Chinese Society Will Inevitably Descend into Chaos After Xi Jinping Falls!

This video discusses the potential social turmoil in China after the downfall of Xi Jinping. The author argues that, unlike when Mao Zedong died, contemporary Chinese society—burdened by high debt, separatist tendencies, and international isolation—is extremely vulnerable to major social chaos if a sudden change occurs in its top leadership. The video analyzes the current state of moral collapse and the brain drain of top talent in Chinese society, citing school security and subway checks as examples of high social tension and insecurity. The author believes that Chinese society will require a long time to recover, and division may be a path toward stability for certain regions. Additionally, the video touches upon Xi Jinping's recent lack of public appearances and predicts that his family will face a reckoning.

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Hello everyone, for our first live stream today, I have been studying a question for some time: after Xi Jinping falls or steps down, will Chinese society—leaving aside the internal politics of the Chinese Communist Party and focusing purely on Chinese society—descend into major chaos? This is a question I have been pondering and discussing with some friends.

Let us look back at the death of Mao Zedong. When Mao died, Chinese society did not experience major turmoil. Do you know why? People in that era actually regarded it as an opportunity. I have always maintained that when Mao died, although the Chinese economy was abysmal, people's desires and mindsets were completely different from those of people today. Back then, you see, people lacked independent thought; they were like a flock of ducks. A herder with a stick was all it took to get all those ducks to follow the baton and obey the directions. In China today, making people behave like that is completely impossible. Look at China today; many different voices have emerged. The first is the voice of division—meaning that across China, many regions and ethnic groups are demanding independence, such as Xinjiang, Tibet, the northeastern region of Manchuria, the Yangtze River Delta in the south, and the Cantonese-speaking regions of southern Guangdong. These voices never existed before. Were there such voices when Mao died? Once Xi Jinping falls and the Chinese Communist Party experiences internal turmoil, these voices will instantly burst forth.

China is a gathering place for diverse cultures, but these diverse cultures are different from those in the United States. The United States uses a federal system. If you look at the various states in the U.S., they actually have different laws and cultures, and they have complete autonomy. Although they all belong to a federation, they have their own laws. For example, regarding issues like guns, many laws and regulations, and social welfare, they are completely different. But China cannot achieve this, so under these circumstances, it is very likely that a split will occur. If you imagine it splitting into pieces, wouldn't this country fall into chaos?

This is the second point. During the Mao era, the common people had no debt; the entire society had no debt. In other words, having enough to eat was a very important condition. People were just like that: living a slightly better life, being able to eat and dress warmly—that was the primary goal of the common people at that time, and they had no other demands. But what has China become now? It has turned into a high-debt society, and this high-debt society drags down entire families, causing people to feel a sense of collapse. So, are the common people going to revolt? Just like me, have you noticed that many people bought houses for four or five million, and even in some county towns, people bought houses for two or three million? After buying them, once housing prices fell, they fell to what? They fell to the point of negative equity. How should this group of people be handled? And this is not an isolated case; it is a widespread phenomenon. This is a very important assessment, meaning that people have now reached the stage of negative equity, so they will seek recourse from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), because none of this was caused by them; the common people have been working very hard for several generations. If these people were in a society ruled by law, in a Western civilized society, they could all live very good lives. They would absolutely not end up in this state of negative equity today. And this state of negative equity is something that harms descendants and will affect several generations. So the common people will not let the CCP go; they will turn around and seek assets from the CCP, demanding the CCP pay its debts. This is the second point.

Third, from an international perspective, when Mao died, when Mao was gone, the West believed this was a major opportunity for the Chinese nation and for the entire Chinese political and social landscape—a huge opportunity. In other words, the West at that time sent a lot of resources to China; it was an act of salvation. They believed that these people, although very naive, thought that economic prosperity could be transformed into political momentum, causing the country's politics to shift completely and gradually turning the country into a free and democratic nation. But this dream has been completely shattered. This is what the common people in China are facing right now. Under these circumstances, the West has completely concluded that if China is in chaos, and if you continue to use this method to solve China's problems, it will eventually continue to produce cycle after cycle. Thirty, fifty, or a hundred years from now, the whole of China will continue to suffer. Now, the West's approach to communism and socialism is surgical. It used to be like traditional Chinese medicine, where it could be slowly adjusted, but everyone knows now that has been abandoned. Now it is surgical, adopting forms like military strikes. Look at Trump now, he is using military strikes. I am not playing with you anymore, and you don't need to isolate yourselves; your isolation and huddling together are causing more and more harm to this world. Under these circumstances, forget it, I will just deal with you directly, solving it through war. So, if internal turmoil occurs within the CCP, it is very likely that Western countries or surrounding countries will carry out military intervention, just like the surgical approach currently used against Iran, or 'whether you change or not, I will help you change.' The entire country will be drawn into war, and at that time, the society will also undergo major changes, which is internal chaos.

