反反贼网

Messer提出用泊松分布建立足球进球模型

Date1982.01.01

Location国际

Fact statusReported

Importance II ●●●●●

Verification Reported · 1 Sources

学者Messer提出，足球比赛进球可以使用泊松分布进行建模，以估算不同比分的发生概率。

Evidence EVIDENCE

Sources 1 · Archived 0

SourceTypeReliabilityLink

一个狠人

2026-09-24 05:23 · 一个狠人发布了新视频：以為賭球靠運氣？全是被數學收割！硬核拆解莊家泊松分佈與做市對沖，對比國際盤與中國體彩的驚人抽水斷崖。看懂千億賭局底層邏輯，中共的彩票有多坑？超出你的想像，拒絕當韭菜！

Media ●●●●●

Original

Context CONTEXT

Cause Not recorded yet

This event Messer提出用泊松分布建立足球进球模型 1982.01.01 · Reported

Effect Not recorded yet

Coverage of this event COVERAGE

Article · 2026-06-22 01:06 A ruthless guy: Think sports betting relies on luck? It's all harvested by mathematics! A hardcore breakdown of the bookmaker's Poisson distribution and market-making hedging, comparing the astonishing cliff-like rake between international markets and the Chinese sports lottery. Understand the underlying logic of the hundred-billion-dollar gambling game—how predatory is the CCP's lottery? It's beyond your imagination, refuse to be a leek!

Report

Related topics

Chinese Politicstheme

CCP Policytheme

Financial Riskgeneral

Were you there? Submit photos or video over Tor — all shooting-device metadata is stripped by this site before upload. Submit anonymously