when the PRC was newly founded in 1949, to fit this narrative, among the 6 vice chairpersons of the state, 3 were non-communists; among the 4 vice premiers, 2 were non-communists; and among the 21 ministers, as many as 11 were non-communists. By 1953, seeing that his previous opponents had been almost all purged by him and that democratic figures were also beginning to wane, Mao Zedong immediately turned his back on them. In 1953, he started his First Five-Year Plan, and a series of planned economy measures such as the Three Great Transformations and rural cooperatives immediately began to be launched. The constitution was also heavily revised later. The Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) of democratic figures, which was originally the supreme organ of state power in China under the 1949 provisional constitution, was replaced by the National People's Congress (NPC) in the 1954 Constitution, making the NPC the supreme organ of state power in China. Of course, these revisions on paper were still minor adjustments; the most ruthless one was the Anti-Rightist Campaign starting from 1957. During the Anti-Rightist Campaign, a large number of non-communist democratic party figures were labeled as rightists, and those within the Communist Party whose loyalty was not high enough were also labeled as rightists by Mao Zedong. Among the non-communists, the most famous were Zhang Bojun, Luo Longji, and Zhang Naiqi. They were democratic figures who, before the Anti-Rightist campaign, served respectively as Minister of Communications, Minister of Forest Industry, and Minister of Food, and they were successively liquidated and dismissed from their posts in the Anti-Rightists. Meanwhile, some high-ranking cadres within the party who opposed the rapid implementation of a planned economy, such as Deng Zihui, were slapped with the label of bound-foot women by Mao Zedong, and Peng Dehuai was directly labeled as an anti-party clique two years later at the Lushan Conference. Mao Zedong once again instigated the majority of society to crush the minority. At the same time, feeling that his wings were stiff enough, Mao Zedong also began to grow dissatisfied with his suzerain, the Soviet Union. After Stalin's death, Sino-Soviet relations began to directly turn sour, and Mao Zedong finally shook off the Soviet Union, becoming a fully-fledged tyrant.

The centralization of power actually made no difference to most Chinese people. There is not much difference between a single person exercising dictatorship and a bunch of people exercising dictatorship; even whether the CCP acted as a dog for the Soviet Union made no difference to Chinese people, because being a dog for the Soviets and being a dog for Mao Zedong made no difference to ordinary Chinese people. But the problem was that after the Anti-Rightist Campaign began, Mao Zedong used the entire movement to sweep away the opposition both inside and outside the party at one stroke, completely completing his control over the party and eliminating dissenting voices. Losing dissenting voices also meant that China's brakes were essentially dismantled by Mao Zedong, which led to the impossibility for anyone to correct Mao Zedong's subsequent erroneous economic policies. To spite the Soviet Union, the Great Leap Forward began, and the Great Leap Forward led to an unprecedented catastrophe in human history—namely, the Great Chinese Famine—which caused the deaths of tens of millions of Chinese people, and can even be said to be the largest man-made disaster in human history. And what was the significance of this disaster for Mao Zedong? Did it make Mao Zedong realize that he was not cut out for governing the country and that he should step down and yield to a worthier successor? Not at all. The Great Chinese Famine directly led to a blow to Mao Zedong's personal prestige, especially among high-ranking cadres within the party; everyone discovered that Mao Zedong simply lacked the ability to govern the country. Therefore, after the outbreak of the Great Chinese Famine, the Seven Thousand Cadres Conference broke out, at which technocrats led by Liu Shaoqi and Deng Shaoqi—alongside Deng Xiaoping—began to collectively challenge Mao Zedong. Of course, these people were still merciful; the entire challenge was not to have Mao Zedong killed, but in the hope of reaching a tacit understanding with him: you continue your personality cult, and I will handle the economy; we mind our own business. Since you, Mao Zedong, are not good at economics, then spare the Chinese people. Initially at the Seven Thousand Cadres Conference, when Mao Zedong saw that the situation was looking bad, he played the humble underdog and agreed to release control over the economy. However, in less than a year after the conference, Mao Zedong's counterattack began immediately. Of course, the logic of the counterattack was the same old routine: seeing that high-ranking officials were not standing on his side, Mao Zedong mobilized the grassroots masses to struggle against these high-ranking bureaucrats, letting the masses take to the streets to drag these old bureaucrats into the streets for public struggle meetings—and this is what everyone is familiar with as the Cultural Revolution. Once this Cultural Revolution was launched, it lasted straight until Mao Zedong's death. Before the Cultural Revolution, Mao Zedong's practice of using the majority to struggle against the minority only occurred intermittently, but after the Cultural Revolution began, it became normalized, and Chinese people thus entered a decade of massive public struggle meetings.

In fact, looking back at the years Mao Zedong was in power, ordinary Chinese people were like NPCs. For those 20-plus years, China had only one protagonist, and that was Mao Zedong himself. Everyone was using their own blood and tears to play along with Mao Zedong in a game of power. During Mao Zedong's rule, the only real work he did was purging the opposition—all kinds of opposition, from genuine dissenters to non-party opposition, to non-party democratic figures, and then to opposition within the Party; none could escape Mao Zedong's clutches. Under this "virtuous governance" of Mao Zedong, China's economic growth during this period was a complete mess, and it was during this stage that China was left behind by South Korea and Taiwan. In 1950, the per capita GDP of China and South Korea was roughly the same, and the gap with Taiwan was not significant either. However, by 1976, when Mao Zedong passed away, Taiwan's per capita GDP was already 4.1 times that of China, while South Korea's was 3.2 times. So, from a historical perspective, what was Mao Zedong's only contribution to China? Perhaps it was building the dictatorship of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Mao Zedong did indeed change the chaos of the Republic of China era and formed an absolutely powerful and stable central government. Of course, whether this is a merit is a matter of opinion. A strong central government is not necessarily a good thing for China or the Chinese people. Therefore, all things considered, Mao Zedong can only be given a rating of "terrible." After Mao Zedong died, the person who succeeded him was not actually Deng Xiaoping; there was the Gang of Four and Hua Guofeng in between. Until his death, Mao Zedong never gave up his greed for power. When choosing a successor, he still did not consider China's economy, but chose Hua Guofeng, who lacked ability but was loyal enough to him, hoping that after his death, he would not repeat Stalin's fate and be liquidated. Mao Zedong's obsession with power was truly profound.

However, what Mao Zedong did not calculate was that the Hua Guofeng he chose was simply too incompetent. Furthermore, the Chinese people, who had been tormented for so long, could finally take no more, and eventually, Deng Xiaoping came to power. In fact, unlike what many people think—that Deng Xiaoping came to power relying on superior political maneuvering—the process of Deng Xiaoping's rise was not because his political skills were so brilliant, but because the Chinese people at the time were so terrified of the Mao Zedong era and so unwilling to live the life of the Mao Zedong era. In fact, as early as April 5, 1976, before Mao Zedong had even passed away, hundreds of thousands of people stormed Tiananmen Square in the name of commemorating Zhou Enlai. This protest was more than a decade earlier than the June 4, 1989 Tiananmen crackdown. Moreover, it was not just the public; while Mao Zedong was alive, he truly practiced isolationism. Except for him, Zhou Enlai, and some officials in the diplomatic system, most CCP bureaucrats had never been abroad. They might have known that foreign countries were better than China, but the extent of their knowledge was limited, and they had no real bottom line in their hearts. After Hua Guofeng came to power, in order to change this, he sent many high-level cadres abroad for visits. These cadres were deeply shocked after going abroad. For example, after visiting Japan, Deng Xiaoping said directly, "Only after visiting Japan did I understand what modernization is." Wang Quanguo, then Secretary of the Guangdong Provincial Committee, also said after going abroad, "I used to think capitalism was decadent and declining, but after going abroad to see it, it was completely not the case." Of the twenty or thirty high-level cadres who went out, not one was not shocked by the West. It had a bit of the flavor of Li Hongzhang's visit to the United States back in the day. Eventually, these reports were collected by Hua Guofeng, and Hua Guofeng finally uttered that classic line: "China is not only the hometown of Mao Zedong Thought, but also the hometown of arrogance and ignorance."

Don't look at how many people miss Mao Zedong now; when Mao Zedong died, his bullshit policies had actually long been spurned by the majority of Chinese people. It was only because Mao Zedong's personal prestige was too high to be shaken that they did not change. Therefore, by 1978, when everyone pushed Deng Xiaoping to power, it became a natural progression. Of course, for Deng Xiaoping, who came to power at the end of 1978, taking power was only the first thing he had to do. Although Deng Xiaoping had determined not to follow Mao Zedong's path after taking power, another problem followed: if not following Mao Zedong's path, what path should China take? This became the question Deng Xiaoping needed to answer. Therefore, during the Deng Xiaoping era, although there were many operations and policies, the main core was actually solving this problem and providing an answer to it.

At that time, there were actually two trends within China. One was the conservative faction led by Chen Yun. They believed that the economic policy errors of the Mao Zedong era were mainly due to Mao Zedong personally, not the planned economy system. At that time, because the Soviet economy was still okay, Chen Yun said, "Look, the Soviet Union, which also practices a planned economy, is doing quite well, isn't it? It's just that Mao Zedong didn't know how to run a planned economy; the fault is not in the planned economy itself." The other trend was the democratic faction led by Hu Yaobang. They comprehensively denied the past China from both political and economic systems, believing that China should fully Westernize from its political system to its economic system. Faced with these two factions, which one did Deng Xiaoping choose? He chose a compromise. Deng Xiaoping chose extreme conservatism in politics, maintaining the one-party dictatorship built by Mao Zedong, while in the economy, he tried his best to suppress the conservatives and maintain openness.

This became very evident right at the beginning of Deng Xiaoping's rise to power. When he first took office, politically speaking, Deng immediately had Hu Yaobang start rehabilitating victims of past political campaigns, but at the same time, he also launched a crackdown on the Xidan Democracy Wall. What was the Xidan Democracy Wall? It was a wall in Beijing at the time where people would sometimes paste big-character posters (dazibao). These posters were primarily about politics, making it the main space for ordinary Chinese citizens to participate in political discussion during an era before the internet. Initially, during Hua Guofeng's tenure, the Xidan Democracy Wall supported Deng Xiaoping, so Deng welcomed it. However, once Deng came to power, the people at the Xidan Democracy Wall were no longer satisfied with just economic reform; they began seeking democratic and political reforms. At this point, Deng's attitude toward the Xidan Democracy Wall took a 180-degree turn, immediately shifting from support to a heavy-handed crackdown, arresting multiple dissidents including Wei Jingsheng and Wang Juntao.

Of course, the most typical manifestation of this approach came from Deng Xiaoping himself in March 1979, when he put forward the Four Cardinal Principles. What did these Four Cardinal Principles state? They were: upholding the socialist path, upholding the dictatorship of the proletariat, upholding the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party, and upholding Marxism-Leninism and Mao Zedong Thought. To us today, this might seem like nonsense, but back then it was not. When Deng proposed these Four Cardinal Principles, he was actually answering a question the entire society was waiting for: how exactly should politics in post-Mao China be reformed, and what direction should it take? Deng's answer was that China would not walk the path of a democratic system, nor would it even revert to the pre-1953 era of multi-party co-governance; at the same time, he would not liquidate Mao Zedong the way Khrushchev liquidated Stalin. This was Deng's answer.

