俄烏戰爭與美國道義危機：川普的錯誤抉擇

各位反賊朋友，如大家所見，川普在俄烏問題上的一系列表述和動作遭到了反賊網的持續批判。

這些批評可能是轉發其他批評的內容，或者自己釋出批評的內容。

我們批判的最根本原因是因為川普的所作所為失去了道義——道德和正義。

記得在川普剛上臺前和剛上臺後，我和一位美國左派進行了一場圍繞川普的爭論。他試圖讓我相信川普不是一個適合做美國總統的人。

他說，他是個獨裁者。

我笑了，我說，我是中國人，還有比我們更瞭解獨裁者什麼樣的麼？川普離獨裁者還差得遠呢。

我支援川普當選，因為我對民主黨在對待中共上的作為不滿意，我希望美國對中共進行更有力的打擊。我覺得川普這個人最起碼是個神智清醒，能夠正常行動和表達的人。而且，他所宣傳的將對中國進口商品加大關稅和讓製造業迴歸美國是對中共很有效的打擊策略。

他告訴我川普是個強姦犯，玩過很多女人，我說，我不在乎他操過幾個女人，他只要能打擊中共，我就支援他。

沒錯，我對川普寄予厚望，希望他能夠狠狠的打擊中共，為此還在X上於不少反共人士吵翻了。

我始終站在一箇中國人的立場、一箇中國異議人士的立場去思考問題。只要能打擊中共，我根本不在乎他在美國國內怎麼折騰。

我極度反感馬斯克，因為馬斯克不僅將工廠建在中國，還與中國政府有深度的利益交換，之前說過很多，這裡就不多說了。

即便是這樣，我也忍了。

但是，現在真的不能忍了，在俄烏問題上，川普的言行已經到了令人髮指的程度。

1.美國有沒有義務在烏克蘭受到侵略的時候保護烏克蘭？

蘇聯解體後，烏克蘭繼承了大量核武器，成為僅次於美國和俄羅斯的世界第三大核武國家。為確保全球核不擴散，美國等國希望烏克蘭放棄核武器，並給予安全保障。1994年12月5日，烏克蘭、俄羅斯、美國、英國在匈牙利布達佩斯簽署《布達佩斯安全保障備忘錄》。作為烏克蘭放棄核武器、加入《不擴散核武器條約》（NPT）的交換條件，美國、英國和俄羅斯向烏克蘭提供安全保障，承諾：

• 尊重烏克蘭的獨立、主權和現有邊界；

• 不對烏克蘭使用武力或威脅使用武力；

• 不對烏克蘭施加經濟壓力，以影響其政策；

• 如果烏克蘭受到侵略，簽署國應立即向聯合國安理會尋求行動；

• 不使用核武器攻擊烏克蘭，除非遭到該國核攻擊。

很明顯，俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭違反了在《布達佩斯安全保障備忘錄》中的承諾。川普政府試圖強迫烏克蘭簽訂稀土礦開發協議換取美國繼續支援烏克蘭也違反了“不對烏克蘭施加經濟壓力，以影響其政策”的承諾。“簽署國應立即向聯合國安理會尋求行動”到了川普政府這裡卻變成“聯合國大會支援譴責俄羅斯入侵決議 美國投反對票”。

《布達佩斯備忘錄》不是一項具有法律約束力的正式軍事同盟條約，因此不等同於北約的集體防禦義務（如《北約華盛頓條約》第五條），但依舊在政治和道義上有責任支援烏克蘭抵禦侵略。承諾本身就是一種約束，如果承諾可以隨意被違反，被放棄，被推翻，那這個世界的信用將蕩然無存。美國在當今世界之中的地位也完全建立在其長久以來積累的國際信用之上。

川普經常說：“我果當時我是總統，這場戰爭不會發生。”真的是這樣麼？我不知道，但是有一點我知道，如果當初烏克蘭不放棄核武器，現在這場戰爭就一定不會發生。從這一點來說，究竟是誰引發這場了戰爭？

2.川普指責烏克蘭發動戰爭，澤連斯基是獨裁者。

這是赤裸裸的顛倒黑白。俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭這是無可爭議的事實。烏克蘭人民正在進行的是一場完全正義的反侵略戰爭，川普想在這個問題上做文章攪混水，必然是搬起石頭砸自己的腳。更可惡的是，後來川普在採訪中又說：“我說過這樣的話麼？我不敢相信我說過這樣的話。”對，他們在全世界媒體面前當眾羞辱澤連斯基，嘲笑他不穿西裝，逼迫他向美國說謝謝。可是他自己對汙衊澤連斯基和烏克蘭人民這樣嚴重的錯誤卻絕不說一聲“對不起”——即便，事實是，澤連斯基此前多次在社交媒體上表達對美國的謝意。