So these conditions, I am analyzing these conditions, and of course, everyone hopes that this country can slowly get better. There is another question, what other question is there? I am saying that, after the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) falls, after Xi Jinping falls, if the CCP were to fall, everyone should not imagine that this society will suddenly get better; it absolutely will not. I made a video a couple of days ago, and you need many years to build a truly peaceful society, to build a society that is not a scourge to this world. Because in China right now, faith in China has been completely lost. Under these circumstances, the establishment of faith takes time; it is not like I can just build a few churches or a few temples today and solve the problem—it is absolutely not like that. Building a few temples won't work; it is absolutely not like that. Chinese society has been ruined by the CCP for so many years, and this society has already completely degenerated. In other words, it is like a school, like a city; the whole world is like a big city, and there are good places—what is called a good place is what people in Shanghai call 'shangzi gou' (upper-class dog) or 'xiazi gou' (lower-class dog). If you have students who are 'shangzi gou' in a place that is 'xiazi gou', then it is fine. But now, in this 'xiazi gou' place, there are no 'shangzi gou' people left inside; in other words, these people have almost completely closed off their group. Because for so many years, look at the CCP, I say Chinese society is like a sieve that filters people; the whole society has been in constant turmoil, and after the turmoil, those excellent people have been cast out, and what remains is all dregs. You think about it, the people remaining in Chinese society now, you think about it, they are all these dregs. You have no choice; you go and look in China, you go and look at the state of the entire society and you will know, this state is exactly this. I tell you, this society is just 'nandu nüchuang' (men are thieves and women are prostitutes), I have always used this to describe it. Chinese society is like this; being a bad person is already blatant, absolutely blatant.

So when I am making programs, or when I am interacting and talking with people in the United States, the things I am telling them—many people can listen, they can understand half of it, but the other half they simply cannot understand. They cannot grasp the true meaning of my words at all. Why can't they understand? Because there is a world of difference between them and me; the differences between people are truly vast. I once mentioned that there was a person at my former company, a top-tier manager from overseas. Back in the 90s, our company hired him, and my boss—I wasn't the boss, but my boss—paid him an annual salary of about 2 million HKD to serve as the CEO of one of our branches. 2 million HKD. At that time, an ordinary employee in the mid-90s earned about 20,000 to 30,000 HKD a year. 20,000 to 30,000. An ordinary employee made about 20,000 to 30,000, while one person made 2 million. If you calculate 20,000, an ordinary clerical worker making 20,000 a year meant a monthly salary of a little over 1,000, which was actually considered high. In the mid-90s, the gap was immense. At that time, I was a senior manager at the company, and my salary was also very high, but it didn't reach 2 million HKD. Someone came to ask me—this person was named Alan, I still remember his name, his English name was Alan—he said, "Alan's salary is 2 million, but our ordinary employees here only make about 20,000. That's a 100-fold difference." He asked, "On what basis?" He said, "We Chinese, we like to chat about these things," even though it was a foreign-invested enterprise. I told him then, I said, "You all usually look at things and it seems like people are all about the same, but the difference between people lies in this: for example, if the boss gives you 100 problems to solve, it is very likely that for 90 of them, your answers are exactly the same. You look at a 20,000-salary employee and a 2-million-salary employee, and they seem similar. But among the remaining ten problems, some of their answers are relatively close, or even completely opposite; their conclusions are diametrically opposed." I said that the huge difference between people actually lies in those ten problems. So, you see, everyone eats three meals a day, everyone has the same hands and feet, everyone is healthy, and when they play, they are all fine. Many people have thoughts, and some even think, "I could do what Alan does, I could make the decisions Alan makes." But those other ten, or even five, or even just one or two problems, determine the massive difference between people. This is to say, when we interact with people in daily life, don't look at how similar people seem; when you encounter critical issues, everything becomes completely opposite, completely different. This is Chinese society.

