核对抗中的智慧博弈：从珍宝岛到今天的启示

国际社会上没有永远的朋友，只有永恒的利益。1969年珍宝岛战役打响，苏联认为中共是潜在威胁，必须彻底消灭然后占领以与美国对抗。

苏联为了不引起美国的疑心甚至率先通知美国，他们将消灭一个美国的敌人——中国，请他们不要误解他们的核打击行动。美国人一听，高兴坏了，赶紧通知了毛泽东，希望看到这两家互相撕咬。

毛泽东面对如此复杂的困境，经过深思熟虑提出了一个创造性的战略：苏联敢向我们扔核弹，我们就往美军基地扔核弹然后中国人全部搬到苏联去居住。

这一下可把美国吓坏了赶紧通知苏联千万不要打中国了，他如果向我们扔核弹，我跟你们苏联没完。于是，危机化解了。

现在的习近平正需要毛泽东这样的智慧：美国向我们加关税？我们就暂停全部对外出口让全球陷入供应链瘫痪，最终导致全球唯一甲方被迫妥协让步。所需要作出的牺牲只是全体中国人暂时勒紧裤腰带过几年紧日子，但是，这个中国人是最擅长的。

In international affairs, there are no eternal friends—only eternal interests.

In 1969, the Zhenbao Island conflict broke out. The Soviet Union considered the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) a potential threat that must be eliminated to secure its position against the United States.

To avoid arousing suspicion from the U.S., the Soviets even took the initiative to inform them: they were about to destroy an American enemy—China—and requested that the U.S. not misinterpret their upcoming nuclear strike.

Upon hearing this, the Americans were overjoyed. They quickly informed Mao Zedong, hoping to see the two communist powers tear each other apart.

Facing this complex crisis, Mao came up with a creative and bold strategy: if the Soviets dared to launch a nuclear attack on China, China would retaliate by launching nuclear missiles at U.S. military bases—and then relocate the entire Chinese population into the Soviet Union.

This stunned the Americans. They immediately warned the Soviets not to attack China, declaring that if they launched nuclear weapons against China, the U.S. would not sit idly by. Thus, the crisis was defused.

Today, Xi Jinping needs the same kind of wisdom Mao once displayed.

If the U.S. imposes more tariffs on China, then China should halt all exports, paralyzing the global supply chain and forcing the world's only major buyer to compromise. The cost? The Chinese people would need to tighten their belts and endure several difficult years—but that is precisely what the Chinese are best at.