没筹码的妥协，只会让敌人发笑｜反共运动现实主义回应万润南“四点原则”

Compromise without leverage only makes your enemy laugh.

我想对万润南先生发表的“未来四点基本原则”说点不同看法。

I would like to offer a different perspective on Mr. Wan Runnan’s “Four Fundamental Principles for the Future.”

这四点珠圆玉润，可能比较合想走高层文明路线的绅士小姐们的口味，比如：“要妥协，别把对手逼到死角”……对此，我就想轻轻的问一个问题：你们拿什么去妥协？？？

These four points are polished and elegant—likely more appealing to gentlemen and ladies who favor a path of high-level civility. For instance, one states: “We must compromise, don’t corner your opponent.” To that, I would like to gently ask: What exactly do you have to compromise with?

[caption id="attachment_2385" align="alignnone" width="198"] 大学生已经把中共逼到了角落[/caption]

你们是兵锋所指兵临城下了？还是发起席卷全国的浩荡运动了？还是手握别的什么让党国领袖们夜不能寐坐卧不安的筹码了？还是说……仅仅想靠网上的文章与节目？

Are your forces pressing at the gates? Have you launched a sweeping national movement? Do you hold any leverage that would cause the Party-state leaders to lose sleep in fear? Or is it… just some online articles and videos?

我不用虚构就可以直接告诉诸君：若把要给中共留余地，永远别把他们逼到死角这些话拿给国保的警官们看，估计他们都要笑了。

I don’t need to exaggerate—I can tell you plainly: if you show lines like “we must leave the CCP room to retreat, never corner them” to state security officers, they’d probably laugh out loud.

[caption id="attachment_2387" align="alignleft" width="225"] 大学生已经把中共逼到了角落[/caption]

文明的漂亮话，很多人都会说，但真要落实到现实政治中，我们就必须分清轻重缓急，搞明白每个阶段特别是当下阶段的工作重心是什么？

Many know how to say the right things in the name of civility. But when it comes to real-world politics, we must understand priorities—what matters most at each stage, especially the current one.

现在是谁把谁往墙角逼？现在的问题是大家不愿妥协不够温和吗？还是说——根本连足够的施压都没有，连坐下来妥协的资格都没有？

Who’s cornering whom right now? Is the issue really that we are too unyielding, too harsh? Or rather—have we not even applied enough pressure to deserve a seat at the negotiating table?

要打牌得先上桌，请诸君务必清醒意识到民主反共运动的处境：还没形成成熟反对阵营的现在，离真正上桌还很远，目前及未来很长一个阶段，工作重心都在于制造并施加足够的压力，而非手无筹码却空谈妥协。

To play the game, you must first have a seat at the table. I urge you to remain sober-minded about the current state of the pro-democracy, anti-CCP movement: we haven’t yet built a mature opposition force. We’re still far from that table. In this phase, and likely for a long time to come, our primary task is to build and exert sufficient pressure—not to talk compromise when we hold no chips.

至于其它三点，什么体面的退场机制、可信的中介沟通机制、保持模糊空间……总结起来其实就一点：照顾好中共情绪，让其体面退场退休。

As for the other three principles—such as providing a dignified exit mechanism, trusted intermediaries for dialogue, and maintaining ambiguity—they can all be boiled down to one core idea: protect the CCP’s feelings and let them retire gracefully.

这些其实无需单独作为原则来强调。反对阵营足够成熟时，肯定会有自己广泛的沟通网络，无论是公开的还是秘密的，台面的还是私下的，直接的还是间接的（借第三方中介的）……根本无需担心沟通问题。

These don’t need to be formalized as guiding principles. Once the opposition matures, it will naturally develop extensive communication networks—public and secret, official and informal, direct and via third parties. Dialogue won’t be a problem then.

届时也自然会有成熟的政治家去谈退场谈妥协，该模糊就模糊，该强硬也必须强硬。

At that point, seasoned political actors will naturally emerge to negotiate exits and compromises. They’ll know when to be ambiguous—and when to be unyielding.

如果能少流血，让中共体面退场，我当然是支持的，别说退场，它就是改个名字留在舞台上搞两党制，我也建议别把门关死。

If a less bloody outcome allows the CCP to exit gracefully, of course I support it. In fact, even if they merely rebrand themselves and stay on stage as part of a two-party system, I’d advise not to slam the door on that possibility.

而比大多数人更进一步的是，我愿意给予原来镇压异议人士的前安全系统人员以特赦及其它的温和处理，要知道很多饱受其苦的异议人士恨不得啖其肉喝其血。

I go even further than most: I’m willing to grant pardons and lenient treatment to former security agents who once suppressed dissent—despite how many victims of theirs would gladly tear them apart given the chance.

为什么？因为我知道要取得胜利，就必须要争取前体制内群体，包括军队出来的，也包括安全系统内让人忌惮的特务们，没有这些系统里出来的人帮忙，对付中共是不可能成功的，这话可以放在这儿。

Why? Because I know that to truly win, we must win over people from inside the system—including those from the military, and even the feared agents from the security apparatus. Without defections from those systems, it is impossible to bring down the CCP. Mark my words.

秘密系统这个群体里当然有人与我有联系，事实上，他们中很多人都在观察我的情况和遭遇，这一点自是令党国十分不快。

Of course, some within the secret system are already in contact with me. In fact, many of them are closely watching my situation and what happens to me—and this clearly makes the Party-state uncomfortable.

原因也很简单，他们中许多人都干了不少坏事，而我作为一个保护了目标的双面谍，几乎是他们中最干净的存在，如果连我都团结不了，你就别幻想争取他们了，他们肯定不会来支持你。

The reason is simple: many of them have done terrible things. But as someone who protected a target from within—a double agent—I am arguably the “cleanest” among them. If even I cannot be united with, don’t dream about winning them over. They will not come to your side.

温和圆润的倡议，对于一贯强调中庸之道的华人而言，自然更易被接受，但却也因此易落入泛泛而谈的漩涡，坐而论却不愿起而行，而即便是接受，更多的也是流于装点的表面，实则各种嫉妒、诋毁、构陷、阴阳怪气……哪有半点妥协的气度？

Mild and polished proposals do appeal to Chinese audiences raised on the virtue of moderation. But precisely because of that, they often descend into vague platitudes—lots of talk, no action. And even when such proposals are accepted, it’s often just for show. Beneath the surface lie jealousy, defamation, sabotage, passive aggression... Is that what you call a spirit of compromise?

真正成熟的反对阵营，能够事分轻重缓急，明白什么阶段该作什么事。该旗帜鲜明决不妥协时，就决不妥协比石头还强硬；该认清局势适时妥协时，就及时妥协比杨柳还柔软；而到了该放下过往实现和解时，即便周围人仍在喊打喊杀，你收刀入鞘的动作也要和当初拔刀时一样坚毅果决。

A truly mature opposition knows how to prioritize and act accordingly at each stage.

When it’s time to be unyielding, be firmer than stone.

When the moment calls for flexibility, bend like the willow.

And when the time comes to lay down old grudges and reconcile, even if others still shout for vengeance, you must sheath your sword with the same conviction with which you once drew it.

建立民主宪政，开创一个自由的新国家，乃移山填海千秋之业，每一个投入其中的你，可以问问自己和你身后的运动：你们到底有没有开国的那个器量和气象？

Building a democratic constitutional republic—founding a free new nation—is a task as vast as moving mountains and reshaping oceans.

If you are committed to this cause, ask yourself, and ask the movement behind you:

Do you truly possess the stature and vision worthy of founding a nation?