Mid-August is the third highest liquidity pressure point in the second half of the year - Chronicle

In mid-August, the duration supply for refinancing payments reached its peak, predicted to be the third highest liquidity pressure point in the second half of the year.

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一个狠人

2026-09-23 06:33 · 一个狠人发布了新视频：九成人都在猜美股漲跌，可方向本就是隨機漫步。我換個思路：不猜方向，只測它抗不抗揍。結果特別反直覺——壓力爆表平均根本不跌，大跌概率卻翻倍。現在緩衝偏厚、AI擁擠度94分位，九月最兇

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This event Mid-August is the third highest liquidity pressure point in the second half of the year 2026.08.01 · Verified

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Article · 2026-06-22 03:07 A ruthless person: 90% of people guess whether US stocks will rise or fall, but the direction is a random walk. I changed my thinking: I don't guess the direction, I only test if it can withstand a beating. The result is particularly counterintuitive - it doesn't fall on average under extreme pressure, but the probability of a big drop doubles. Now the buffer is thick, AI crowding is at the 94th percentile, and September is the most ferocious.

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