So when we look at Chinese society now, it may look very calm on the surface, but the differences are huge. If you live in a civilized society and go there just for tourism, you only see the surface things. But if you have lived there for a few years and then go back to live in China, you simply cannot get used to it; you will find that the entire Chinese society is completely a world where black and white are inverted. As for the people, as long as you truly understand Chinese people, you will know that the hearts of many Chinese people are very malicious—malicious hearts and impoverished fates. There used to be a common saying in China about people being malicious and impoverished; everyone's inner self is extremely barbaric, extremely barbaric. Once something happens, let me give an analogy first: in a normal society, if my family encounters an emergency or a major upheaval—the whole society or the whole family encounters a huge upheaval—you can experience this in Shanghai. During the Cultural Revolution, many people from such high-quality families—Shanghainese are very sensitive—after these high-quality families were overthrown and driven into slums, their families, their heritage, and their children would absolutely never do bad things. They would strictly adhere to their moral bottom line and human bottom line, and would even constantly strive to make progress, even when the society no longer had any opportunities, just like back in the Cultural Revolution. Look at 1977 and 1978, after the resumption of the gaokao (college entrance exam). Do you know who the people admitted to Tsinghua University were? Almost all of them were the children of the “freaks and monsters” (class enemies) who had been overthrown by the Chinese Communist Party; the vast majority were these people. Once they had the opportunity, they climbed right back up. What I am talking about is the truth; many people from that era can understand this, they can all understand it. But those people from trash families—the ones shouting "we want to turn things around for three generations"—when that time came, those people had no bottom line in life, committing bad deeds and acting despicably. They didn't care about their parents, and they didn't care about anything, letting you do whatever you want. Back then, those people also had many children and just handed them off to society, not caring where their kids went or if they ended up in labor reform camps. Families like this often turned out this way, becoming bad people and evil people, becoming bad people and evil people. This is the difference.

So I say that human civilization needs time. As for China as a country and a society, looking at the current society, just think about it—the good people are all running outward, you know. Let me tell you all again, I started working around the late 1980s. Among the people I am familiar with, among Shanghainese or Chinese people, because I've also traveled to many places in China, you know what the whole process has been? The whole process has consistently been one of China's outstanding talents fleeing. Some people couldn't escape because of a burst of patriotic enthusiasm to love this country and society; others couldn't escape because their parents were elderly. In the end, with no other choice, they still headed outward. In other words, from 1949 to the present day, people shouldn't think that massive escapes only happened back then, like the massive escapes in the 1950s, the massive escapes in the 1960s, or the massive escapes during the Great Famine. In fact, people have always been running away quietly, running away quietly. Running away quietly comes in two types: one is economic—when China's economy is bad, people run outward. And what is the other kind? The other kind is realization—economically everyone is... well, politically, due to political reasons, you simply cannot stay in this place. In other words, parents—look at how many years China has had since the reform and opening up; normal families often act like this: 'Children, you study hard, I'll provide the money. I'll find a way to make money, and find a way to send you abroad. You study abroad.' Everyone shares this awareness, and some even warn, 'You must not come back.' If you go back now, and look at those people who did go back, the so-called people who returned are often those who couldn't make it in overseas society. You couldn't make it, so you went back. Therefore, look at those doing media now, doing self-media, or those people returning—they are often relatively basic, bottom-layer people in Western society. Over there, I earned some money, just like many people from Fujian who smuggled themselves over through hard labor, doing hard labor to earn that money. 'Oh, I'll find a way to send some back.' If you can't make money in that place, earning a monthly wage of two or three thousand yuan—several hundred US dollars in RMB—you can earn a few thousand US dollars more in this place [abroad], right? In this... I know some people, I know some people in the US whom everyone is familiar with. Some people work in restaurants, making four or five thousand or three thousand dollars a month. Living frugally, they manage to save some money. Working in a restaurant, for example, working in the back kitchen, you can earn about four thousand dollars a month. With accommodation provided free by the boss, and food... adding everything up, their total monthly expenses—they don't even own cars, they just stay in one place—five hundred to a thousand dollars a month is enough. Then three thousand dollars is left to save. They save three thousand US dollars, and every month they wire it home to their families. After saving up like that, working for eight or ten years, they go back. People like that exist too. But those with genuine thoughts and true abilities—these people are unwilling to return to China, unwilling to return to China.