3.得道多助，失道寡助。

我有一個基本的判斷，就是，如果雙方沒有任何盟友的援助，純粹的1V1熱戰，美國並不能戰勝中共國。因為美國的製造能力已經大不如中共國了。這也是為什麼我支援川普當選的一個重要原因，因為他試圖讓製造業回流美國。因為真正的大國戰爭到最後一定是拼補給能力，人力的補給，彈藥的補給，各種物資和後勤的補給。

基於這樣的判斷，我認為，如果川普繼續在烏克蘭問題上搞這種讓美國離心離德的操作，必將會導致美國眾叛親離。輕則與傳統盟友關係不恰，互相指責，互相加稅。重則引發全球新一輪核軍備競賽，全球陷入核擴散的危機中。

https://twitter.com/fanzei_net/status/1895948782468284657

最重要的是，這給了中共可乘之機。中共一直謀求在國際社會更多的話語權，向全球推廣其集權主義治理體系，以及用人民幣替代美元的國際貨幣地位。

4.為什麼美元能夠全球合理化擼羊毛？

美國透過美元擼全世界羊毛這個事情到了現在必須要提了，之前不提是因為美國還在擔負著維護國際秩序和正義的角色，這才讓你透過美元擼羊毛合法化。如果你不去承擔維護世界秩序和正義的責任，那美元也就沒有資格繼續佔據世界貨幣的位置（國際儲蓄貨幣和主要國際貿易貨幣）。而事實上，中共積極推進的新絲綢之路就是為了推廣人民幣，顛覆美元的地位。世界之所以不認人民幣，就是因為中共的所作所為不得世界人民的心，不正義。如果美國也失去世界人民的心，不再站在正義一邊，那剛好給了人民幣機會。如果美元失去國際貨幣的地位，那美國將會徹底衰落，東昇西降將成為現實。我們也再也不用幻想美國打壓中共的事情了。到那時，只有中共拿捏美國的份了。

5.反共反的是什麼？

說到底，我們反共反的是什麼？反的是集權專制，獨裁者。我們相信民主自由，相信正義必然戰勝邪惡。所以我們支援美國，把美國喚作燈塔，相信美國在引領著世界的民主、自由、正義的力量。如果美國變成了集權國家，美國總統變成了獨裁者，美國不再維護世界的公平正義反而是破壞世界的公平正義，那麼我們還有必要繼續支援美國麼？那跟支援另一箇中共有什麼區別？

我們反專制反獨裁，推崇自由民主，為的是讓更多的人過上更好的生活，能更加享受到的過完這一生，而不是在奴役中過完這一生。

我們肯定是反戰的，但是自由並不是免費的。他是需要付出血與淚的。獨裁者從來不會自己結束自己，而獨裁者的興奮劑就是被欺壓者的低頭與退讓。

[caption id="attachment_2073" align="alignnone" width="300"] 跪地與退讓是獨裁者的興奮劑[/caption]

烏克蘭人民的英勇抵抗，不只是在捍衛烏克蘭人民自己的領土與尊嚴，更是在捍衛全世界的正義信仰。

所以，如果你認為自己是真的反共，真的反獨裁，就應該支援烏克蘭人民的反侵略鬥爭，批評川普在烏克蘭問題上顛倒黑白的言行。

烏克蘭人民必勝，正義必勝。

As everyone can see, Trump’s statements and actions regarding the Russia-Ukraine issue have faced continuous criticism from the anti-communist community.

These criticisms may come from sharing opinions of others or from personal critiques.

The fundamental reason for our criticism is that Trump’s actions have lost their moral and ethical legitimacy.

Before Trump took office, and shortly after he did, I had a debate with an American leftist about him. He tried to convince me that Trump was unfit to be the President of the United States.

He said Trump was a dictator.

I laughed and said, "I’m Chinese. Who understands dictators better than we do? Trump is far from being a dictator."

I supported Trump's election because I was dissatisfied with the Democratic Party’s approach to dealing with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). I hoped the U.S. would take stronger actions against the CCP. I believed that, at the very least, Trump was a clear-headed individual who could act and speak normally. Furthermore, his proposed policies of imposing tariffs on Chinese imports and bringing manufacturing back to the U.S. were effective strategies against the CCP.

He told me that Trump was a rapist and had been with many women. I said, "I don’t care how many women he has slept with. As long as he fights against the CCP, I support him."

Indeed, I had high hopes for Trump to strike hard against the CCP. For this, I even had numerous arguments with other anti-communist individuals on X.

I have always considered these issues from the standpoint of a Chinese dissident. As long as he fights the CCP, I don’t care what he does domestically in the U.S.

I despise Elon Musk because he not only built factories in China but also has deep exchanges of interests with the Chinese government. I have spoken about this many times before, so I will not elaborate here.

Even so, I tolerated it.