Of course, while politically conservative, on the other hand Deng Xiaoping consistently promoted economic liberalization, such as the household responsibility system in 1978, establishing diplomatic relations with the United States on New Year's Day in 1979, and launching special economic zones in 1980. To stimulate the new economic modernization, Deng also continually employed reform-minded figures, even protecting them from conservative suppression—figures like Hu Yaobang and Zhao Ziyang—and this continued right up until the era of June Fourth. At the end of 1986, student protests broke out, and because Hu Yaobang supported the student movement, he was forced to resign the following year and completely broke with Deng Xiaoping. Yet even so, Deng still appointed Zhao Ziyang, who was also a reformist, to succeed Hu Yaobang. Later, in 1989, because Zhao Ziyang opposed the imposition of martial law, he once again broke with Deng. Still, Deng did not completely lean toward the conservatives; instead, he appointed Jiang Zemin, who had reform-leaning tendencies, to succeed Zhao, while also cross-generationally appointing former Communist Youth League faction member Hu Jintao to succeed Jiang. All the conservative figures, such as Li Peng, Deng Liqun, and Hu Qiaomu, exerted tremendous effort in the process of defeating Zhao Ziyang, and Li Peng even participated in and presided over the martial law throughout, using tanks for suppression. Yet under Deng's suppression, these conservatives did not receive high promotions after June Fourth.

Whenever we discuss Deng Xiaoping's achievements, we tend to call him the chief architect of reform and opening up. However, I believe this description is incorrect. As for how reform and opening up should actually proceed, Deng designed the general concept, but the specific details of how to walk that path were not actually designed by him. Until Jiang Zemin came to power, all of this was chaotic. Figuring out how to take each specific step was actually Jiang Zemin's job; Deng merely determined the direction, determined what reform and opening up meant, and determined that reform and opening up meant reforming only the economy while leaving politics untouched.

Looking back at history, at that historical juncture under Deng Xiaoping, embarking on the path of reform and opening up itself was not difficult. We generally harbor a misconception: because the Deng Xiaoping era was vastly better than the Mao Zedong era, Deng must be much greater than Mao—and vastly greater at that. But this logic is actually flawed. Embarking on the path of reform and opening up was not hard. China in the Deng Xiaoping era actually needed to choose one among three paths: democracy, totalitarianism, and authoritarianism. Returning to the totalitarian era was virtually impossible, and this was not something Deng alone could decide; people no longer wanted to live a Mao-style life. After all, if people had wanted a totalitarian life, it wouldn't have been Deng's turn to take power, and Deng would have had nothing to do with it—the Gang of Four would have done it, or Hua Guofeng would have done it. Between the two paths of democracy and authoritarianism, Deng did not perform any astonishing feats to overthrow the entrenched privileged bureaucratic class in one stroke, bring China into a democratic society, surpass South Korea and Taiwan, and become a national hero in Chinese history. He simply chose the path that 90% of dictators would take, and Deng still became trapped in the vortex of power.

Of course, Deng Xiaoping was not without significant contributions. His core contribution actually lay in personnel arrangements; Deng consistently prevented the restoration of conservative old-timers like Chen Yun, and to a certain extent, successfully maintained the forward momentum of the Reform and Opening-up policy. It was his personnel appointments that firmly pushed China onto the path of reform, which is Deng Xiaoping's greatest contribution. At the same time, Deng Xiaoping took the lead in proposing the abolition of the lifelong tenure system for leaders to prevent repeating the mistakes of Mao Zedong. Ironically, however, while Deng Xiaoping was designing a system to prevent China from ever having another dictator like Mao Zedong who would rule for life, he himself was a leader with lifelong tenure, effectively remaining in power until his death. In the final years of his life, although he had retired to the second line, he still held the power to decide the fate of his successors until the day he died, effectively acting as an emperor emeritus. Furthermore, although Deng Xiaoping's economic policies were much more decent than Mao Zedong's, he inexplicably implemented another highly problematic policy regarding population: the one-child policy. This policy directly caused China to experience the aging levels and population pressures typical of developed nations before it had even become a developed nation in 2020, which could be considered an over-fulfillment of the task across time and space. Considering these merits and demerits, Deng Xiaoping can barely be considered a person above the average.

After Deng Xiaoping, it was Jiang Zemin's turn to take the stage. Speaking of Jiang Zemin, he was actually the true chief architect of the Reform and Opening-up, because the specific implementation of reforming the economy without reforming politics was determined by Jiang Zemin, which is also his greatest contribution. Of course, this is not to say that Jiang Zemin was great enough to be given the highest praise. To evaluate Jiang Zemin, we must first look specifically at what kind of Reform and Opening-up he designed.

First, in terms of diplomacy, Jiang Zemin established the diplomatic strategy for China's Reform and Opening-up period, which was to be pro-Western. Starting in the 1990s, Jiang Zemin was personally orchestrating China's WTO accession negotiations; it can be said that joining the WTO was the most important turning point for China's economy. However, the process of joining the WTO was not an easy one. The greatest resistance did not come from the United States as we might imagine, nor from abroad, but from within China—from the conservative old-timers and the endless encirclement by populists. In April 1999, in order to join the WTO, Jiang Zemin arranged for Zhu Rongji to visit the United States for negotiations. Unexpectedly, the details of the negotiations were leaked. The terms appeared very unfavorable to China, which the conservative old-timers used to their advantage, hyping it up in the media as an act of treason. Subsequently, in May 1999, the Chinese embassy in Yugoslavia was bombed, causing public opinion to explode. The entire nation was plunged into opposition against joining the WTO, with an attitude of wanting to fight the Americans to the death. Yet, facing such pressure, Jiang Zemin chose to stand firm and insisted on joining the WTO; this, in fact, was not easy.

Later, after the 9/11 attacks in 2001, Jiang Zemin broke with convention and called Bush on the very night of the event. Subsequently, Jiang Zemin also unconditionally supported the anti-terrorism resolution at the UN Security Council. This rapid response directly reversed the China-US relations at the time. If China and the US were in a state of hostility before Nixon's visit to China in 1972, then between 1972 and 2001, they were in a state of probing. After 2001, thanks to Jiang Zemin's efforts, China-US relations finally entered a honeymoon period; the United States to a certain extent gave up on confronting China, and the main theme of China-US relations returned to cooperation.

Beyond this, another of Jiang Zemin's prominent contributions was the major transformation of China's market economy. Although Deng Xiaoping set the route of reforming the economy without reforming politics, the specifics of how to conduct the economy and what to do with the state-owned enterprises of the past were all a mess; these were actually all determined during Jiang Zemin's era. The Company Law was passed in 1993, the Securities Law in 1998, and the Contract Law in 1999. The passage of these laws completely transformed China from socialism to capitalism. Of course, there are three other important matters in the entire reform that need to be mentioned separately: the tax-sharing reform, the welfare system reform, and the GDP-centered approach.

At the very beginning of the reform and opening-up in 1979, because China had not figured out how to establish its financial system, the initial fiscal system was extremely chaotic. At that time, to stimulate the enthusiasm of local governments, the central government adopted a fiscal contracting system. For example, in 1988, the central government set a fiscal target of 10.5 billion RMB for Shanghai. This meant that as long as Shanghai turned over 10.5 billion RMB in tax revenue that year, all the surplus would belong to Shanghai itself. In the early stages, this fiscal system was very effective and, to a certain extent, stimulated the subjective initiative of the Shanghai government. However, by the standards of any modern government, this system was completely absurd. Was it treating China like a business? Were all the provinces treated like branch offices and the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) as the headquarters? Even if viewed as a company, this method of taking a cut was exceptionally outrageous. In fact, there was no other way, since Deng Xiaoping's era failed to produce a modernized political and fiscal system. Finally, by 1993, this model began to break down. The direct reason for this breakdown was that the proportion of local fiscal revenue was too high, once reaching nearly 80%, while the central government could only get a little over 20%. Moreover, the central government at that time not only took in little, but also had to bear large-scale expenditures such as pensions and national defense. The central government took the lion's share of expenses, while the local governments took the lion's share of revenue—any company would collapse under this, let alone a country.

To solve this problem, the tax-sharing reform was born, finalized at the end of 1993 and implemented in early 1994. Of course, the initial purpose of designing the tax-sharing reform was very simple: to optimize the fiscal relationship between the central and local governments. However, its actual impact was enormous. The most ironic part was that its biggest actual impact was not changing the central-local fiscal relationship, but rather causing two other unexpected effects. First, the tax-sharing reform distributed customs duties, value-added taxes, corporate income taxes, and personal income taxes between the central and local governments. This distribution actually established China's subsequent major tax types, and China's tax system was built on the basis of the tax-sharing reform. Another major change was that the tax-sharing reform gave birth to land finance. When carrying out the tax-sharing reform, the central government lacked foresight and logic; it not only collected the lion's share of tax revenue to the center, but also assigned major responsibilities to the localities. This was like wanting the horse to run fast while refusing to let it graze. Seeing no other way, local governments had to work hard to lower welfare benefits while starting to develop revenues outside of taxation. What was this non-tax revenue? It was the land finance that everyone has heard of later on. And what did land finance give birth to? It gave birth to high housing prices; high housing prices were directly caused by the 1994 tax-sharing reform. Later on, due to the surge in land finance, local revenues did not actually decrease by much, which is why I say the original purpose of the tax-sharing reform was fundamentally unfulfilled, achieving nothing of real consequence.

Following the tax-sharing reform, another important reform during Jiang Zemin's era was China's welfare system reform. During the Mao Zedong era, although Mao did not develop the economy at all and China's economy progressed at an extremely snail's pace, at least theoretically Mao still implemented the communist framework, meaning that in name, medical care, education, and pensions were still handled by the government—as for the actual quality, well, never mind that. By Jiang Zemin's era, the market began to modernize, so what should be done about the responsibilities of education, medical care, and pensions? Jiang Zemin's answer was to have no responsibility at all. Except for public servants inside the system, the overwhelming majority of Chinese people were directly excluded from the welfare security system, and Chinese labor rights were driven straight to zero. For the sake of development, with a wave of his hand, Jiang Zemin said all of these could be discarded. The poor welfare and poor labor rights of the Chinese people did not actually stem from ancient times, but originated from Jiang Zemin's design of the reform and opening-up.

