Zhai Zhenwu, a demographer at Renmin University of China, published an article opposing the lifting of the two-child policy, claiming that if it were fully lifted immediately, the annual peak of births would reach 49.95 million; in 2017, actual births fell instead of rising, his prediction failed, yet he still serves as president of the China Population Association.
Evidence EVIDENCE
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多伦多方脸
2026-10-25 06:38 · 多伦多方脸 发布视频：方脸说：计划生育的债务正在到期！计划生育，一个荒诞政策的前因丨影响丨后果丨未来！中国人口危机！
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维基百科：三年困难时期
2026-10-25 06:38 · 2012年4月，《人民日报》甘肃分社社长林治波通过新浪微博否认三年困难时期饿死上千万人，引發部分网友激烈抗议。
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维基百科：三年大饥荒
2026-10-25 06:38 · 三年困难时期，又称三年大饥荒、中国大饥荒、三年自然灾害，是指中华人民共和国于1959年—1961年间因为三面红旗运动而发生全国性饥荒的一段时期，也有学者将1958年、1962年划入饥荒时期。
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Context CONTEXT
Cause
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This event
Zhai Zhenwu Published an Article Claiming That a Full Lifting of the Two-Child Policy Would Push the Annual Births Peak to 49.95 Million
2015 · Reported
Effect
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