But now, I can no longer endure it. Trump’s statements and actions regarding the Russia-Ukraine war have become outrageous.

1. Does the U.S. have an obligation to protect Ukraine when it is invaded?

After the Soviet Union collapsed, Ukraine inherited a large nuclear arsenal, making it the third-largest nuclear power after the U.S. and Russia. To ensure global nuclear non-proliferation, countries like the U.S. urged Ukraine to relinquish its nuclear weapons in exchange for security guarantees.

On December 5, 1994, Ukraine, Russia, the U.S., and the U.K. signed the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances in Hungary. In return for Ukraine giving up its nuclear weapons and joining the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), the U.S., the U.K., and Russia pledged:

To respect Ukraine’s independence, sovereignty, and existing borders;

Not to use force or threaten to use force against Ukraine;

Not to impose economic pressure to influence Ukraine’s policies;

If Ukraine were attacked, the signatories would seek action through the UN Security Council;

Not to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine unless Ukraine itself launched a nuclear attack.

Clearly, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine violates its commitments under the Budapest Memorandum. The Trump administration’s attempt to force Ukraine into a rare earth mining agreement in exchange for continued U.S. support also violates the commitment not to impose economic pressure on Ukraine. Moreover, instead of seeking UN Security Council action, the Trump administration voted against a UN General Assembly resolution condemning Russia’s invasion.

The Budapest Memorandum is not a formal military alliance treaty with legally binding obligations like NATO’s Article 5. However, it still carries political and moral responsibilities to support Ukraine against aggression. A promise itself is a form of obligation. If promises can be broken at will, global trust will collapse, and the U.S.'s position in the world, built on its long-standing international credibility, will be destroyed.

Trump often says, "If I were president at the time, this war would not have happened." Is that really the case? I don't know. But one thing I do know is that if Ukraine had not given up its nuclear weapons, this war would definitely not have happened. From this perspective, who truly caused this war?

1. Trump blames Ukraine for the war and calls Zelensky a dictator.

This is a blatant distortion of reality. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is an indisputable fact. The Ukrainian people are fighting a just war of self-defense. Trump’s attempt to muddy the waters on this issue will only backfire.

What’s worse, Trump later denied his own words in an interview: “Did I say that? I can’t believe I said that.” They humiliated Zelensky in front of global media, mocked him for not wearing a suit, and forced him to thank the U.S. Yet, when it comes to Trump’s own serious false accusations against Zelensky and the Ukrainian people, he refuses to apologize—even though Zelensky has repeatedly expressed gratitude toward the U.S. on social media.

1. Gaining support through justice, losing support through betrayal.

My fundamental judgment is that if both sides were left without allies and had to fight a 1v1 hot war, the U.S. could not defeat the CCP. The U.S. manufacturing capability is now far inferior to that of the CCP.

That is why I supported Trump’s election—because he sought to bring manufacturing back to the U.S. Major wars ultimately come down to supply capabilities: human resources, ammunition, logistics, and materials.

If Trump continues to alienate allies through his stance on Ukraine, the U.S. will face dire consequences. At best, traditional alliances will weaken, leading to trade disputes and mutual tariffs. At worst, a new global nuclear arms race could be triggered, plunging the world into crisis.

More importantly, this gives the CCP an opportunity. The CCP has long sought more influence in the international community, promoting its authoritarian governance model and attempting to position the Chinese yuan as a global currency alternative to the dollar.

1. Why does the U.S. have the privilege of global financial dominance?

The reason the U.S. has maintained global financial dominance through the dollar is that it has played the role of upholding international order and justice. If the U.S. abandons this responsibility, it loses its justification for dollar hegemony. Meanwhile, China’s Belt and Road Initiative is actively pushing for the yuan to challenge the dollar’s position.

If the world ceases to recognize the U.S. dollar due to America’s moral failure, then the downfall of the U.S. is inevitable. The "rise of the East and decline of the West" will become reality. At that point, there will be no hope of the U.S. countering the CCP—it will be the CCP controlling the U.S. instead.

1. What does it mean to oppose the CCP?

Ultimately, opposing the CCP means opposing autocracy and dictatorship. We believe in democracy and freedom. We believe that justice will prevail over evil. That is why we have supported the U.S. and viewed it as a beacon of democracy, freedom, and justice.

If the U.S. turns into an autocratic country with a dictator president, no longer upholding global justice but instead undermining it, why should we continue to support the U.S.? How would that be any different from supporting another version of the CCP?

Freedom is never free—it requires sacrifice. Dictators never fall on their own; their power is fueled by the submission of the oppressed.

The Ukrainian people’s resistance is not just about defending their land and dignity—it is about upholding global justice.

If you truly oppose dictatorship, you should support Ukraine’s fight against invasion and criticize Trump’s distortion of facts.

Ukraine will prevail. Justice will prevail.