Besides that, another major feat during the Jiang Zemin era was the introduction of the concept of GDP. Whenever we talk about whether a country is developing well, our first reaction is to look at its GDP growth rate and GDP per capita. To help everyone understand better and to make comparisons with foreign countries easier, I also repeatedly cite GDP data when making my programs. However, GDP is not the only standard for measuring economic levels in many countries. For example, if you follow the U.S. stock market, you will find that it is more easily influenced by non-farm payroll data—that is, unemployment rates and new job additions—rather than GDP. How did GDP become the standard, or even the only standard, for measuring economic performance in China? That is because of Jiang Zemin. In 1993, China officially switched from the Soviet-style national income accounting mechanism to the GDP accounting mechanism, and GDP subsequently became China's primary economic indicator. But that is not the most critical part; Jiang Zemin's truly key move was turning GDP into the main performance indicator for the promotion of local officials. To achieve this goal and win the "GDP race," local officials began engaging in massive infrastructure projects and investment attraction. Of course, at the national level, the Jiang Zemin era also breakthrough-ly tied the legitimacy of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to GDP. The "Three Represents" theory proposed by Jiang Zemin mentioned that the CCP must always represent the development requirements of advanced social productive forces. In effect, this was the CCP setting limits on itself, requiring itself to ensure China's development. And what is used to measure whether this development is being ensured well? It is the GDP growth rate. Of course, Jiang Zemin also answered a question that had troubled the Chinese people since the 1990s. After the Eastern European upheavals in 1989 and the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, the thinking of the Chinese people at that time fell into chaos. The CCP was founded on communism, but by the 1990s, all Chinese people knew that communism was finished. After communism failed, why the Communist Party was still in power became a question that needed answering, especially since the reputation of communism was already tarnished; for decades, communism had basically been synonymous with poverty. Surely, one could not really say that China needed the Communist Party just because it had tanks to suppress people. Therefore, to solve this problem, Jiang Zemin officially passed the "Three Represents," re-establishing performance legitimacy brought by growth as the source of the CCP's legitimacy. This change completely resolved the conflict between development and the CCP system; previously, it was a choice between development and the CCP, but now it became the CCP equals development. At this point, superimposed on Jiang Zemin's implementation of Deng Xiaoping's principle of no political reform, modern China—the China in everyone's impression—basically took shape.

Actually, looking at this, everyone can think about what China has been like in your mind over the past few decades. It is that economic development is okay, but there has been absolutely no political reform, while social corruption is rampant, welfare is extremely poor, and housing prices are soaring. The source of all this—how China ended up this way—can be said to have originated in the Jiang Zemin era; these were all the tones set by Jiang Zemin. Do people like this Reform and Opening-up that Jiang Zemin carried out? In terms of results, it was actually average. This set of Reform and Opening-up that Jiang Zemin implemented is not unique to China in political science; it is a standard authoritarian development model. The earliest pioneer of this can be traced back to the Spanish dictator Franco, and in East Asia, it can be traced back to Park Chung-hee; Chiang Ching-kuo also implemented this same model, using GDP growth to exchange for the legitimacy of the ruler, so that the dictator could lead the country to high-speed development. Even when Jiang Zemin chatted and laughed with Mike Wallace, saying that China could not engage in democracy for the time being because its development was too backward, it was a 1:1 copy of Park Chung-hee's authoritarian development theory. The core of Jiang Zemin's "Three Represents" is almost indistinguishable from Park Chung-hee's model. We can also compare the three figures of Park Chung-hee, Chiang Ching-kuo, and Jiang Zemin in East Asia. The GDP growth rate during the Jiang Zemin era was actually not outstanding; the three were basically at the same level. However, at the same time, the negative effects during the Jiang Zemin era were the most numerous. High housing prices, official corruption, and poor welfare—although these were also common problems during the Park Chung-hee and Chiang Ching-kuo eras, it is clear that Jiang Zemin made them more exaggerated. Therefore, judging by the results, Jiang Zemin's design for how to implement Reform and Opening-up was not very brilliant. Thus, I can only give Jiang Zemin a mediocre evaluation, just like Deng Xiaoping. Of course, I believe many people still think Jiang Zemin was not bad, which is mainly because the Chinese people actually have no choice. Perhaps he was better than the Mao Zedong era, and for the Chinese people who have suffered their whole lives and never seen the light, that was enough.

Hu Jintao's position in Chinese history can be considered that of a ruler who maintained the status quo. When he came to power, there was actually not much left that could be changed. Deng Xiaoping had already set the direction for reform and opening-up to focus on the economy rather than politics, and Jiang Zemin had defined what reform and opening-up meant and how specifically to pursue it. So, what was left for Hu Jintao to change? Of course, it is not as what Hu Jintao did was nothing during his tenure. What were his main tasks? He mainly had two tasks: one was patching up the policies left by Jiang Zemin, and the other was properly executing reform and opening-up. Regarding the first task of making patches, Hu Jintao did not execute it very well. Of course, this does not mean his direction was wrong; Hu Jintao's direction had no problem. How did Hu Jintao specifically make these patches? It was actually written in his guiding ideology for governance, which was the Scientific Outlook on Development. After coming to power, Hu Jintao clearly felt that there were some problems with Jiang Zemin's GDP-obsessed model, where nothing else mattered as long as there was growth. Therefore, as soon as he came to power, Hu Jintao proposed the theory of scientific development, applying many patches to the problems of the Jiang era.

Among these, the first patch was the abolition of the agricultural tax. This system, which had lasted for over 2,000 years since the Warring States period and was specifically used to exploit farmers, was finally officially abolished during Hu Jintao's era. Afterward, in the areas of healthcare, pensions, education, and labor rights, Hu Jintao also introduced corresponding laws. In 2003, the New Rural Cooperative Medical Scheme began pilot programs; in 2006, the Compulsory Education Law was revised; in 2007, the Labor Contract Law was passed; and in 2009, the New Rural Social Pension Insurance began pilot programs. If Jiang Zemin built the economic and tax systems of reform and opening-up, Hu Jintao could be said to have built the pension and welfare systems of reform and opening-up. Hu Jintao actually threw a lifeline to the Chinese economy here. China is currently trapped in deflation largely because its welfare system is too poor and social distribution is unfair, leaving residents with no money to spend. If the basic welfare systems built by Hu Jintao back then had not existed, China might have fallen into deflation not around 2023, but most likely as early as 2018.

Of course, although Hu Jintao made these changes and these laws and policies were introduced during his tenure, their actual effects, frankly speaking, were limited. To this day, China's labor rights and its healthcare, pension, and educational welfare remain extremely poor. During his tenure, Hu Jintao also attempted to curb housing prices, repeatedly issuing purchase restriction orders, but their effectiveness was also extremely poor. This was actually a characteristic of Hu Jintao's era: from today's perspective, his economic reform strategies were very correct, belonging to heading in the right direction, but their execution was a complete mess. The reason for this situation was also related to the political landscape of Hu Jintao's era. During his time, the political model set up by Deng Xiaoping was pushed to the extreme. "Nine dragons ruling the water," meaning the collective leadership system, officially took shape. The nine members of the Standing Committee were truly like dragons, each possessing power nearly equal to that of the General Secretary. At a time when Hu Jintao's imperial edicts could not even get out of Zhongnanhai, what could he want to do? The room for maneuver was extremely limited. This resulted in the series of policies that Hu Jintao tried to promote during his tenure having very poor effects. The saying that "imperial edicts do not leave Zhongnanhai" was truly no joke.

On the other hand, however, Hu Jintao executed his other task—properly carrying out reform and opening-up—quite well. First, politically, the "nine dragons ruling the water" did indeed limit Hu Jintao's influence, but wasn't "nine dragons ruling the water" itself a part of reform and opening-up? It was designed by Deng Xiaoping, who believed it was the ultimate system to guarantee the CCP's rule for 100 years. Such a system, along with the cadre term limit system, was perfectly implemented during Hu Jintao's era. As for economic development, Hu Jintao actually did quite well in this regard. Although he proposed the Scientific Outlook on Development during his tenure, attempting to stop using GDP growth rate as the sole evaluation metric, China's GDP growth rate under Hu Jintao was actually the fastest among all five generations of leaders. In addition, Hu Jintao's luck could be said to be extremely bad. Right after taking office, he encountered the Wenchuan earthquake—one of the biggest natural disasters since the founding of the PRC—a massive epidemic (SARS), and the global 2008 financial crisis. For Hu Jintao, whose administrative orders could not leave Zhongnanhai at the time, solving these problems was extremely difficult, yet he still successfully resolved them, and these disasters ultimately did not cause extremely serious consequences in China.

Therefore, overall, as a social reformer, Hu Jintao was quite failing; he did not truly advance reforms. But as an executor of reform and opening-up, Hu Jintao scored almost a top score, especially considering that his governing environment was far harsher than those of Jiang Zemin and Deng Xiaoping. Therefore, looking at it comprehensively in the end, I can give Hu Jintao a rating somewhere between above-average and top-tier. It would have been better if Hu Jintao and Jiang Zemin could have swapped their ruling order back then, because Hu Jintao's policies were clearly much milder and growth was faster. If he had been the one to design the specific execution model of reform and opening-up, China's economic development in a parallel universe would have been even better, and the people's welfare would have been superior as well. But unfortunately, history has no "ifs"; Jiang Zemin simply ruled before Hu Jintao. And after Hu Jintao, we entered the highly anticipated Xi Jinping era.

In the stories of the previous four leaders, one should be able to notice that the style of Mao Zedong's story is quite different from those of Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, and Hu Jintao. Indeed, this is mainly because their goals and priorities during their terms were different. There was no economic policy worth discussing during the Mao era; it was filled with the flavor of power. By the time of the Xi Jinping era, the same narrative has reverted, and Xi has begun playing the same power-grabbing game that was played during the Mao era. Since Xi Jinping took office, all his actions can be summarized as one thing: maintaining his own power. It is just that the way Xi and Mao maintained power differs; Mao was constantly strengthening his power, while Xi is preventing the loss of his power. So, what would lead to the loss of Xi's power? In fact, there is only one word: democratization. It is a sense of crisis about losing power at any moment; he himself has repeatedly stated in speeches that the CCP must have a sense of crisis about the party's demise. This cannot be said to be Xi's overthinking, because historically, the model of reform and opening up has its limits. If one reviews the paths of Franco, Park Chung-hee, and Chiang Ching-kuo, one will find that this authoritarian development model reaches its end when per capita GDP reaches the threshold of developed countries. These countries generally completed their democratic transitions at this stage and successfully became developed countries after the transition. This was perhaps also the initial expectation the United States had for China.

However, in terms of planning, this was not a problem for Xi Jinping to handle. After all, when Xi took office, China's per capita GDP was only over 6,000 USD, still halfway to the high-income country threshold set by the World Bank at the time. According to normal assumptions, the time point for the Communist Party to face this test would have been around 2022. By then, Xi Jinping would likely have stepped down, and it should have been Hu Chunhua, the successor designated by Hu Jintao, to handle this issue, not Xi himself. How would Hu Chunhua have handled this issue after taking office? According to my consistent speculation about the Tuanpai (Youth League faction), it is highly probable that he would have followed the trend of the times and carried out democratic reforms. But this development trajectory is clearly not what Xi Jinping wanted to see. After Xi came to power, he implemented strict defenses against this. The first thing he did to defend his position was to seize power, and the means of seizing power was anti-corruption. The first major thing Xi did after taking office was anti-corruption. Initially, when anti-corruption first emerged, neither the CCP high-level officials nor the general public realized what it actually meant. Many people applauded Xi's anti-corruption efforts because the corruption problem had indeed plagued the Chinese people for a long time. In this regard, Xi also followed Mao Zedong's example. Xi's anti-corruption, and even his later crackdown on capitalists, were actually replicating Mao's strategy of the majority fighting the minority.

