Market Expects China's Q2 GDP Growth to Slow to 4.2%–4.5%

The market widely expects China's year-on-year GDP growth in the second quarter of 2026 to fall back to 4.2% to 4.5%, while the Bank of China Institute of International Finance has forecast 4.7%.

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一个狠人

2026-09-24 15:20 · 一个狠人发布了新视频：二季度GDP恐跌破4.5%，央行悄悄改口；拉1塊GDP要燒17塊資本，銀行息差只剩1.2%，土地財政五年蒸發三分之二，全民排隊還貸。三季度降息降準不是寬鬆，是工具箱清倉大甩賣。

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This event Market Expects China's Q2 GDP Growth to Slow to 4.2%–4.5% 2026.07 · Reported

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Article · 2026-07-15 14:22 GDP in the second quarter may fall below 4.5%, the central bank quietly changed its tune; it takes 17 units of capital to generate 1 unit of GDP, bank interest margins are only 1.2%, land finance has evaporated two-thirds in five years, and the whole nation is queuing up to repay loans. Interest rate and RRR cuts in the third quarter are not easing, but a clearance sale of the toolbox.

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