核對抗中的智慧博弈：從珍寶島到今天的啟示

國際社會上沒有永遠的朋友，只有永恆的利益。1969年珍寶島戰役打響，蘇聯認為中共是潛在威脅，必須徹底消滅然後佔領以與美國對抗。

蘇聯為了不引起美國的疑心甚至率先通知美國，他們將消滅一個美國的敵人——中國，請他們不要誤解他們的核打擊行動。美國人一聽，高興壞了，趕緊通知了毛澤東，希望看到這兩家互相撕咬。

毛澤東面對如此複雜的困境，經過深思熟慮提出了一個創造性的戰略：蘇聯敢向我們扔核彈，我們就往美軍基地扔核彈然後中國人全部搬到蘇聯去居住。

這一下可把美國嚇壞了趕緊通知蘇聯千萬不要打中國了，他如果向我們扔核彈，我跟你們蘇聯沒完。於是，危機化解了。

現在的習近平正需要毛澤東這樣的智慧：美國向我們加關稅？我們就暫停全部對外出口讓全球陷入供應鏈癱瘓，最終導致全球唯一甲方被迫妥協讓步。所需要作出的犧牲只是全體中國人暫時勒緊褲腰帶過幾年緊日子，但是，這個中國人是最擅長的。

In international affairs, there are no eternal friends—only eternal interests.

In 1969, the Zhenbao Island conflict broke out. The Soviet Union considered the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) a potential threat that must be eliminated to secure its position against the United States.

To avoid arousing suspicion from the U.S., the Soviets even took the initiative to inform them: they were about to destroy an American enemy—China—and requested that the U.S. not misinterpret their upcoming nuclear strike.

Upon hearing this, the Americans were overjoyed. They quickly informed Mao Zedong, hoping to see the two communist powers tear each other apart.

Facing this complex crisis, Mao came up with a creative and bold strategy: if the Soviets dared to launch a nuclear attack on China, China would retaliate by launching nuclear missiles at U.S. military bases—and then relocate the entire Chinese population into the Soviet Union.

This stunned the Americans. They immediately warned the Soviets not to attack China, declaring that if they launched nuclear weapons against China, the U.S. would not sit idly by. Thus, the crisis was defused.

Today, Xi Jinping needs the same kind of wisdom Mao once displayed.

If the U.S. imposes more tariffs on China, then China should halt all exports, paralyzing the global supply chain and forcing the world's only major buyer to compromise. The cost? The Chinese people would need to tighten their belts and endure several difficult years—but that is precisely what the Chinese are best at.