However, as the anti-corruption campaign continued, everyone realized something was wrong. Xi quickly achieved a massive purge through anti-corruption. When Hu Jintao took over, only one and a half of the nine Standing Committee members belonged to the Tuanpai, the faction of Hu Jintao. After one term, by the beginning of the second term, Hu Jintao had only replaced two and a half of the nine Standing Committee members with his own people. But in the Xi Jinping era, Xi's progress was significantly faster. Through the anti-corruption purge, Xi controlled the vast majority of seats on the Standing Committee within his second term, abolished the term limits for leaders, and the "nine dragons ruling the water" system collapsed instantly, as did the cadre term system. After the collapse, there was naturally no role for Hu Chunhua. The abolition of lifetime tenure and the collective leadership system designed by Deng Xiaoping were only realized under Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao; by the time of Xi's term, they were directly changed back by him. If we count 1997, the year Deng Xiaoping passed away, as the beginning of the collective leadership system, and 2012, when Xi took office, as the end of this system, then this collective leadership system actually only lasted for 15 years in China, far shorter than everyone imagined.

Beyond the internal affairs of the CCP, in external aspects such as social control, Xi also began drastic reforms. Although the Deng, Jiang, and Hu periods maintained a certain degree of speech and ideological control, the overall bottom line was the same: maintaining the policy set by Deng Xiaoping of reforming the economy but not the politics. As long as speech and ideology did not truly involve inciting the subversion of the CCP, the CCP generally did not deal with them during this stage to ensure market vitality, especially at the economic and scientific levels. To prevent economic strategies from affecting economic development, Deng Xiaoping maintained a relatively high degree of leniency toward economists and scientists. Economists and scientists not being punished for their speech was a privilege that belonged to these people during the Deng, Jiang, and Hu periods. However, in the Xi Jinping era, things are different. Xi is not satisfied with the status quo. Public opinion has begun to become like the Mao era. Xi no longer allows Chinese people to criticize the CCP and even demands that Chinese people must praise the CCP. In 2013, the Supreme People's Court and the Supreme People's Procuratorate issued a judicial interpretation stating that a post being forwarded 500 times could be prosecuted as defamation, and punishment for speech began to have systematic legal support. In 2014, the Central Leading Group for Cybersecurity and Informatization was established, with Xi Jinping as the leader. In 2016, party media were required by Xi to "bear the party surname." In 2017, the Cybersecurity Law was implemented, and the real-name registration system for the internet was officially landed. And so on. Under a series of regulations, Xi eventually transformed China into what it is today, where not even a little criticism, or even a little sarcasm, is allowed.

In terms of social power, thanks to the enormous wealth generated by the reform and opening-up, the strength of capitalists accumulated over the past few decades, faintly even forming a force capable of challenging the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). After Xi Jinping came to power, however, he launched heavy crackdowns: Ren Zhiqiang was investigated, Jack Ma was forced into exile overseas, and the social status and influence of capitalists plummeted. The capitalist power inherent in capitalism was thoroughly curbed. Of course, another major supporter of democracy and freedom is the West. Therefore, after Xi came to power, to prevent the influx of Western democracy, relations with the West deteriorated rapidly, and wolf warrior diplomacy became the mainstream. In the Russia-Ukraine war, Xi also directly stood on Russia's side, forming a stark contrast to Jiang Zemin's stance after the September 11 attacks in 2001. In terms of economic policy, Xi also broke away from the laissez-faire policies of the Deng, Jiang, and Hu eras, beginning to heavily intervene in the economy. The "grasp the large, release the small" approach introduced during the Jiang Zemin era—meaning the CCP only controls industries vital to people's livelihoods while leaving other ordinary industries to the market—began to be dismantled. A new type of planned economy belonging to Xi Jinping started to take shape; today, China's industrial development is close to that of the Mao Zedong era. What to develop is no longer decided by the market, but by what Xi Jinping wants to develop. If he wants to develop new energy, the entire nation must pool its resources to do so; if he wants to develop robots, the entire nation must do the same. This strongly echoes Mao's mass campaigns for the Two Bombs, One Satellite and the Great Leap Forward.

At this point, China's technological innovation is just like that of the Mao era: it is no longer an economic or technological issue, but a political one. When China launched the Great Leap Forward back then, it was not because Mao hoped to make Chinese people rich through it, but to compete with Khrushchev at the time, proving that China could develop well even without the Soviet Union. When Mao pursued the Two Bombs, One Satellite, it was not because having them would improve China's production efficiency, but to ensure mutual destruction with the Soviet Union under extreme circumstances. For Xi Jinping, it is the same: electric vehicles, robots, and AI are not tools to make Chinese people rich, but tools to ensure he is not overthrown by a democratic system. Beyond this, there is another political rollback: Xi has gradually dismantled the GDP performance legitimacy. Knowing that China's economic growth is about to slow down and preparing defenses in advance, he no longer treats development as the source of the CCP's ruling legitimacy. Instead, imitating Mao, he has promoted a narrative that while China is bad, the rest of the world is even worse. Isn't the recently popular "Lao A" just a 2.0 version of the Mao-era propaganda that 30% of Americans couldn't afford a meal every day? Locally, Xi no longer uses GDP as the primary evaluation criterion for the promotion of local officials, replacing it instead with loyalty to himself as the main metric.

Of course, under this set of operations, China's governance capacity has also begun to experience problems, gradually regressing to the Mao Zedong era. Although Xi Jinping's power is far greater than Hu Jintao's, China's disaster relief capability has declined significantly. For COVID-19, which had a lower mortality rate than SARS, Xi Jinping insisted on a three-year mass lockdown. Now, China's GDP growth rate has slid all the way to 5%, and the annual scale of new debt even exceeds the GDP growth for the same period. In fact, looking at the biggest difference between Xi Jinping and the Deng, Jiang, and Hu eras, I believe their greatest difference lies in their self-positioning. Since Xi Jinping took office, his main goal has not been to maintain economic development, but to maintain his own rule, which is the same as Mao Zedong. The reason for this, I think, is that their mindsets are different. Mao Zedong and Xi Jinping have one thing in common: they both feel that China is their private property. This is normal for Mao Zedong, and Xi Jinping, as a second-generation red, has once again possessed a mindset similar to Mao's. This idea of viewing China as one's own private property is actually very common among the second-generation reds. For example, Bo Guagua; his statements in recent years have revealed this. Even though his father, Bo Xilai, was taken down by Xi Jinping, and even though he has already run to Canada, he still strongly supports the CCP and still feels a sense of pride in the CCP's development. Second-generation reds generally view themselves as the legitimate shareholders of China, so maintaining their absolute control over China has become their inherent vocation. This sense of ownership determines the two different forms they take compared to the Deng, Jiang, and Hu eras. Deng, Jiang, and Hu did not naturally consider themselves to own China, so in order to continue their rule, they worked hard to improve the economy to gain legitimacy. If a conflict were to arise between CCP rule and China's economic development, while we are not sure what choice Deng, Jiang, or Hu would make—whether to choose the CCP or China's development—at least these people would hesitate. But when it comes to Mao Zedong and Xi Jinping, they feel that ruling China is their right, so they would not hesitate at all. Maintaining the Communist Party's rule and maintaining their own rule is their absolute goal; even if economic development completely explodes, it does not matter. The mission of the Chinese people is to be supporting actors for them; except for themselves, all Chinese people are NPCs. Therefore, for a leader who only puts his own interests and the pursuit of power first, I can only rank Xi Jinping between a total piece of shit and an NPC. Of course, he is not completely a piece of shit, and he ranks slightly higher than Mao Zedong. This is not because Xi Jinping is not a fucking idiot, but because Xi Jinping is too much of a fucking idiot. His ability is inferior to Mao Zedong's, and he cannot pull off the level of personality cult that Mao did, so his destructive power is ultimately still worse than Mao Zedong's.

After talking about Xi Jinping, this is roughly my ranking of the five generations of Chinese leaders in my heart. Of course, every viewer may have their own ranking in their heart, and everyone is welcome to post their own ranking in the comment section. However, at the end of the program, some people might say, "You are just smearing the CCP. How can the highest-ranking Chinese leader in your view only be a 'superior person'? Doesn't the CCP have even one top-tier 'legend'? I think you are just smearing the CCP and find every Chinese leader unpleasant." In fact, it is not that China has no legendary leaders. Aren't Zhao Ziyang and Hu Yaobang considered legendary leaders? Take Zhao Ziyang, for example. On May 17, 1989, when the June Fourth movement had already begun, there was a fierce confrontation between Deng Xiaoping and Zhao Ziyang. When Zhao Ziyang realized that he could not persuade Deng Xiaoping and that Deng was still insisting on martial law, Zhao Ziyang resolutely chose to support the students. Having been at the center of power for a long time, did Zhao Ziyang not know what he would face if he continued to oppose martial law and support the students, knowing he could not persuade Deng Xiaoping and was at an absolute disadvantage? What he would inevitably face was the loss of his position as General Secretary and the loss of his political career. Let's ask ourselves: many people, let alone a General Secretary position, if given a mayoral position and told that you would lose it tomorrow for supporting democracy, many people probably wouldn't be willing. But what about Zhao Ziyang? Zhao Ziyang knew that even if he might lose the position of General Secretary and his entire political career—such a huge temptation of power—he still refused to implement martial law for the sake of democracy and the Chinese people. In the early morning of May 19, he came to the square and said to the students, "We are already old, it doesn't matter. You are still young, there is a long way to go," which is enough to establish Zhao Ziyang's legendary status. The same is true for Hu Yaobang. These two people formed a sharp contrast with Mao Zedong and Xi Jinping. Such leaders can definitely be considered legendary leaders in Chinese history. Unfortunately, even with the title of General Secretary, they never truly held power. The CCP's system ultimately does not allow a legendary leader to emerge.

Finally, thank you all for watching today's program. I am Toronto Fang Lian. I hope you will like and support my video, as this can increase the weight of YouTube's recommendations for me. See you in the next episode.