You need to understand the current state of China. Look at how far things have gone. If you go to elementary schools when students are being dismissed—I've seen this in Shanghai and other cities—you'll see a large number of police blocking off the roads, and many security guards standing there holding forks. Do you know what they are afraid of? They are afraid of attacks. They are afraid that someone will target these innocent children. The society has become so twisted that many people, in order to take revenge on society, take knives or drive vehicles to ram into these children. There are many, many such incidents. From this alone, you can see the reality. Look at any major or medium-sized city in China; at these schools, from kindergartens to elementary schools, there are almost always security guards waiting there, just to prevent these vicious social incidents. And such incidents are very frequent. Just think about how terrifying this society is. Where else do you see things like this? Look at the subways; you have to go through security checks. If you didn't, what if someone poured banana oil or gasoline and lit it? The entire carriage would go up in flames. Do you see this in other countries? Look at Japan; they don't have this. Look at the New York subway; they don't have such things either. So, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is like this; the CCP has no choice but to use this high-pressure approach. This society is like a powder keg. Do you think anyone wants to stay in this country? Don't think that once the CCP falls, this society will immediately get better. No, for this society to get better, it will take hundreds or even thousands of years. So everyone, this is a true reflection of the entire Chinese society. Therefore, after the CCP falls, it is very likely that the society will continue to be in great chaos. Of course, after a certain period of chaos, perhaps the entire society will undergo fragmentation, and China will gradually, slowly, eventually become something else. For example, after splitting up, some relatively better places will start to improve, but they will protect themselves in the form of a state, cutting ties with those other chaotic areas. So I still support these groups; there are many groups like this, and their idea is that they hope this country can split up. A smaller country is relatively easier to manage, while a large country is harder. So China is a chaotic entity. Everyone should not expect it to get better all at once, but after the CCP falls, it will definitely get better slowly. It's like water flowing down from a plateau; let it flow naturally, let it go wherever it wants to go. Don't build a dam here or there. The CCP is just building dams here and there, and in the end, the entire water system no longer flows in a natural way. Eventually, all these dams become a disaster, a hidden danger of disaster. The hidden danger of disaster—that is exactly what the CCP is.

Alright, I'll stop here for today's topic. Now, Xi Jinping has not appeared for four consecutive days, a full four days, 96 hours. Now, all of Xi Jinping's—and it really is the strange phenomenon I mentioned yesterday, everything is a strange phenomenon now. Xi Jinping only... what about Xi Jinping? Xi Jinping sends congratulations; these are all empty things. But because Xi Jinping has not appeared, and his name is not appearing in the CCP media, everyone is guessing: what could have happened to Xi Jinping? So the news these past two days is all about this gimmick—we should call it a gimmick—it's very contrived, forcing Xi Jinping's name to be written on it: "Xi Jinping sends a message of condolence," "Xi Jinping does this." Also, has everyone noticed another thing these past two days? Not only has Xi Jinping not appeared, but Cai Qi hasn't appeared either. In other words, Xi Jinping and Cai Qi have been together the whole time, they haven't separated. I estimate that Xi Jinping's illness is still quite serious, quite serious indeed. And if he were to come to the United States and something like this happened again, then that would be a huge deal. That would be a huge deal. The current CCP is a powder keg. If Xi Jinping has a problem, it is very likely that various factions will immediately clash.

Alright, everyone, let's wait. Wait for the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to fall, wait for Xi Jinping to fall, wait for Xi Jinping to step down. I estimate that this so-called 'Xi family dream' of his is something he cannot achieve; he is already unable to achieve it. There is one more thing I can be certain of: Xi Jinping and his entire family will be completely liquidated by his successor. His entire family will not be able to escape; they will be completely liquidated. All the sanctions on his assets overseas will be revoked. Over three trillion US dollars—more than three trillion—China has lost over three trillion US dollars in foreign exchange reserves. If this sum were to return, the national strength would increase significantly, the national treasury would be replenished, and the lives of the common people would be relatively better. Alright, thank you all for watching.