Key events timeline · Selected related nodes
1950年6月
The Central Committee Promulgated the Agrarian Reform Law and Implemented Violent Land Reform Across Rural Areas Nationwide
In June 1950, the Agrarian Reform Law of the People's Republic of China was promulgated, and land reform rolled out across rural areas nationwide. Although the original intent was to distribute landlords' land to poor peasants, in actual implementation it evolved into a bloody and violent plundering feast, with numerous landlords stripped of their land and killed. Death tolls estimated by various scholars range between 200,000 and 2 million.
Related topics Xi Jinping Mao Zedong political satire Hu Jintao 邓小平 江泽民
Transcript · timestamped
说起中国的领导人
我们都知道
有毛邓江胡习五代领导人
这些领导人任期内
好的中国经济增速领先世界
坏的中国出现人类史上最大的饥荒
并且细数下来
这些领导人总共都
出台了130多项政策
透过这些反复横跳的政策
这期节目
我就详细从中国发展进程的角度
带领大家看一看
这些领导人在任期内到底做了什么
在中国的发展历史上到底
又起到了什么样的作用
大家好我是多伦多方脸
这期节目我们就从夯到拉
锐评一下中国的五代领导人
毛泽东
是中国建政之后
到今天实际在位时间最长的领导人
他从1949年开始干
一直干到了1976年9月9日嗝屁
这中间一干
就是27年
这27年毛泽东干没干什么事情呢
那肯定是干了
而且还干得不少
可是你要说他干了什么人事
那真的没有太多
毛泽东上台之后
具体搞了什么样的政策
对于中国发展
做出了什么样的贡献呢
不熟悉中国历史的
可能只知道有三年大饥荒和文革
而熟悉中国历史的
经常看我节目的各位腊肉学家们
那应该都知道
毛泽东时期的政策
多得就和报菜名一样
什么三反五反
什么四清运动
什么反右运动
你让郭德纲来
一口气都报不完
整个毛泽东任期内
保守估计
他也搞死了几千万中国人
当然对于这样的毛泽东
我们不能简单地把他的历史定位
就定位在折磨中国人身上
认为毛泽东
就是有病
纯折磨中国人上瘾
毛泽东虽然搞死了几千万中国人
但是他其实做每一项政策
也都是有目的的
他的主线还是非常明显的
那就是为了加强共产党
和他个人的权力
这是毛泽东一生都在做的事情
也是毛泽东在中国历史进程上
最大的作用
其实毛泽东的搞人
贯彻的还是分阶段科学地搞人
第一阶段
是1949年到1953年
这个阶段毛泽东干了两件事情
一个是对外给苏联装孙子
一个是对内进行清洗报复
清洗那些曾经的反共势力
给苏联装孙子的行为
主要体现在朝鲜战争上
现在不论中共怎么美化朝鲜战争
实际上
朝鲜战争就是金日成脑子一热
挥师南下
进攻韩国
之后中共则替父参军
帮助苏联保卫朝鲜的故事
此时因为毛泽东还需要苏联的支持
也就等于毛泽东拿朝鲜战争
拿中国士兵的命
给斯大林同志递交投名状
换取斯大林继续支持毛泽东
当这个阶段外部稳定之后
毛泽东重点还是在内部
朝鲜战争是打得火热
那中国内部
打得也是非常火热
毛泽东上来就搞了几波大清洗
当然因为毛泽东知道从易到难的原理
所以最开始清洗的目标
都是一些非常脆弱的敌人
那些和中共有仇的恶人
比如地主
1950年6月
中华人民共和国土地改革法颁布
这也就是臭名昭著的土改
在土改开始之初
根据规定是在农村把不同阶级
分为地主富农中农贫农雇农
然后只把地主的土地分给贫农
富农的土地
则自己保留
分配方式
也应该是
按照非暴力的形式去进行的
可是落实到实际在农村
这却变成了一场抢劫的盛宴
大量地主不仅土地被剥夺
还被打死
地主家的女眷
也则像商品一样被大量交易
被大量强奸分配
斗完地主之后
这些贫农当然还不满足
富农的土地
也从一开始能自我保留
变成了被掠夺的对象
整个土改的过程非常血腥暴力
整个土改造成的死亡人数
目前统计差距也比较大
其中最少的中国学者
认为在20万
最多的西方学者
如冯客
则认为在150万到200万
当然整个土改最奇妙的地方
其实还就在这个暴力上
毛泽东发动这场土改
一开始的目的就不是为了分配公平
而是为了让大家双手都沾满鲜血
最早土改刚开始的时候
刘少奇其实是反对暴力的
1950年的6月
刘少奇在关于土地改革问题的报告中
曾试图限制土改使用暴力
可是就在刘少奇发布这份报告时
毛泽东却一直在强调
要放手发动群众
并批评和平土改
毛泽东在这里的算盘是非常明显的
毛泽东一直就知道
斗争的诀窍是什么
斗争的诀窍从来都不是
单方面地从舆论上斗倒对方
也不是高举什么
马克思列宁主义毛泽东思想的大旗
而是最简单地去利用人性的贪婪
让多数人去斗少数人
让多数人成为自己的共谋者
并且这里最精妙的是
毛泽东还会给大家的贪婪
套上一个合理合法的帽子
让抢劫无罪强奸无罪杀人无罪
甚至吃人无罪
这一套
之后在毛泽东的人生里面
会频繁地出现
就比如在1950年10月
紧接着开启的镇压反革命运动中
也是如此
只是这一次矛头
它对准的不再是农村的地主
而是城市中的一些反革命分子
为了让正常的运动变得血腥暴力
毛泽东这时候甚至还下达了
一个杀人目标
南京是一个50万人口的大城市
国民党的首都
应杀的反动分子不止2000余人
就是这时候说出来的
毛泽东要求全国
一千个人里面必须有一个反动分子
就像一个指标一样
被下达给了各级政府
最终这场镇反运动
到底杀了多少人呢
后续根据公安部1954年的报告显示
共处决71.2万人
当时中国人口大概5亿出头
这也算完美符合了
甚至超纲完成了毛泽东千分之一的要求
当然除了上面说的那些运动之外
还有一些像什么
打击工商界的三反五反
打击知识分子的
第一次整风等等等等
就不细说了
当然有人这时候还会说
对于土改和镇压反革命
你怎么能说
毛泽东是在借机打击敌人呢
这不是毛泽东在兑现
自己革命时的承诺吗
如果你觉得毛泽东
能是个遵守承诺的人
那就太搞笑了
看着最简单的敌人被清洗完之后
毛泽东又开始
把矛头对准了另一部分人
这部分人就是
党内的反对派以及党外人士
还有苏联大爹
在新中国刚建国的时候
毛泽东为了拉拢党外人士
让这些人心甘情愿地
和自己去批斗其他人
他还搞了一部临时宪法
叫做共同纲领
这个纲领说得非常好
那就是中共执政以后
不是要自己搞独裁的
不是要搞一党独大的
而是要联合大家一起执政
在经济上
毛泽东也强调
要用十五到二十年建成社会主义
而不是上来就搞苏联式的计划经济
所以在1949年新中国刚成立的时候
为了符合这套叙事
6位国家副主席中
有3位是非共人士
4位副总理中有2位是非共人士
21位部长中更是有11位非共人士
而到了1953年
眼看之前的反对者
都被自己清洗得差不多了
民主人士也开始逐渐式微了
毛泽东就立马开始翻脸不认人了
在1953年开始了
自己的第一个五年计划
三大改造农村合作社
等一系列计划经济的措施也开始立刻上马
宪法之后也进行了大修改
民主人士的政协
本来在一开始49年的那部临时宪法中
是中国的最高权力机构
但是到了五四宪法里
人大就取代了政协
成为了中国的最高权力机构
当然了这些纸面上的修改
还都是小打小闹
最狠的还是从1957年开始的反右运动
在反右运动中
大量非共产党的民主党派人士
被打成了右派
共产党内部忠诚度不够高的人
也被毛泽东打成了右派
其中非共人士中最著名的
就是章伯钧罗隆基章乃器三位
他们是民主派人士
在反右之前
分别是交通部长
森林工业部长粮食部长
而他们则在反右中纷纷被清算被革职
而党内一些反对快速实行计划经济的
高级别干部
比如邓子恢
则被毛泽东扣上了小脚女人的帽子
彭德怀
则在两年后的庐山会议上
直接被打成了反党集团
毛泽东再次鼓动社会的多数人
摧垮了少部分人
与此同时
觉得翅膀够硬的毛泽东
也开始不满自己的太上皇苏联
斯大林死后
中苏关系开始直接交恶
毛泽东也终于摆脱苏联
成为了一个完全体的暴君
权力收拢这件事情
其实对于大多数中国人来说
是没有差的
一个人搞独裁和一堆人搞独裁
区别并不大
甚至你中共是不是给苏联当狗
对于中国人来说差别都不大
因为给苏联人当狗和给毛泽东当狗
对于普通中国人来说没有区别
但是问题是
反右运动开始之后
毛泽东借着整个运动
一举扫清了党内党外的反对派
彻底完成了对党的控制
也失去了反对声音
失去反对声音之后
中国的刹车片
也等于被毛泽东拆掉
这就导致毛泽东之后错误的经济政策
根本无人可以修正
为了和苏联斗气
大跃进开始
而大跃进则导致了一场
人类史上史无前例的大灾难到来
那就是三年大饥荒
造成了
几千万中国人死亡
甚至可以说是人类史上最大的人祸
而这场灾难对于
毛泽东的意义是什么呢
是让毛泽东意识到自己
根本就不是治国理政的人才
该退位让贤吗
并不是
三年大饥荒直接导致了
毛泽东的个人威信受到了冲击
尤其是党内的高级干部
大家都发现毛泽东
根本就没有治国的能力
因此在三年大饥荒爆发之后
七千人大会也爆发了
会上以刘少奇邓小平为首的技术官僚
开始集体对毛泽东发难
当然这些人还是仁慈的
整个发难
也不是说要毛泽东死
而是希望能和毛泽东达成默契
你接着搞你的个人崇拜
我去搞我的经济
我们两不沾边
你毛泽东不擅长经济
那就放过中国人吧
起初在七千人大会上
毛泽东一看大势不妙
倒是装起了孙子
同意放出对于经济的控制权
可是在会后一年时间不到
毛泽东的反击就立马开始了
当然反击的逻辑
还是那老一套
眼看高级别官员不站在自己这边
毛泽东就发动底层群众
去斗这些高级别官僚
让群众上街
把这些旧官僚抓到街头进行批斗
而这也就是大家熟知的文革
文革这一搞
直接就搞到了毛泽东死
文革之前
毛泽东那种利用多数人斗少数人的情况
还只是间歇性发作
而到了文革开始之后
就变成了常态化
中国人自此
也进入了大批斗的十年
其实反观毛泽东执政的这些年
中国普通人就和NPC一样
这20多年中国就只有一个主角
那就是毛泽东自己
所有人都在用自己的血和泪
去配合毛泽东玩一场权力的游戏
毛泽东执政时期
他唯一做的一件正事
其实也就是清洗反对派
各种反对派
从真正的反对者到党外反对派
到党外民主人士
再到党内的反对者
没有一个是逃得过毛泽东的魔爪
在毛泽东这一通德政之下
中国这段时间的经济增速
那也是一塌糊涂
中国也就是在这个阶段
被韩国和台湾甩开差距的
在1950年
中国和韩国的人均GDP还相差无几
和台湾其实也没有拉开差距
可是到了1976年
毛泽东去世的时候
台湾的人均GDP
就已经是中国的4.1倍了
而韩国则为中国的3.2倍
所以你要从历史的角度来说
毛泽东对于中国的唯一贡献
是什么呢
可能就是搭建了
一个中共的独裁体制
毛泽东确实让中国
一改民国时期的混乱
形成了一个绝对强大且稳定的中央
当然你说这是否是一个优点呢
那只能说是仁者见仁
智者见智了
强中央对于中国来说
对中国人民来说
也未必是一个好事
所以综合下来说
毛泽东只能给一个拉完了的评价
毛泽东死后
其实直接接班的还不是邓小平
中间还有一个四人帮和一个华国锋
毛泽东到死
其实都没有放弃对于权力的贪念
他在选择继承人的时候
仍然不考虑中国的经济
而选择了缺乏能力
但是对自己足够忠诚的华国锋接班
以此希望自己在死后
不会重蹈斯大林的覆辙
死后遭到清算
毛泽东对权力的执着
可真是太深了
不过毛泽东没算好的是
他选择的这个华国锋
实在是太拉了
而且外加上
被折腾了那么久的中国人也终于受不了了
最终邓小平他上位了
其实和很多人想的
邓小平是依靠权术多么高超上台
不同的是
邓小平本人上台的过程
其实并不是因为
他的权术有多么高明
而是因为当时的
中国人太恐惧毛泽东时代
太不想过
毛泽东时代的那个日子了
其实早在1976年的4月5日
毛泽东还没去世的时候
就有几十万人
顶着纪念周恩来的名号冲击天安门
这一次抗议
比六四都早了十几年
而且不仅是民间
在毛泽东活的时候
毛泽东那是真的搞闭关锁国
除了他和周恩来
以及一些外交系统的官员
大部分中共官僚都没有出过国
他们可能是知道外国比中国好
但是知道的程度也有限
他们心里也没有什么底
华国锋一上台之后
为了改变这一点
就派了很多高级别干部出国访问
这些干部出国之后
那是大受震撼
比如邓小平在访日之后就直接说了
我访问日本之后
我才懂什么是现代化
当时的广东省委书记
王全国出国之后也说
过去总认为资本主义腐朽没落
可是走出国门一看
完全不是那么回事
一拨出去了二三十个高级干部
是没有一个不被西方震撼到的
有一点当年李鸿章访美的味道
最终这些报告也汇集到了华国锋那里
华国锋也最终说出了那句经典的
中国不仅是毛泽东思想的故乡
也是夜郎自大的故乡
你别看现在那么多人怀念毛泽东
但是在毛泽东死的时候
毛泽东的那些狗屁政策
其实早就已经遭受到了
大部分中国人的唾弃
只是因为毛泽东的个人威望太高
无法动摇
所以才没有改变
因此到了1978年
大家推举邓小平上台
那也成了水到渠成的事情
当然对于1978年底上台的邓小平来说
上台那只是他第一件要做的事情
上台之后的邓小平虽然说
已经确定了不走毛泽东的路线
但是另一个问题也就接踵而至了
那就是不走毛泽东路线
中国到底该走什么路线
这成为了邓小平需要解答的问题
所以邓小平时期
虽然操作也有很多
政策也有很多
但主要核心其实
就是在解决这个问题
在给这个问题提供一个答案
当时中国内部
实际上有两股风潮
一股是以陈云为首的保守派
他们认为
毛泽东时期的经济政策错误
主要在毛泽东个人
而不在这个计划经济体制上
当时因为苏联经济尚可
陈云就是说
你看同样是搞计划经济的苏联
不就搞得不错嘛
那只是毛泽东不会搞计划经济罢了
错不在计划经济本身
而另一股思潮
则是以胡耀邦为首的民主派
他们从政治和经济制度上
都全方面地否定过去的中国
认为中国该从政治制度
到经济制度全面西方化
面对这两种派别
邓小平选择哪一种呢
他选择了一个折中的方案
邓小平在政治上选择了极端的保守
维持了毛泽东搭建的一党专制
而在经济上则尽力压制保守派
维持开放
这一点在邓小平上台之初
就体现得非常明显
刚上台的时候
在政治方面
邓小平是一上台就让胡耀邦搞起了平反
可是与此同时
他也发起了打击西单民主墙的行为
西单民主墙是啥呢
这是当时北京的一面墙
墙上有时候会有一些人来张贴大字报
这些大字报
主要都是一些关于政治的大字报
这也成为当时那个没有互联网时代
中国平民参与政治讨论的主要空间
一开始在华国锋时期
西单民主墙是支持邓小平的
所以邓小平对此也表示欢迎
而邓小平上来之后
西单民主墙就开始
不满足于只搞经济改革
开始寻求搞民主改革
政治改革了
这个时候邓小平对于西单民主墙的态度
就出现了180度的转弯
立刻从支持变成了重拳出击
抓捕了包括魏京生王军涛
在内的多位异议人士
当然对于这一套
最典型的还属于邓小平自己
在1979年3月提出的四项基本原则
这四项基本原则说的是什么呢
是坚持社会主义道路
坚持无产阶级专政
坚持中国共产党领导
坚持马克思列宁主义毛泽东思想
这在当下的我们看来
或许那就是废话
可是在当年并不是
当年邓小平提出这四项基本原则
实际上就是在回答
全社会都在等待的一个答案
那就是后毛泽东时代的
中国政治到底该怎么改
方向到底是什么
邓小平给出的答案是
不会走民主体制
甚至不会倒回1953年之前
搞什么多党共治
同时他也不会像
赫鲁晓夫清算斯大林一样
去清算毛泽东
这就是邓小平的答案
当然政治上虽然保守
另一方面
邓小平在经济上倒是
也一直在搞经济自由化
比如1978年的包产到户
1979年元旦和美国建交
1980年开始搞经济特区
为了刺激新经济现代化
邓小平也一直在起用民主派人士
甚至保护他们免受保守派的打压
比如胡耀邦和赵紫阳
并且一直到后来的
八九六四时代都是如此
1986年底
学潮到来
胡耀邦因为支持学潮
在第二年被迫辞职
和邓小平也彻底决裂
可是即使这样
邓小平依然起用了
同为民主派的赵紫阳接替胡耀邦
之后到了89年
赵紫阳因为反对戒严
再次和邓小平决裂
邓小平依然还是没有全面倒向保守派
仍然起用了具有改革倾向的
江泽民来接班
同时还隔代指定了
原团派成员胡锦涛接任江泽民
整个保守派成员
如李鹏邓力群胡乔木
他们在斗倒赵紫阳的过程中
全部出了大力
李鹏更是全程参与主持戒严
搞坦克镇压
可在邓小平的压制下
这些保守派成员
也并没有在六四之后得到高升
我们一谈邓小平的功绩的时候
更多的是把邓小平叫做
改革开放的总设计师
可是我认为
这个说法是不对
对于改革开放到底怎么走
邓小平是设计好了
但是走的一些具体细节
其实邓小平并没有去设计
到江泽民上台之前
这一切都是混乱的
真正每一步怎么走
其实是江泽民的活
邓小平只是确定了方向
确定了什么是改革开放
确定了改革开放是
只改经济不改政治
当然再看历史
在邓小平的那个节点
走上改革开放这条路本身并不困难
我们一般都会有一个误区
那就是因为
邓小平时代比毛泽东时代要好太多了
所以邓小平
就比毛泽东牛逼
并且牛逼非常多
但这个逻辑
其实是有问题的
走上改革开放这条路并不难
邓小平时代的中国
实际上就是需要在
民主集权威权三条道路里面选一条
当然再回到集权时代已经不太可能了
这不是邓小平能决定的
大家不想过毛泽东式的生活
毕竟大家要是想要集权的生活
就轮不到邓小平上台
也没有邓小平啥事
四人帮就去搞了
华国锋就去搞了
而在民主和威权的两条道路里面
邓小平也并没有做出什么惊为天人之举
一举打倒当时的那些权贵官僚阶级
把中国带入民主社会
走上反超韩台的道路
成为中华历史的民族英雄
他只是选择了一条
90%独裁者都会走上的道路
邓小平依然陷入了权力的漩涡
当然邓小平也不是没有突出贡献的
他的核心突出贡献
其实在人事安排上
邓小平一直避免
陈云等保守派老登复辟
在一定程度上
很好地维持了改革开放的前进路线
是他的人事任命把中国坚定地
推到了改革开放的道路之上
这是邓小平最大的贡献
同时邓小平还率先地
提出了废除领导终身制
以防止重蹈毛泽东的覆辙
当然比较讽刺的是
邓小平一直在制度设计上防止中国
再出现一个毛泽东一样的独裁者
一干干一辈子
可是他自己
却是一个终身制的领导人
他自己等于基本上一直干到了死
他人生的最后几年
虽然他已经退居二线
可是到他死之前
他仍然掌握着
一言决定继承人生死的力量
实际上就是个太上皇
除此之外
邓小平虽然在经济政策上
对于毛泽东要像样得多
但是却莫名其妙地在人口问题上
搞出了另一个非常出样的政策
那就是计划生育
这一政策直接导致
中国在2020年还没有成为发达国家之前
却先拥有了
发达国家才能拥有的老龄化程度和人口压力
也算是穿越时空超额完成任务了
而考虑到这些功过是非
邓小平勉强也只能给个人上人
邓小平之后
就轮到了江泽民登场了
说到江泽民
他其实才是
改革开放的真正总设计师
因为不改政治只改经济这一套
具体怎么改那都是江泽民定的
这也是江泽民最大的贡献
当然这并不是说江泽民就很伟大
直接就要给到夯爆了
对于江泽民的评价
我们要先具体看看
江泽民设计出的这个改革开放到底是什么样的
首先在外交上
江泽民确定了中国的
改革开放时期的外交策略
那就是亲西方
从1990年代开始
江泽民就在
一手筹划中国的入世谈判
可以说
入世是中国经济最重要的转折点
但是加入世贸的这个过程
并不是一个非常轻松的过程
最大的阻力
其实还不是我们想象中的美国
不是来自于国外
而是来自于中国国内
来自于国内的那些保守派老登们
以及民粹主义者的无限围剿
在1999年的4月
为了加入世贸
江泽民安排朱镕基亲自访美
和美国进行谈判
结果谈判细节意外流出
当时那个谈判条款
看起来是非常不利于中国的
借此保守派老登开始发力
在媒体上开始大肆炒作
说这是卖国行为
之后恰逢1999年的5月
中国驻南斯拉夫大使馆被炸
舆论接连爆炸
当时举国上下
都陷入了反对加入世贸
一副要和美国佬斗到死的态度
可是江泽民面对这样的压力
依然选择了顶住
坚持要求加入世贸
这一点
其实并不容易
之后到了2001年911事件爆发
江泽民也一反常态
在事件爆发的当晚就致电布什
之后江泽民也在安理会上
无条件支持反恐决议
这一快速的表态
直接扭转了当时的中美关系
如果说1972年尼克松访华之前
中美处于敌对状态
那么1972年到2001年之间
则处于试探状态
而到了2001年之后
在江泽民的努力下
中美关系终于彻底进入了蜜月期
美国在一定程度上
放弃了和中国对抗
中美关系的主旋律
也回到了合作之上
而除此之外
江泽民的另一个突出贡献
那就是对于中国市场经济的大改造
邓小平虽然定下了
只要改经济不改政治的改革开放路线
可是具体经济上怎么搞
过去的国企怎么办
那完全都是一团浆糊
这些其实都是江泽民时期定下来的
1993年公司法通过
1998年证券法通过
1999年合同法通过
这些法律的通过
是彻底把中国由
社会主义改成了资本主义
当然整个改革中还有
三件比较重要的事情
需要单独拿出来说说的
它们分别是分税制改革
福利制度改革以及唯GDP论
1979年改革开放刚开始的时候
中国因为没有想好怎么搞财政体系
所以一开始
中国的财政体系是十分混乱
当时为了刺激地方政府的积极性
中央给的方式
是财政包干制
比如上海1988年
中央一年就给上海
定了105亿元的财政指标
这意味着那一年上海
只要上交105亿元的税收
多出来的部分
就全部是上海自己的
这套财政体系在初期
效果是非常不错的
一定程度上
激励了上海政府的主观能动性
可是这一套体系放在
现代任何一个政府里面
那都是非常离谱的
这是把中国当企业管理呢
各省都成了分公司是吧
中共是总公司是吧
而且就算当公司来看
这种抽成方式也是异常离谱的
其实也没办法
毕竟邓小平时期
就没有搞出一个
现代化的政治体系财政体系
终于到了1993年
这种模式开始扛不动
扛不动的直接原因
是因为地方的财政收入占比太高了
当时地方的财政收入
占比一度来到了近80%
中央只能拿到20%多一点
并且此时的中央
不仅拿得少
还要承担养老国防这些大额支出
支出中央占大头
收入地方占大头
这是个公司都要扛不住了
更别说一个国家了
之后为了解决这个问题
分税制改革就横空出世
1993年底拍板
1994年初实施
当然一开始分税制改革设计出来的目的
非常单纯
就是为了优化央地的财政关系
可是它的实际影响
却非常之大
当然最讽刺的其实是
它实际最大的影响并不是
改变了央地的财政关系
而是造成了
另外两个出乎意料的影响
第一个是分税制改革中
对于当时的关税增值税
企业所得税个人所得税
进行了中央与地方之间的分配
这一分配
实际上确立了中国后来的主要税种
中国的税收体系
实际上是依照分税制改革搭建的
而另一个重大改变
则是分税制改革催生了土地财政
中央在进行分税制改革的时候
非常缺乏远见
也非常没有逻辑
它不仅在税收上
把税收的大头收归了中央
同时还把
主要的责任也划归给了地方
这属于又要马儿跑
又不让马儿吃草
地方一看没辙
那只能努力地降低福利
同时开始开发起了税收之外的收入
这税收之外的收入是什么呢
那就是后来大家都听过的土地财政
而土地财政又催生了什么呢
那就催生了高房价
高房价其实就是
1994年分税制改革直接导致的
而后也因为土地财政的暴涨
地方收入其实也没有减少多少
这也是为什么我说分税制改革
最初的目的反而是根本就没有实现
属于改了个寂寞
之后除了分税制改革
江泽民时期另一个重要的改革
则是中国的福利制度改革
在毛泽东时期
虽然毛泽东根本就没有发展经济
中国的经济
也是一种极度龟速的状态在前进的
但是起码毛泽东在理论上
还是贯彻了共产主义那一套的
也就是中国在医疗教育养老
名义上都还是政府负责的
只是质量到底怎么样呢
那你就别管
到了江泽民时代
市场要开始现代化了
教育医疗养老的
这些责任该怎么办呢
江泽民给出的答案就是没有责任了
除了体制内的公职人员
绝大多数中国人
直接被剔除出了福利保障体系之外
中国的劳工权益也是直接归零了
为了发展
大手一挥
江泽民说这些都不要了
中国人的福利差
劳工权益差
其实并非自古而有之的
而是起源于江泽民
对于改革开放的设计
除此之外
江泽民时期另一个壮举
则是引入了GDP的概念
我们现在一说起
一个国家发展得好不好
第一反应都是
这个国家的GDP增速怎么样
人均GDP怎么样
为了能让大家更好地理解
能更好地和国外进行对比
我在做节目的时候
也是反复引用GDP这个数据
可GDP这个数据
在很多国家
并非是衡量经济水平的唯一标准
比如如果你关心美国的股市
就会发现美国的股市
更容易受到非农数据
也就是失业率
新增就业量这些数据影响
而非是GDP
GDP在中国是如何成为
大家衡量经济好坏的标准
甚至唯一标准呢
那就是因为江泽民
1993年中国正式从苏联式的国民收入
核算机制改换到了GDP核算机制
GDP之后
也成为了中国主要的经济指标
而这还不是最关键的
江泽民真正关键的一步
是把GDP变成了地方官员
晋升的主要考核指标
而地方官员之后为了达成这一目标
赢得GDP竞赛
也就开始搞起了大基建和招商引资
当然从国家层面来看
江泽民时代也突破性地
把中共的合法性和GDP进行了绑定
江泽民提出的三个代表思想里面
就提到了中国共产党要始终
代表先进社会生产力的发展要求
实际上就等于让中共给自己设限
要求自己能保障中国的发展
而这个发展保障得好不好
看的是什么呢
就是GDP增速
当然江泽民在这里也解答了1990年代之后
一直困扰中国人的一个问题
在1989年东欧剧变
1991年苏联解体之后
当时的中国人
思想也就陷入了混乱
中共那是以共产主义建国的
但是到了1990年代之后
所有中国人都知道共产主义
那已经完蛋了
共产主义完蛋之后
到底为什么还是共产党执政
就成了一个需要回答的问题
尤其是共产主义的口碑还在那里了
过去几十年
共产主义基本上
就和贫穷画上等号了
总不能真说是因为
自己有坦克能压人
中国才需要共产党吧
所以为了解决这个问题
江泽民就正式通过了三个代表
把增长带来的绩效合法性
重新树立成了中共的合法性来源
这一改变
算是彻底解决了
发展和中共体制对立的问题
以前还是发展和中共二选一
现在变成了中共等于发展
此时再叠加政治上
江泽民贯彻邓小平的政治不改原则
现代中国
大家印象里的那个中国
基本上就成型了
大家其实看到这里可以想一想
过去几十年
你心中的中国是什么样的呢
那就是经济发展还可以
但是政治完全没有改革
同时社会贪腐横行
福利极差
房价高涨
而这一切的源头
中国能搞成这样子
可以说
都是起源于江泽民时代
这些都是江泽民定下的基调
江泽民搞出的这个
改革开放大家喜欢吗
其实从成绩来说是一般的
江泽民搞的这一套改革开放
在政治学上并不是中国独有的
这是一套标准的威权发展模式
这套最早的开创者
可以追溯到西班牙的独裁者佛朗哥
而在东亚
则可以追溯到朴正熙
同时蒋经国搞的也是这一套
通过GDP增速来换取执政者的合法性
自己这个独裁者才能
带领国家高速发展
甚至江泽民和华莱士
谈笑风生时候说的
中国因为发展太落后
所以暂时不能搞民主
都是1:1复刻朴正熙的威权发展论的
江泽民的三个代表内核
和朴正熙的那一套几乎没有区别
我们同样可以对比东亚的
朴正熙蒋经国江泽民三人
江泽民时期的GDP增速其实并不突出
三者基本上也处于一个同等水平
可是与此同时
江泽民时期的负面效果
反而是最多的
高房价问题
官员贪腐问题
拉垮的福利
这些虽然也都是朴正熙时期
蒋经国时期的通病
可明显江泽民搞得更夸张
所以从结果来看
江泽民对如何执行改革开放
设计得并不是很出色
因此我也只能给江泽民
一个人上人的评价
和邓小平一样
当然我相信很多人
还是会认为江泽民是不错的
这主要也是因为中国人其实没得选
或许他比毛泽东时期好
对于吃一辈子苦的中国人
从未看过光明的中国人来说
就已经足够了
胡锦涛在中国历史上的地位
可以算作一个守成之君
在他上台的时候
其实能改的东西就不多了
邓小平把改革开放
只改经济不改政治的方向定好了
江泽民则是把什么是改革开放
具体该怎么走定好了
那胡锦涛还能改啥呢
当然了也不是胡锦涛任期内什么都没做
胡锦涛任期内主要做了什么呢
他主要任务有两个
一个是给江泽民的政策打打补丁
一个是执行好改革开放
其中第一个任务打补丁
胡锦涛执行得并不好
当然这并不是指胡锦涛的方向不对
胡锦涛的方向并没有出问题
胡锦涛具体怎么打补丁呢
实际上也写在了
胡锦涛的执政方针里面
那就是科学发展观
胡锦涛上来之后
明显觉得江泽民时期那种唯GDP论
只要发展什么都不要的模式
是有些问题
所以胡锦涛上来
就提出了科学发展的理论
为江泽民时期的一些问题
打了很多补丁
这里面第一个补丁
就是废除了农业税
这项延续了2000多年
自战国时期就存在的
专门用来剥削农民的制度
终于在胡锦涛时期被正式废除了
之后在医疗养老教育
劳工权益方面
胡锦涛也都出台了相应的法律
2003年新农合开始试点
2006年义务教育法修订
2007年劳动合同法通过
2009年新型农村社会养老保险
开始试点
江泽民如果说搭建了
改革开放的经济制度税收制度
那胡锦涛则可以说搭建了
改革开放的养老福利体制
胡锦涛在这里
其实是捞了中国经济一把的
中国现在陷入了通缩
很大一部分原因就是
因为福利制度太差了
社会分配不公导致居民没有钱消费
如果胡锦涛当年搭建的
这些基本福利制度都没有
那中国可能就不会是
2023年前后才陷入通缩了
而是大概率在2018年就陷入通缩了
当然了胡锦涛虽然做了这些改变
这些法律
这些政策也在胡锦涛时期都被出台了
但是它们的效果真要说起来
其实也有限
到了今天
中国的劳工权益
医疗养老教育福利仍然极差
胡锦涛任期内还曾试图限制房价
他三令五申地出台了限购令
但是效果
也都是非常之差
这其实也是胡锦涛时期的一个特色
胡锦涛的经济改革策略
从今天的角度来看
都是非常正确的
属于改对了方向
但是执行起来却全都是一塌糊涂
而之所以出现这样的情况
其实也和
胡锦涛时期的政治格局有关
胡锦涛时期
邓小平设置的那套政治模式
被发挥到了极致
九龙治水
也就是集体领导制度正式成型
九个常委那是真的
个个都是真龙
每个人都近乎拥有
和总书记对等的权力
这个时候
政令不出中南海的
胡锦涛想做什么呢
空间其实也就非常有限了
这就导致胡锦涛任期内
他自己尝试推进的一系列政策
效果都非常之差
政令不出中南海
确实不是开玩笑的
当然另一方面
胡锦涛的另一个任务
执行好改革开放
那倒做得非常不错
首先政治上的九龙治水
那确实限制了胡锦涛的发挥
但是九龙治水本身
不也是改革开放的一环吗
是邓小平设计的
他自认为能保证中共
执政100年的终极制度
这样的制度以及干部任期制
在胡锦涛时代都得到了完美的实现
而在经济发展上
这点胡锦涛其实也做得不错
胡锦涛任期内
虽然提出了科学发展观
试图不把GDP增速作为
唯一的考核指标
可是胡锦涛任期内
中国的GDP增速反而却是
整个五代领导人里面最快的
另外胡锦涛任期内的运气
还可以说非常之背
他上台之后就遇到了
中国建国以来一场非常大的自然灾害
汶川大地震
一场非常大的疫情SARS
以及席卷世界的08年金融危机
这些对于当时
政令不出中南海的胡锦涛来说
想要解决那是非常困难
可是胡锦涛依然还是
顺利地解决了这些问题
这些灾难最终
都没有在中国造成非常严重的后果
所以总体来说
作为社会变革者
胡锦涛是非常不及格的
他没有真正地推进改革
但是作为改革开放的执行者来说
胡锦涛却几乎得到了一个满分
尤其是考虑到胡锦涛的执政环境
还远比
江泽民和邓小平时期更加恶劣
所以最后综合看下来
胡锦涛我可以给他一个
人上人到顶级之间的评价
如果当年胡锦涛
能和江泽民颠倒一下执政顺序
其实就好
因为胡锦涛时期的
政策明显更加温和
增速也更快
如果是他来设计
改革开放具体的执行模式
那么平行时空的中国
经济发展得会更好
人民的福利也会更好
但是可惜
历史没有如果
就是江泽民先早于胡锦涛执政的
而胡锦涛之后
我们也就进入了
万众瞩目的习近平时代
在前面四个领导人的故事里面
大家应该能发现
毛泽东的故事和邓江胡的故事
那都不是一个风格
确实
而这主要是因为
他们的任期内的目标不同
侧重点不同
毛泽东时期就没有什么
经济政策可值得聊的
满满都是权力的味道
而到了习近平时代
同样的叙事又倒了回去
习近平又开始玩起了
毛泽东时代玩的那个夺权游戏
习近平上台之后
所有的事情大概归拢起来
都只有一件事情
那就是为了维持自己的权力
只是习近平和毛泽东
维持权力的方式不同
毛泽东是在不断地加强自己的权力
而习近平则是在防止自己权力丧失
那什么会导致习近平的权力丧失呢
其实就只有一个词
那就是民主化
它是一种随时丧失权力的危机感
他自己也反复地在发言里说
中共要有亡党的危机感
这点其实并不能说是习近平的多虑
因为本身从历史来说
改革开放的模式是有尽头的
如果复盘
佛朗哥朴正熙蒋经国的道路
就会发现
这种威权发展模式
在人均GDP来到发达国家门槛时
也就走到了尽头
这些国家在这个阶段
普遍都完成了民主化转型
也顺利在民主化转型之后
成为了发达国家
这可能也是
最早美国对中国的一个期待
不过从规划上来说
这不是习近平要处理的问题
毕竟习近平上台之初
中国的人均GDP只有6000多美元
距当时世界银行划的
高收入国家门槛还差一半
按照正常的设想
共产党要面临这个考验的时间点
是在2022年前后
那时候习近平大概率也就下台了
该是胡锦涛指定的接班人
胡春华来处理这个问题
而非是习近平自己
胡春华上台之后
会怎么处理这个问题呢
依照我对于团派的一贯猜想
大概率
是会顺应时代潮流
进行民主化改革
但这一发展脉络很显然
并不是习近平想要看到
习近平上来之后
就对这一套做了严苛的防守
首先防守第一件事情就是夺权
而夺权的手段
则是反腐
习近平上来之后干的
第一件大事就是反腐
起初反腐刚刚兴起的时候
包括中共高层和广大人民
都没有意识到反腐到底意味着什么
草先很多人
也都是对习近平的反腐拍手叫好
因为腐败问题确实困扰了中国人很久
这点习近平也是对毛泽东有样学样了
习近平的反腐
甚至包括后来打击资本家
其实都是在复刻毛泽东
那一套多数人斗少数人的策略
可是伴随着反腐的继续进行
大家就发现不对劲了
习近平迅速通过反腐实现了大清洗
胡锦涛接班的时候
九个常委中只有一个半属于团派
是胡锦涛派系的人
经过一个任期的发展
到了第二个任期开始
胡锦涛也只是
把九个常委中的两个半换成了自己人
但是到了习近平时代
习近平的进步速度明显要快得多
习近平通过反腐大清洗
在第二个任期内
就控制了常委的绝大多数席位
并且废除了领导人任期制
九龙治水制度瞬间坍塌
干部任期制度也瞬间坍塌
而在坍塌之后
自然也就没有胡春华的事情
邓小平设计的废除终身制
集体领导制度
仅在江泽民身上和胡锦涛身上实现
到了习近平任期内
就直接被习近平改了回去
如果把邓小平去世的1997年
算作集体领导制度的开始
2012年习近平上台算作
这个制度走到尽头
那么这个集体领导制度
实际上在中国也就持续了15年
远比大家想象的要短
而除了中共内部
在外部比如社会管控上
习近平也开始了大刀阔斧的改革
邓江胡时期虽然
一直都维持一定程度的言论管控思想管控
可是整体底线都是一样的
那就是维护邓小平定下的
只改经济不改政治的方针
言论和思想只要不真的
涉及到煽动颠覆中共
那么为了保证市场的活跃性
中共在这一阶段
一般都不会太处理
尤其是在经济和科学层面上
邓小平为了防止经济策略出现问题
影响经济发展
对于经济学家科学家
都保持着比较高的放任度
经济学家和科学家讲话不会被处理
一直是邓江胡时期
属于这些人的特权
可是到了习近平时期
事情就不太一样了
习近平不满足于现状
舆论开始要变得和毛泽东时代一样
习近平不再允许中国人批评中共
而且还要求中国人必须赞扬中共
2013年两高出台司法解释
一个言论转发满500次
就可以按照诽谤罪起诉
因言获罪开始有了
系统性的法律支持
2014年
中央网络安全和信息化领导小组成立
习近平担任组长
2016年党媒被习近平要求姓党
2017年网络安全法施行
网络实名制正式落地
等等等等
在一通法规之下
最终习近平把中国
改造成了现在这个样子
一点点批评
甚至一点点阴阳怪气都不被允许
在社会权力上
因为改革开放带来的巨大财富
过去几十年
资本家的力量开始积聚
甚至隐隐形成了一股
可以挑战中共的力量
而习近平上台之后
也是重拳出击
任志强被查
马云被迫出走海外
资本家的社会地位
社会能量开始一落千丈
属于资本主义的
资本家力量被彻底遏制住了
当然民主自由还有一个最大的支持者
那就是西方
因此在习近平上台之后
为了防止西方输入民主
对外关系上
中西方关系上也开始迅速变差
战狼外交开始成为主流
在俄乌战争中
习近平也是直接站在了俄罗斯一边
这和2001年911之后
江泽民的表态形成了鲜明对比
当然在经济政策方面
习近平也一改
邓江胡时期的自由放任政策
开始大幅度地干预经济
江泽民时期提出的抓大放小
即共产党只负责
一些关乎民生的行业
其他普通行业让渡给市场
开始被废除
一种属于习近平的
新计划经济开始上线
现在中国的产业发展
已经接近于毛泽东时期了
它不再是市场决定要发展什么
而是习近平想要
发展什么就发展什么
他想发展新能源
全国就必须以举国之力发展新能源
他想发展机器人
全国就必须以举国之力发展机器人
这点颇有毛泽东
大搞两弹一星和大炼钢铁的味道
这时候中国的科技创新
也就和毛泽东时代一样了
它不再是一个经济问题科技问题
而是一个政治问题
中国当年搞大跃进
不是因为毛泽东希望通过
大跃进带领中国人致富
而是毛泽东为了和
当时的赫鲁晓夫斗气
证明自己没了苏联
也可以发展得很好
毛泽东搞两弹一星
也不是因为两弹一星有了之后
中国就能提高生产效率
而是为了在极端情况下
能和苏联玉石俱焚
这对于习近平来说也是如此
电动车机器人AI
都不是让中国人致富的工具
而是为了保证自己不被
民主制度推翻的工具
除此之外
政治上还有另一个倒车
那就是习近平开始逐渐
废除了GDP绩效合法性
习近平深知
中国的经济策略即将放缓
为了提前做好防守
他也不再把发展作为
中共执政合法性的来源
而是学起了毛泽东
打出了一股中国烂
但是世界更烂的叙事
前段时间流行的牢A
不就是毛泽东时代美国天天
30%人吃不起饭的2.0版本吗
而在地方上
习近平也不把GDP
作为地方官员晋升的主要考核标准了
而是把对于自己的忠诚
作为晋升的主要考核标准
当然在这一套操作之下
中国的治理能力也开始出现了问题
治理能力逐渐
也退回到了毛泽东时代
习近平虽然权力远大于胡锦涛
可是中国的救灾能力却
出现了大幅度的下降
致死率没有非典严重的新冠
习近平硬是给整出了三年大封城
现在中国的GDP增速
更是一路滑落到了5%
每年新增的债务规模甚至
都超过了同期的GDP增量
其实再看习近平和
邓江胡之间的最大差距
我认为他们的最大差距
其实在自我定位上
习近平执政到现在
主要的目标都不是在维持经济发展
而是在维持自己的统治
这点和毛泽东一样
而之所以会这样
我觉得是因为他们的心态不同
毛泽东和习近平有一个共同点
那就是他们都觉得
中国是自己的私产
这点毛泽东有很正常
而习近平作为一个红二代
也再次拥有了类似于
毛泽东这样的思想
这种把中国视为自己私产的思想
其实在红二代身上非常普遍
你就比如薄瓜瓜
薄瓜瓜在这几年的发言中
也透露出来了这一点
即使薄瓜瓜的父亲薄熙来
已经被习近平干下去了
即使他都已经润到了加拿大
但是他依然非常支持中共
依然对中共的发展有股自豪感
红二代们普遍把自己
视为中国的合法股东
因此维持自己对中国的绝对控制
也成为了他们与生俱来的天职
这种拥有感就决定了
他们和邓江胡时期不同的两种形态
邓江胡自认为自己
不天生地拥有中国
所以为了继续统治
他们努力地去搞好经济
以此来获得合法性
而如果真的
中共统治和中国经济发展产生冲突
我们虽然不确定邓江胡
会做出什么样的选择
是选择中共还是选择中国的发展
但是起码这些人还会犹豫
可到了毛泽东和习近平身上
他们觉得自己统治中国就是应该的
因此他们根本就不会犹豫
维持共产党的统治
维持自己的统治
就是自己的绝对目标
即使经济发展全部爆炸也无所谓
中国人存在的使命
就是给自己当配角
除了自己
中国人皆是NPC
所以对于这种只把自己利益
把追求权力放在第一位的领导人
习近平我也只能给他一个拉完和NPC之间
当然他不是彻底拉完
比毛泽东排名还高一点
并不是因为习近平不够傻逼
而是因为习近平过于傻逼了
他的能力不如毛泽东
搞不了毛泽东那个级别的个人崇拜
所以他的破坏力
终究比毛泽东还是要差一点
说完习近平
这大概就是我心中
中国五代领导人的排名
当然每个观众
可能你自己心中也有自己的一个排名
大家可以把自己的排名发到评论区
不过节目的最后
可能有人会说
你就是在抹黑中共
怎么到你这里
中国的领导人最高也只有个人上人
难道中共连一个顶级和夯都没有吗
我看你就是在抹黑中共
看中国每个领导人都不顺眼
其实中国不是没有夯的领导人
那赵紫阳和胡耀邦
不都算夯的领导人吗
你像赵紫阳
在1989年的5月17日
当时六四风潮已起
邓小平和赵紫阳出现了激烈的对峙
当赵紫阳发现最终无法说服邓小平
邓小平还是要坚持戒严的时候
赵紫阳毅然决然地
依然选择了支持学生
那之后长期处于权力中心的赵紫阳
难道不知道说服不了邓小平
又处于绝对劣势的自己
如果还继续反对戒严
支持学生
将会面临什么吗
面临的必然是
失去总书记的岗位以及失去自己的政治生涯
我们现在扪心自问一下
很多人别说一个总书记的岗位了
给你个市长的岗位
让你明天为了支持民主而丢掉
很多人估计都不愿意
可是赵紫阳呢
赵紫阳知道
自己即使可能会失去总书记的岗位
失去整个政治生涯
如此庞大的权力诱惑
他依然为了民主
为了中国人民
拒绝执行戒严
5月19日的凌晨
他来到广场
对学生说出了那句
我们已经老了
无所谓了
你们还年轻
来日方长
就足以奠定赵紫阳夯的地位
对于胡耀邦来说也是如此
这两个人
都和毛泽东习近平形成了鲜明的对比
这种领导人在中国历史上
绝对可以算是夯爆了领导人
可惜他们即使有总书记的头衔
却也从未真正掌握过权力
中共的体制终究不允许
一个夯爆了的领导人出现
最后感谢大家收看今天节目
我是多伦多方脸
希望大家多多点赞
支持我的视频
这样可以增加YouTube推荐我的权重
我们下期节目再见
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